Patriots vs. Lions Week 10 Betting Odds, Prediction and Picks: Detroit Takes Four-Game Run to Munich
New England needs a bounce-back. Green Bay hammered the Patriots 45-27 at Gillette Stadium, the most points they have ever allowed there. Drake Maye threw for 299 yards and three touchdowns but also three interceptions, and the Packers scored 21 points off four New England turnovers.
Detroit has won four straight, most recently grinding out a 19-9 win over Miami. The Lions defence carried that one, but the offence has stalled in the red zone, scoring under 21 points in three straight games.
Patriots vs. Lions Kickoff, Weather, TV, Streaming Info
Kickoff is set for 9:30 a.m. ET on Sunday, November 15 at FC Bayern Munich Stadium in Munich, Germany, with a 3:30 p.m. local start. In Canada, the game can be streamed nationwide on DAZN through NFL Game Pass.
Conditions should be cool but comfortable, with temperatures around 8°C, mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Rain is not expected to be much of a factor.
NFL Betting Odds, Point Spread, Trends
Detroit is a 2.5-point favourite, with the Lions at -120 and the Patriots +2.5 at +100. On the money line, the Lions are -150 and the Patriots +125. The total is 51.5, with the Over at -108 and the Under at -110. This number opened at 48.5, so the market has moved toward points.
New England has failed to cover in four straight games, but the Over has cashed in six straight Patriots games. Detroit is 3-1 against the spread in its last four, and the Under is 3-0 in its last three games. The Patriots are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings between these teams.
NFL Player Odds and Props
Detroit Lions
Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks 10th in the NFL with 657 receiving yards on 86 targets, roughly 82 yards per game. He had 86 yards against Miami, and New England’s secondary is in rough shape after Carlton Davis III left the Packers game with a knee injury, and Green Bay averaged 12.0 yards per dropback.
St. Brown’s receiving yards line is 78.5 (-110 both ways). Play the Over.
New England Patriots
Detroit’s Aidan Hutchinson leads the NFL in pressures, and New England’s offensive line is banged up, with Ben Brown, Mike Onwenu, and Alijah Vera-Tucker all sidelined. That should push Maye out of the pocket often, and he has the legs to make teams pay when coverage drops.
Maye’s rushing yards line is 26.5 (-110 both ways) and again the Over makes most appeal.
New England Patriots
Maye’s numbers still look strong. He has six straight games with three or more total touchdowns and ranks second in completion percentage over expected. The issue is ball security. He is now tied for the league lead with 11 interceptions, and New England is 3-0 this season when he doesn’t throw one.
The injury list is long. Rhamondre Stevenson (knee) is expected to miss time; TreVeyon Henderson has already missed two games and is also out for this one; A.J. Brown was a limited participant in Wednesday’s practice, and Romeo Doubs is on IR. Ben Brown and Davis have also already been ruled out.
Detroit Lions
Detroit entered last week averaging 29 points and a league-best 395.4 yards per game, and Jahmyr Gibbs has 847 rushing yards and nine rushing scores. The defence has quietly held four straight opponents to 21 points or fewer, and Detroit is 6-0 when it forces a turnover. That matters against a quarterback who just gave the ball away three times.
All-Pro linebacker Jack Campbell is on IR (neck), while DJ Reed (hip) and Cade Mays (ankle) missed the Miami game. Brian Branch is back from his Achilles tear.
Patriots vs. Lions Week 10 Score Prediction
New England has the talent to keep this close, but a thin offensive line and Maye’s turnover problem are a bad mix against this Lions defence. Detroit’s opportunistic defence should create the extra possession that decides it. Detroit should edge out New England in the end, but I expect both offences will score enough to push this one Over.
NE
DET