Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction, Odds & Stats - November 29, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Nov 29th, 7:00 PM EST
Toronto
Maple Leafs
Pittsburgh
Penguins
7
2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Pittsburgh Penguins
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs 17-15-5-1 2 3 2 +6
Pittsburgh Penguins 16-12-4-5 1 0 1 -110

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/28/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 17-15-5-1 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 23-14-1-2 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
12/28/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 16-12-4-5 )
Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 14-18-4-2 )
7   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/27/25
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-14-5 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 17-15-5-1 )
5   -   7
 Atlantic
12/23/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 16-12-4-5 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 17-15-5-1 )
3   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/21/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 17-15-5-1 )
Dallas Stars DAL ( 25-7-4-3 )
1   -   5
 Atlantic
12/21/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 20-12-2-4 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 16-12-4-5 )
3   -   3
 Atlantic
12/20/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 17-15-5-1 )
Nashville Predators NAS ( 16-17-4 )
3   -   5
 Atlantic
12/20/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 16-12-4-5 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 20-12-2-4 )
0   -   4
 Metropolitan
12/18/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 17-15-5-1 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 20-13-1-4 )
0   -   4
 Atlantic
12/18/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 16-12-4-5 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-14-5 )
0   -   4
 Metropolitan
12/16/25
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 19-14-4-2 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 16-12-4-5 )
6   -   4
 Pacific

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
10 11 4-4-2 1L 8-16 -871 8-4-3 2-7-0 17-6-1
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
12 6 2-5-2-1 1W 17-6 1245 6-3-1-1 6-3-1-2 10-10-3

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u PIT:Shots PIT:Goals PIT:Assists TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists
12/23/2025 TOR 6 - PIT 3 TOR Over 6 32 3 4 31 6 7
11/29/2025 PIT 2 - TOR 7 TOR Over 6 35 2 3 23 7 12
11/03/2025 TOR 4 - PIT 3 TOR Over 6 37 3 6 20 4 8
03/02/2025 PIT 5 - TOR 6 (OT) TOR Over 6.5 33 6 9 34 5 10
12/07/2024 PIT 5 - TOR 2 PIT Over 6.5 27 2 4 29 5 7
10/12/2024 TOR 4 - PIT 2 TOR Under 6.5 23 2 3 33 4 4
04/08/2024 TOR 3 - PIT 2 TOR Under 6.5 33 2 3 23 3 5
12/16/2023 TOR 7 - PIT 0 TOR Over 0 38 0 0 35 7 13
11/25/2023 PIT 3 - TOR 2 PIT Under 6.5 33 2 3 35 3 4
11/26/2022 PIT 1 - TOR 4 TOR Under 6.5 41 4 7 26 1 2
11/15/2022 PIT 2 - TOR 5 TOR Over 6.5 33 5 10 37 2 2
11/11/2022 TOR 2 - PIT 4 PIT Under 6.5 23 4 5 30 2 4
02/17/2022 TOR 4 - PIT 1 TOR Under 6.5 46 1 1 29 4 5
11/20/2021 TOR 0 - PIT 2 PIT Under 5.5 31 2 4 26 0 0
10/23/2021 PIT 7 - TOR 1 PIT Over 6 29 1 2 33 7 11
02/20/2020 TOR 4 - PIT 0 TOR Under 6.5 24 0 0 30 4 8
02/18/2020 PIT 5 - TOR 2 PIT Over 6.5 36 2 4 24 5 10
11/16/2019 PIT 6 - TOR 1 PIT Over 6.5 33 1 2 38 6 11
02/02/2019 TOR 3 - PIT 2 TOR Under 6.5 30 2 3 33 3 6
11/03/2018 PIT 0 - TOR 5 TOR Under 6.5 33 5 8 31 0 0
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/28/2025 DET 3 - TOR 2 L Under 6 27 2 3
12/27/2025 TOR 7 - OTT 5 W Over 6 31 5 8
12/23/2025 TOR 6 - PIT 3 W Over 6 32 3 4
12/21/2025 DAL 5 - TOR 1 L Under 6 28 1 1
12/20/2025 NAS 5 - TOR 3 L Over 6 22 3 6
12/18/2025 WAS 4 - TOR 0 L Under 6 22 0 0
12/16/2025 TOR 3 - CHI 2 W Under 5.5 25 2 3
12/13/2025 TOR 3 - EDM 6 L Over 6 37 6 8
12/11/2025 TOR 2 - SJ 3 (OT) L Under 6 32 3 5
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 W Under 6 29 0 0
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/28/2025 CHI 3 - PIT 7 W Over 6 24 3 5
12/23/2025 TOR 6 - PIT 3 L Over 6 31 6 7
12/21/2025 PIT 3 - MON 3 L Under 6 31 3 5
12/20/2025 MON 4 - PIT 0 L Under 6 21 4 5
12/18/2025 OTT 4 - PIT 0 L Under 6 26 4 8
12/16/2025 PIT 4 - EDM 6 L Over 6 30 4 7
12/14/2025 PIT 4 - UTAH 5 (OT) L Over 6 16 4 7
12/13/2025 PIT 5 - SJ 6 (OT) L Over 6 43 5 10
12/11/2025 PIT 2 - MON 4 L Under 6 38 2 4
12/09/2025 PIT 3 - ANA 3 W Under 6 47 3 5

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 6 3.1
3.4 11 Goals Against Per Game 9 3.2
27.1 17 Shots Per Game 11 28.5
31.2 24 Shots Against Per Game 14 28.2
12.0 3 Shooting % 9 11.0
10.8 12 Opponent Shooting % 16 11.2
-4.08 29 Shot Differential Per Game 15 0.22
12.0 3 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 9 11.0
.890 4 Save % 4 .890
.880 3 Opponent Save % 4 .890
7.5 20 Penalty Minutes Per Game 17 8.1
0.39 24 Power Play Goals Per Game 3 0.81
0.42 2 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 8 0.54
15.5 23 Power Play % 3 29.7
83.7 5 Penalty Kill % 11 81.7
2.05 4 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 14 1.87

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.26 9
Shots 27.13 21
Power Play (%) 15 27
Faceoff (%) 56 2
Penalty Mins 284 28
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.14 13
Shots 28.46 13
Power Play (%) 30 3
Faceoff (%) 50 15
Penalty Mins 298 25
defence
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.26 9
Shots 27.13 21
Power Play (%) 15 27
Faceoff (%) 56 2
Penalty Mins 284 28
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.14 13
Shots 28.46 13
Power Play (%) 30 3
Faceoff (%) 50 15
Penalty Mins 298 25

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT

Toronto vs. Pittsburgh Betting News

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
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Toronto Vs Pittsburgh Betting Trends

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Over is 18-7-2 in Maple Leafs last 27 Saturday games.

Maple Leafs are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 13-3 in Maple Leafs last 16 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Maple Leafs are 6-2 in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest.

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT

Under is 3-1-1 in Penguins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 4-0-1 in Penguins last 5 games as a favorite.

Penguins are 9-24 in their last 33 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 9-3 in Penguins last 12 games a home underdog.

Under is 5-2 in Penguins last 7 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Line Up - Last Game

Toronto Maple Leafs
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TOR
  • PIT
NHL Odds