Bills vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 14, 2025

Game Scheduled
Buffalo
Bills
W W L W L
New England
Patriots
W W W W W
VS
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
43%
57%
Betting Action
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Buffalo Bills 9-4 Buffalo Bills -1 (-110) on Sports Interaction Buffalo Bills -120 on Sports Interaction 49.5 (-110) on Sports Interaction
New England Patriots 11-2 New England Patriots +1 (-110) on Sports Interaction New England Patriots +100 on Sports Interaction 49.5 (-110) on Sports Interaction

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/07/25
Cincinnati Bengals CIN ( 4-9 )
Buffalo Bills BUF ( 9-4 )
34   -   39
AFC North
12/01/25
N.Y. Giants Giants NYG ( 2-11 )
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
15   -   33
NFC East
11/30/25
Buffalo Bills BUF ( 9-4 )
Pittsburgh Steelers PIT ( 7-6 )
26   -   7
AFC East
11/23/25
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
Cincinnati Bengals CIN ( 4-9 )
26   -   20
AFC East
11/20/25
Buffalo Bills BUF ( 9-4 )
Houston Texans HOU ( 8-5 )
19   -   23
AFC East
11/16/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-7 )
Buffalo Bills BUF ( 9-4 )
32   -   44
NFC South
11/13/25
N.Y. Jets Jets NYJ ( 3-10 )
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
14   -   27
AFC East
11/09/25
Buffalo Bills BUF ( 9-4 )
Miami Dolphins MIA ( 6-7 )
13   -   30
AFC East
11/09/25
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-7 )
28   -   23
AFC East
11/02/25
Kansas City Chiefs KC ( 6-7 )
Buffalo Bills BUF ( 9-4 )
21   -   28
AFC West
11/02/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 5-9 )
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
23   -   24
NFC South
10/26/25
Cleveland Browns CLE ( 3-10 )
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
13   -   32
AFC North

Betting Action

Spread Bets • 1
Buffalo Bills BUF
43%
New England Patriots NE
57%
Totals (O/U) • 49.5
Over 85%
Under 15%
Money Bets •
Buffalo Bills BUF
64%
New England Patriots NE
36%

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
9 4 6-4 2W 5-7 0 0-0 0-0 6-7
New England Patriots New England Patriots
11 2 10-0 10W 9-4 0 0-0 0-0 7-6

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u NE:Total Net Yards NE:Net Rushing Yards NE:Passing Yards BUF:Total Net Yards BUF:Net Rushing Yards BUF:Passing Yards
10/05/2025 BUF 20 - NE 23 NE +8.5 Under 49.5 338 71 267 363 118 245
01/05/2025 NE 23 - BUF 16 NE +3 Under 40 259 130 129 309 77 232
12/22/2024 BUF 24 - NE 21 NE +14 Under 46.5 379 126 253 324 172 152
12/31/2023 BUF 27 - NE 21 NE +12 Over 40 294 103 191 281 127 154
10/22/2023 NE 29 - BUF 25 NE +8.5 Over 41 339 81 258 364 96 268
01/08/2023 BUF 35 - NE 23 BUF -8 Over 44 341 107 234 327 90 237
12/01/2022 NE 10 - BUF 24 BUF -5.5 Under 44 355 132 223 242 60 182
01/15/2022 BUF 47 - NE 17 BUF -4.5 Over 43.5 305 89 216 482 174 308
12/26/2021 NE 21 - BUF 33 BUF +1 Over 44.5 428 114 314 288 149 139
12/06/2021 BUF 10 - NE 14 NE +3 Under 41 241 222 19 230 99 131
12/28/2020 NE 9 - BUF 38 BUF -6.5 Under 47.5 474 130 344 201 145 56
11/01/2020 BUF 24 - NE 21 NE +4 Over 41 349 188 161 339 190 149
12/21/2019 NE 24 - BUF 17 NE -6.5 Over 38.5 268 92 176 414 143 271
09/29/2019 BUF 10 - NE 16 BUF +7.5 Under 41.5 224 74 150 375 135 240
12/23/2018 NE 24 - BUF 12 BUF +13.5 Under 45 289 72 217 390 273 117
10/29/2018 BUF 6 - NE 25 NE -13 Under 44.5 387 76 311 333 46 287
12/24/2017 NE 37 - BUF 16 NE -11 Over 47 326 84 242 411 193 218
12/03/2017 BUF 3 - NE 23 NE -7.5 Under 48.5 435 191 244 268 183 85
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/07/2025 BUF 39 - CIN 34 L -6 Over 32.5 338 62 276
11/30/2025 PIT 7 - BUF 26 W -3.5 Under 47.5 372 249 123
11/20/2025 HOU 23 - BUF 19 L -5 Under 44.5 326 143 183
11/16/2025 BUF 44 - TB 32 W -6 Over 45.5 367 202 165
11/09/2025 MIA 30 - BUF 13 L -9.5 Under 48.5 376 87 289
11/02/2025 BUF 28 - KC 21 W -2.5 Under 52.5 305 79 226
10/26/2025 CAR 9 - BUF 40 W -7.5 Over 48 410 245 165
10/13/2025 ATL 24 - BUF 14 L -5.5 Under 49.5 291 134 157
10/05/2025 BUF 20 - NE 23 L -8.5 Under 49.5 338 71 267
09/28/2025 BUF 31 - NO 19 L -17.5 Over 48.5 298 189 109
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/01/2025 NE 33 - NYG 15 W -7.5 Over 46.5 395 119 276
11/23/2025 CIN 20 - NE 26 L -6.5 Under 50 307 120 187
11/13/2025 NE 27 - NYJ 14 W -5.5 Under 42.5 336 65 271
11/09/2025 TB 23 - NE 28 W +2.5 Over 48 371 113 258
11/02/2025 NE 24 - ATL 23 L -4.5 Over 45.5 331 110 221
10/26/2025 NE 32 - CLE 13 W -7 Over 40.5 422 177 245
10/19/2025 TEN 13 - NE 31 W -6.5 Over 42.5 255 39 216
10/12/2025 NO 19 - NE 25 W -3.5 Under 45.5 296 73 223
10/05/2025 BUF 20 - NE 23 W +8.5 Under 49.5 363 118 245
09/28/2025 NE 42 - CAR 13 W -5.5 Over 43 307 104 203

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

avg rank edge in rank avg
28.92 5 Points Per Game 6 27
22.54 13 Points Allowed Per Game 5 18.54
5.46 8 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game 4 6.15
4.15 11 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 17 5.15
7 11 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game 2 10
9.23 24 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 3 4.92
7.31 3 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game 6 6.15
2.77 2 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 2 2.77
9.15 3 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game 24 4.69
6.38 12 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 8 5.69
61.7 9 Red Zone Efficiency 24 51.1
383.69 2 Total Yards Per Game 8 362.62
12.99 1 Total Yards Per Play 3 12.15
5.06 1 Rushing Yards Per Play 27 3.9
29.54 25 Passing Attempts Per Game 24 29.85
10.96 8 Passing Yards Per Completion 2 11.72
1.69 4 Passing Tds Per Game 3 1.77
20.62 14 Completions Per Game 12 21.31
69.8 2 Completion % 1 71.4
102.53 5 Qb Rating 2 111.66
2.38 9 Defense Sacks Per Game 5 3.08
0.77 6 Defense Interceptions Per Game 11 0.46
1.15 7 Opponent Fumbles Per Game 2 0.69
0.62 5 Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game 6 0.54
6.69 11 Penalties Per Game 7 6.23
56.15 21 Penalty Yards Per Game 14 51.31
18 9 Takeaway / Giveaway Differential 4 13
3.42 22 Yards Per Punt Return 2 8.52
27.41 7 Yards Per Kickoff Return 20 25.27

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Buffalo Bills BUF
Season stats rank
Total Yards 383.7 2
Passing Yards 225.92 11
Rushing Yards 157.77 1
Points Scored 28.92 5
Field Goal % 0.9 11
New England Patriots NE
Season stats rank
Total Yards 362.6 8
Passing Yards 249.69 2
Rushing Yards 112.92 21
Points Scored 27 7
Field Goal % 0.88 12
defence
Buffalo Bills BUF
Season stats rank
Total Yards 383.7 2
Passing Yards 225.92 11
Rushing Yards 157.77 1
Points Scored 28.92 5
Field Goal % 0.9 11
New England Patriots NE
Season stats rank
Total Yards 362.6 8
Passing Yards 249.69 2
Rushing Yards 112.92 21
Points Scored 27 7
Field Goal % 0.88 12

Injuries

Buffalo Bills BUF
New England Patriots NE

AFC East Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player