Saints vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds & Stats - January 04, 2026

Game Scheduled
NFC South
Jan 4th, 1:00 PM EST
New Orleans
Saints
W W W W L
Atlanta
Falcons
W L L W L
VS
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
43%
57%
Betting Action
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
New Orleans Saints 6-10 New Orleans Saints +2.5 (-105) on Sports Interaction New Orleans Saints +125 on Sports Interaction 43.5 (-105) on Sports Interaction
Atlanta Falcons 6-9 Atlanta Falcons -2.5 (-115) on Sports Interaction Atlanta Falcons -150 on Sports Interaction 43.5 (-115) on Sports Interaction

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/28/25
New Orleans Saints NO ( 6-10 )
Tennessee Titans TEN ( 3-13 )
34   -   26
 NFC South
12/21/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
Arizona Cardinals ARI ( 3-13 )
26   -   19
 NFC South
12/21/25
N.Y. Jets Jets NYJ ( 3-13 )
New Orleans Saints NO ( 6-10 )
6   -   29
 AFC East
12/14/25
Carolina Panthers CAR ( 8-8 )
New Orleans Saints NO ( 6-10 )
17   -   20
 NFC South
12/11/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-9 )
29   -   28
 NFC South
12/07/25
New Orleans Saints NO ( 6-10 )
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-9 )
24   -   20
 NFC South
12/07/25
Seattle Seahawks SEA ( 13-3 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
37   -   9
 NFC West
11/30/25
New Orleans Saints NO ( 6-10 )
Miami Dolphins MIA ( 7-9 )
17   -   21
 NFC South
11/30/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
N.Y. Jets Jets NYJ ( 3-13 )
24   -   27
 NFC South
11/23/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
New Orleans Saints NO ( 6-10 )
24   -   10
 NFC South
11/16/25
Carolina Panthers CAR ( 8-8 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
30   -   27
 NFC South

Betting Action

Spread Bets • 2.5
New Orleans Saints NO
43%
Atlanta Falcons ATL
57%
Totals (O/U) • 43.5
Over 0%
Under 0%
Money Bets •
New Orleans Saints NO
29%
Atlanta Falcons ATL
71%

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
6 10 5-5 4W 8-8 0 0-0 0-0 5-11
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
6 9 3-7 2W 8-7 0 0-0 0-0 7-7-1

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u ATL:Total Net Yards ATL:Net Rushing Yards ATL:Passing Yards NO:Total Net Yards NO:Net Rushing Yards NO:Passing Yards
11/23/2025 NO 10 - ATL 24 ATL -2.5 Under 40 302 121 181 293 79 214
11/10/2024 NO 20 - ATL 17 NO +3.5 Under 48 468 181 287 365 96 269
09/29/2024 ATL 26 - NO 24 ATL -2.5 Over 43.5 366 131 235 315 88 227
01/07/2024 NO 48 - ATL 17 NO -4 Over 41.5 389 78 311 400 154 246
11/26/2023 ATL 24 - NO 15 ATL -1 Under 41.5 444 148 296 396 228 168
12/18/2022 NO 21 - ATL 18 ATL +3.5 Under 42 320 231 89 348 134 214
09/11/2022 ATL 26 - NO 27 ATL +5 Over 43.5 385 151 234 416 201 215
01/09/2022 ATL 20 - NO 30 NO -4.5 Over 40 369 195 174 257 62 195
11/07/2021 NO 25 - ATL 27 ATL +7 Over 43 366 34 332 376 109 267
12/06/2020 ATL 16 - NO 21 NO -3 Under 46.5 424 207 217 332 70 262
11/22/2020 NO 24 - ATL 9 NO -6.5 Under 49.5 248 52 196 376 166 210
11/28/2019 ATL 18 - NO 26 NO -6.5 Under 48 279 95 184 348 89 259
11/10/2019 NO 9 - ATL 26 ATL +14 Under 51 317 143 174 310 52 258
11/22/2018 NO 31 - ATL 17 NO -13 Under 59 366 26 340 312 150 162
09/23/2018 ATL 37 - NO 43 NO +1.5 Over 54 534 143 391 407 48 359
12/24/2017 NO 23 - ATL 13 NO -5.5 Under 52 331 67 264 315 86 229
12/07/2017 ATL 20 - NO 17 ATL -2.5 Under 51.5 306 50 256 343 132 211
01/01/2017 ATL 38 - NO 32 NO +7.5 Over 55.5 473 132 341 465 142 323
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/28/2025 TEN 26 - NO 34 W -3 Over 39 423 103 320
12/21/2025 NO 29 - NYJ 6 W -4.5 Under 40 195 64 131
12/14/2025 NO 20 - CAR 17 W +2.5 Under 41.5 281 127 154
12/07/2025 TB 20 - NO 24 W +8.5 Over 41.5 260 139 121
11/30/2025 MIA 21 - NO 17 W +5.5 Under 42.5 294 81 213
11/23/2025 NO 10 - ATL 24 L +2.5 Under 40 302 121 181
11/09/2025 CAR 7 - NO 17 W +4.5 Under 38.5 388 122 266
11/02/2025 LAR 34 - NO 10 L +14 Under 44.5 224 57 167
10/26/2025 NO 3 - TB 23 L +5.5 Under 45.5 212 88 124
10/19/2025 CHI 26 - NO 14 L +3.5 Under 43.5 253 44 209
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/21/2025 ARI 19 - ATL 26 W -1.5 Under 48 320 132 188
12/11/2025 TB 28 - ATL 29 W +5.5 Over 43.5 338 88 250
12/07/2025 ATL 9 - SEA 37 L +7.5 Over 44.5 274 120 154
11/30/2025 NYJ 27 - ATL 24 L -2.5 Over 38 269 110 159
11/23/2025 NO 10 - ATL 24 W -2.5 Under 40 293 79 214
11/16/2025 ATL 27 - CAR 30 L -3.5 Over 42 348 125 223
11/09/2025 IND 31 - ATL 25 L +7 Over 48.5 519 323 196
11/02/2025 NE 24 - ATL 23 W +4.5 Over 45.5 331 110 221
10/26/2025 ATL 10 - MIA 34 L -7.5 Under 45.5 213 45 168
10/19/2025 SF 20 - ATL 10 L +3 Under 46.5 324 174 150

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

New Orleans Saints NO
Atlanta Falcons ATL
avg rank edge in rank avg
18.06 29 Points Per Game 26 20.47
22.75 16 Points Allowed Per Game 19 24
1.81 25 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game 13 4.47
7.19 25 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 13 4.53
6.63 18 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game 16 6.93
8.63 25 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 13 6.33
3.81 19 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game 24 2.87
3.69 8 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 21 5.53
5.81 20 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game 16 6.2
3.25 1 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 16 7
42.9 27 Red Zone Efficiency 7 64.4
311.94 23 Total Yards Per Game 13 340.53
8.98 26 Total Yards Per Play 17 10.36
3.66 29 Rushing Yards Per Play 13 4.46
34.75 5 Passing Attempts Per Game 15 32.87
9.35 26 Passing Yards Per Completion 11 10.76
1.13 13 Passing Tds Per Game 13 1.13
23.38 5 Completions Per Game 16 20.07
67.3 7 Completion % 21 61.1
88.92 19 Qb Rating 23 87.25
2.81 8 Defense Sacks Per Game 23 1.47
0.69 8 Defense Interceptions Per Game 12 0.47
1.25 11 Opponent Fumbles Per Game 14 1.47
0.69 3 Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game 4 0.67
7 19 Penalties Per Game 13 6.4
55 20 Penalty Yards Per Game 13 49
22 12 Takeaway / Giveaway Differential 7 17
3.6 21 Yards Per Punt Return 28 2.58
25.19 22 Yards Per Kickoff Return 32 22.75

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
New Orleans Saints NO
Season stats rank
Total Yards 311.9 23
Passing Yards 218.5 17
Rushing Yards 93.44 30
Points Scored 18.06 29
Field Goal % 0.73 32
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 340.5 13
Passing Yards 215.87 18
Rushing Yards 124.67 8
Points Scored 20.47 26
Field Goal % 0.81 25
defence
New Orleans Saints NO
Season stats rank
Total Yards 311.9 23
Passing Yards 218.5 17
Rushing Yards 93.44 30
Points Scored 18.06 29
Field Goal % 0.73 32
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 340.5 13
Passing Yards 215.87 18
Rushing Yards 124.67 8
Points Scored 20.47 26
Field Goal % 0.81 25

Injuries

New Orleans Saints NO
Atlanta Falcons ATL

New Orleans vs. Atlanta Betting News

New Orleans Saints NO
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Atlanta Falcons ATL
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New Orleans Vs Atlanta Betting Trends

New Orleans Saints NO

Saints are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Under is 20-7 in Saints last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 games as a favorite.

Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

Saints are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Atlanta Falcons ATL

Under is 14-5 in Falcons last 19 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Under is 7-2-1 in Falcons last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.

Falcons are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.

NFC South Standings

Line Up - Last Game

New Orleans Saints
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Atlanta Falcons
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • NO
  • +2.5 -2.5
  • ATL
Odds