Tom Aspinall vs. Ciryl Gane UFC 321 prediction and betting picks
The UFC arrives this weekend in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, for UFC 321, an event that will have two title fights. In the main event of the night, Aspinall vs. Gane are worth the heavyweight division title.
The odds for UFC 321 Aspinall vs. Gane
The UFC holds its traditional numbered event in Abu Dhabi this weekend. It will be the 22nd time that the organization lands in the United Arab Emirates.
Tom Aspinall enters the octagon as champion for the first time. The Englishman was promoted after Jon Jones’ retirement and now puts the belt on the line against Frenchman Ciryl Gane.
Ranked No. 1 in the heavyweight ranking, Gane has only two losses in his career, both in title fights: one against Jon Jones and another against Francis Ngannou.
Check out Sports Interaction’s full UFC odds board.
Tom Aspinall UFC betting odds
Tom Aspinall arrives for the main event of UFC 321 with a record of 15 wins and 3 losses in his professional MMA career. The Englishman started in smaller events in Europe and quickly consolidated himself after his debut in the UFC.
Within the UFC, there are 8 wins and only one loss, which occurred due to a knee injury, in 2022, against Curtis Blaydes, in a fight interrupted with just 15 seconds.
Aspinall never needed a decision from the judges. There are 12 wins by knockout and 3 by submission. Within the UFC, seven of his nine fights ended in the first round, an impressive number that places him among the greatest finishers in recent history of the division.
The Briton also holds the record for the shortest average fight time in the UFC, with only 2:02 per fight. This means that, in 18 professional fights, Aspinall spent just over 40 minutes inside the cage.
His combination of speed, power, and refined technique makes him one of the most dangerous heavyweights on the planet. Head and torso movement is something rare among fighters in his division.
Ciryl Gane UFC betting odds
Analyzing only the record, Ciryl Gane presents numbers similar to those of his opponent. There are 15 wins and only 2 losses. The Frenchman arrives for his third title fight packed with victories over Serghei Spivac and Alexander Volkov.
Since his UFC debut in 2019, when he submitted Raphael Pessoa in the first round, Gane has stood out for his technique and clean fighting style. Shortly thereafter, he won the interim heavyweight belt by knocking out Derrick Lewis at UFC 265, becoming the first French champion in UFC history.
His technical base and ability to move quickly make him one of the most sophisticated fighters ever seen among heavyweights.
Who wins Aspinall vs Gane?
The Brit poses a tough technical challenge for the Frenchman, as he combines the same mobility that Gane often uses to his advantage with devastating knockout power. In addition, Aspinall has a high-level grappling, an area in which the Frenchman has already shown vulnerability in previous fights.
For Gane, the path to victory is to keep the fight standing and control the distance. He should exploit his lateral movement, avoid the clinch and try to lengthen the fight. He can only hope that Aspinall feels some ring rust and may not be in top condition for a five-round fight.
Aspinall has been waiting a long time for this one. We wouldn’t bet against him.
