Lightning vs. Senators Prediction, Odds & Stats - April 07, 2026

Scoreboard	1	2	3	Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2	0	1	1	+6
Ottawa Senators 44-27-10-1	0	1	5	+110

Date	Result	Competition
05/03/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 2 - 1	Atlantic
05/01/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 1 - 0	Atlantic
04/29/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 3 - 2	Atlantic
04/26/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 3 - 2	Atlantic
04/25/26	Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) 4 - 2	Metropolitan
04/24/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic
04/23/26	Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) 2 - 1	Metropolitan
04/21/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic
04/20/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic
04/18/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 ) 0 - 2	Atlantic
04/15/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 32-36-10-4 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) 1 - 3	Atlantic
04/12/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) New Jersey Devils NJ ( 42-37-2-1 ) 3 - 4	Atlantic

Team	Puckline	Moneyline	Over / Under
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	+1.5 0	0	U+60
Ottawa Senators OTT	-1.5 0	0	O+60

time	fav	spread	money line	total
Opening 6 Apr 7:42pm	TB	-1.5 +170	-	O +6 -125
Closing 6 Apr 7:42pm	TB	-1.5 +170	-	O +6 -125

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	130	Points	83	Tim Stutzle Left Wing Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	43	+ / -	22	Artem Zub Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	231	Shots	221	Brady Tkachuk Left Wing Tampa Bay
Charle-Edouard D'Astous Defense Ottawa	112	Penalty Mins	92	Nick Cousins Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	39	Wins	27	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Tampa Bay
James Reimer Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.4	GAA	2.3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa

Jake Guentzel Left Wing Ottawa	8	Points	4	Drake Batherson Right Wing Tampa Bay
Brandon Hagel Left Wing Ottawa	6	+ / -	2	Jake Sanderson Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	31	Shots	11	Dylan Cozens Center Tampa Bay
Brady Tkachuk Left Wing Tampa Bay	13	Penalty Mins	13	Brandon Hagel Left Wing Ottawa
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	3	Wins	0	Michael Amadio Right Wing Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	2.2	GAA	2.0	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay Lightning TB Ottawa Senators OTT

	Stat
48	Games Won	40
23	Games Lost	27
5-5-0	Last 10	6-3-1
25-13-1	W L Streak	20-12-5-1
35-34	Against The Spread	28-39
1185	Money	-752
25-13-1	Home	20-12-5-1
23-10-3-2	Away	20-15-4
30-30-9	Total	35-28-4

date	home-away	ats	o/u	OTT:Shots	OTT:Goals	OTT:Assists	TB:Shots	TB:Goals	TB:Assists
04/07/2026	OTT 6 - TB 2	OTT	Over 6.5	32	6	10	30	2	4
03/28/2026	TB 4 - OTT 2	TB	Under 6	28	2	4	27	4	8
10/09/2025	TB 4 - OTT 5	OTT	Over 6	34	5	9	25	4	8
04/03/2025	OTT 2 - TB 1	OTT	Under 6	32	1	2	19	2	3
02/06/2025	TB 5 - OTT 1	TB	Over 5.5	28	1	2	31	5	8
02/04/2025	TB 4 - OTT 3	TB	Over 5.5	28	3	6	38	4	5
10/19/2024	OTT 5 - TB 4	OTT	Over 6.5	29	4	8	28	5	8
04/11/2024	TB 2 - OTT 2	OTT	Under 6.5	27	2	3	26	2	4
02/19/2024	TB 2 - OTT 4	OTT	Under 6.5	28	4	7	25	2	1
11/04/2023	OTT 4 - TB 6	TB	Over 7	38	6	9	28	4	7
10/15/2023	OTT 5 - TB 2	OTT	Under 7	24	2	4	38	5	7
04/08/2023	OTT 7 - TB 4	OTT	Over 6.5	24	4	8	40	7	11
03/23/2023	OTT 7 - TB 2	OTT	Over 7	29	2	4	35	7	11
11/01/2022	TB 4 - OTT 3	TB	Over 6.5	15	3	1	34	4	8
03/01/2022	TB 5 - OTT 2	TB	Over 6	27	2	4	22	5	8
12/16/2021	TB 2 - OTT 1	TB	Under 6	26	1	0	27	2	4
12/11/2021	OTT 4 - TB 0	OTT	Under 6	25	0	0	23	4	6
11/06/2021	OTT 3 - TB 5	TB	Over 6	33	5	10	27	3	4
01/04/2020	OTT 3 - TB 5	TB	Over 6.5	28	5	6	28	3	5
12/17/2019	TB 4 - OTT 3	TB	Over 6.5	28	3	4	40	4	4

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
05/03/2026	TB 1 - MON 2	L	Under 5	9	2	4
05/01/2026	MON 0 - TB 1 (OT)	W	Under 5.5	33	1	2
04/29/2026	TB 2 - MON 3	L	Under 5.5	24	3	5
04/26/2026	MON 2 - TB 3	W	Under 6	20	3	6
04/24/2026	MON 3 - TB 2	L	Under 6	17	2	2
04/21/2026	TB 3 - MON 2	W	Under 6	27	2	4
04/19/2026	TB 3 - MON 4 (OT)	L	Over 6	19	4	8
04/15/2026	TB 2 - NYR 4	L	Under 6.5	21	4	8
04/13/2026	TB 4 - DET 3	W	Over 6.5	30	3	5
04/11/2026	BOS 1 - TB 2	W	Under 6	24	2	4

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
04/25/2026	OTT 2 - CAR 4	L	Under 6	27	2	4
04/23/2026	OTT 1 - CAR 2	L	Under 6	22	1	1
04/20/2026	CAR 3 - OTT 2	L	Under 6	49	3	5
04/18/2026	CAR 2 - OTT 0	L	Under 6	29	2	4
04/15/2026	OTT 3 - TOR 1	W	Under 6.5	38	3	6
04/12/2026	NJ 4 - OTT 3	L	Over 6	30	4	6
04/11/2026	NYI 0 - OTT 3	W	Under 6	23	0	0
04/09/2026	OTT 5 - FLA 1	W	Under 6.5	28	5	6
04/07/2026	OTT 6 - TB 2	W	Over 6.5	32	6	10
04/05/2026	OTT 6 - CAR 3	W	Over 6.5	31	6	9

Tampa Bay Lightning TB Ottawa Senators OTT

avg	rank	edge in	rank	avg
3.1	6	Goals Per Game	13	2.0
2.9	10	Goals Against Per Game	12	3.2
19.6	24	Shots Per Game	13	23.5
25.0	16	Shots Against Per Game	3	16.7
16.1	4	Shooting %	28	8.5
11.4	12	Opponent Shooting %	25	19.0
-5.43	26	Shot Differential Per Game	4	6.83
16.1	4	Scoring Efficiency Ratio	28	8.5
.890	4	Save %	11	.810
.860	2	Opponent Save %	9	.930
50.7	1	Penalty Minutes Per Game	3	24.3
1	2	Power Play Goals Per Game	11	0.33
1.29	14	Power Play Goals Against Per Game	6	0.5
21.2	11	Power Play %	16	15.4
82.0	12	Penalty Kill %	16	78.6
2.24	10	Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio	8	2.27

offence

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.49	4
Shots	28.11	14
Power Play (%)	21	15
Faceoff (%)	47	29
Penalty Mins	1207	1

Ottawa Senators OTT

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.35	8
Shots	28.91	9
Power Play (%)	24	8
Faceoff (%)	55	2
Penalty Mins	786	8

defence

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.49	4
Shots	28.11	14
Power Play (%)	21	15
Faceoff (%)	47	29
Penalty Mins	1207	1

Ottawa Senators OTT

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.35	8
Shots	28.91	9
Power Play (%)	24	8
Faceoff (%)	55	2
Penalty Mins	786	8

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Nick Paul (LW)	Ques Fri	Illness - 29 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Pontus Holmberg (RW)	Ques Sun	Upper Body - 22 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D)	Ques Fri	Undisclosed - 20 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Zemgus Girgensons (LW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Darren Raddysh (D)	Ques Wed	Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Ques Sat	Lower Body - 09 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Scott Sabourin (RW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nikita Kucherov (RW)	Ques Tues	Illness - 29 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Victor Hedman (D)	Out indefinitely	Personal - 20 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Ottawa Senators OTT

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Jake Sanderson (D)	Ques Mon	Concussion - 24 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Artem Zub (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 18 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brady Tkachuk (LW)	Questionable	Undisclosed - 12 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Tyler Kleven (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 04 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Carter Yakemchuk (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Thomas Chabot (D)	Out indefinitely	Arm - 24 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Lassi Thomson (D)	Ques Fri	Lower Body - 24 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nick Jensen (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 13 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jake Sanderson (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 08 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Tim Stutzle (LW)	Ques Thurs	Illness - 26 / 02 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Ottawa Senators OTT

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Lightning are 51-15 in their last 66 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 4-1-1 in Lightning last 6 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Ottawa Senators OTT

Senators are 7-3 in their last 10 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Over is 3-1-1 in Senators last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Senators are 11-47 in their last 58 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 7-2-2 in Senators last 11 games as a home underdog.

Over is 22-8 in Senators last 30 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Buffalo Sabres BUF	50-23	49-36	45-34-6
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	50-26	45-33	42-32-4
Montreal Canadiens MON	48-24	49-36	45-34-6
Boston Bruins BOS	45-27	45-33	35-34-9
Ottawa Senators OTT	44-27	34-41	37-34-4
Detroit Red Wings DET	41-31	38-34	34-30-8
Florida Panthers FLA	40-38	38-34	34-30-8
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	32-36	30-41	40-23-8

Tampa Bay Lightning

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Ottawa Senators

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Game Statistics

Shots

6.7

18.8

Shooting %

Penalties

Penalty Minutes

Power Plays

Goals

Team	Last 5 Matches
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )	L W L W L
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 )	L L L W L

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	130	Points	83	Tim Stutzle Left Wing Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	43	+ / -	22	Artem Zub Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	231	Shots	221	Brady Tkachuk Left Wing Tampa Bay
Charle-Edouard D'Astous Defense Ottawa	112	Penalty Mins	92	Nick Cousins Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	39	Wins	27	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Tampa Bay
James Reimer Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.4	GAA	2.3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa

Jake Guentzel Left Wing Ottawa	8	Points	4	Drake Batherson Right Wing Tampa Bay
Brandon Hagel Left Wing Ottawa	6	+ / -	2	Jake Sanderson Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	31	Shots	11	Dylan Cozens Center Tampa Bay
Brady Tkachuk Left Wing Tampa Bay	13	Penalty Mins	13	Brandon Hagel Left Wing Ottawa
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	3	Wins	0	Michael Amadio Right Wing Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	2.2	GAA	2.0	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Tampa Bay

Game Preview

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction, NHL Odds

The Ottawa Senators will look to hold on to the final wild card spot in the Eastern Conference when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Tuesday night.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Buffalo Sabres BUF	50-23	49-36	45-34-6
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	50-26	45-33	42-32-4
Montreal Canadiens MON	48-24	49-36	45-34-6
Boston Bruins BOS	45-27	45-33	35-34-9
Ottawa Senators OTT	44-27	34-41	37-34-4
Detroit Red Wings DET	41-31	38-34	34-30-8
Florida Panthers FLA	40-38	38-34	34-30-8
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	32-36	30-41	40-23-8

Lightning vs. Senators Prediction, Odds & Stats April 07, 2026

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