Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - April 29, 2026

Scoreboard	1	2	3	Odds
Montreal Canadiens 48-24-5-5	1	1	1	+4.5
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2	0	2	0	+135

Date	Result	Competition
05/16/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 8 - 3	Atlantic
05/14/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) 6 - 3	Atlantic
05/12/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 3 - 2	Atlantic
05/10/26	Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 2 - 6	Atlantic
05/08/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) 5 - 1	Atlantic
05/06/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 ) 2 - 4	Atlantic
05/03/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 2 - 1	Atlantic
05/01/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 1 - 0	Atlantic
04/26/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 3 - 2	Atlantic
04/24/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic
04/21/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic

Team	Puckline	Moneyline	Over / Under
Montreal Canadiens MON	+1.5 0	0	U+4.50
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	-1.5 0	0	O+4.50

time	fav	line	total
Opening 28 Apr 10:43am	MON		O +5.5 -120
Closing 30 Apr 1:25am	MON		O +6.5 -160

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Montreal	130	Points	101	Nick Suzuki Center Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Montreal	43	+ / -	37	Nick Suzuki Center Tampa Bay
Cole Caufield Right Wing Tampa Bay	258	Shots	231	Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Montreal
Arber Xhekaj Defense Tampa Bay	116	Penalty Mins	112	Charle-Edouard D'Astous Defense Montreal
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Montreal	39	Wins	29	Jakub Dobes Goaltender Tampa Bay
Jacob Fowler Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.4	GAA	2.3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Montreal

Lane Hutson Defense Tampa Bay	13	Points	8	Jake Guentzel Left Wing Montreal
Jake Evans Center Tampa Bay	8	+ / -	6	Brandon Hagel Left Wing Montreal
Juraj Slafkovsky Left Wing Tampa Bay	37	Shots	31	Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Montreal
Kaiden Guhle Defense Tampa Bay	30	Penalty Mins	13	Brandon Hagel Left Wing Montreal
Jakub Dobes Goaltender Tampa Bay	7	Wins	3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Montreal
Jakub Dobes Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.6	GAA	2.2	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Montreal

team	win	loss	last 10	w/l streak	ats	money	home	away	total
Montreal Canadiens Montreal Canadiens	50	25	7-3-0	1L	43-33	1050	25-16-1-1	25-9-5-4	42-30-4
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning	52	26	5-5-0	1L	35-43	160	27-14-2	25-12-4-2	33-36-9

date	home-away	ats	o/u	TB:Shots	TB:Goals	TB:Assists	MON:Shots	MON:Goals	MON:Assists
05/03/2026	TB 1 - MON 2	MON	Under 5	29	1	2	9	2	4
05/01/2026	MON 0 - TB 1 (OT)	TB	Under 5.5	33	1	2	30	0	0
04/29/2026	TB 2 - MON 3	MON	Under 5.5	40	2	2	24	3	5
04/26/2026	MON 2 - TB 3	TB	Under 6	20	3	6	18	2	4
04/24/2026	MON 3 - TB 2	MON	Under 6	17	2	2	29	3	5
04/21/2026	TB 3 - MON 2	TB	Under 6	34	3	5	27	2	4
04/19/2026	TB 3 - MON 4 (OT)	MON	Over 6	23	3	6	19	4	8
04/09/2026	MON 2 - TB 1	MON	Under 6.5	18	1	2	21	2	3
03/31/2026	TB 1 - MON 4	MON	Under 6.5	37	1	2	23	4	4
12/28/2025	TB 4 - MON 4	MON	Over 6	21	4	7	35	4	7
12/09/2025	MON 1 - TB 6	TB	Over 6	27	6	6	27	1	2
02/09/2025	MON 3 - TB 5	TB	Over 6	21	5	9	35	3	4
01/21/2025	MON 3 - TB 2	MON	Under 6.5	35	2	3	22	3	5
12/29/2024	TB 2 - MON 5	MON	Over 6.5	37	5	8	23	2	2
04/04/2024	MON 4 - TB 7	TB	Over 6.5	35	7	12	30	4	8
03/02/2024	TB 3 - MON 3	MON	Under 6.5	31	3	5	29	3	3
12/31/2023	TB 4 - MON 3	TB	Over 6.5	29	3	2	20	4	8
11/07/2023	MON 3 - TB 5	TB	Over 7	32	5	10	26	3	6
03/21/2023	MON 3 - TB 2	MON	Under 6.5	33	2	4	20	3	5
03/18/2023	TB 5 - MON 3	TB	Over 6.5	21	3	6	41	5	8

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
05/16/2026	MON 3 - BUF 8	L	Over 6.5	36	8	14
05/14/2026	BUF 3 - MON 6	W	Over 6	26	6	12
05/12/2026	MON 2 - BUF 3	L	Under 6.5	22	3	5
05/10/2026	MON 6 - BUF 2	W	Over 6	28	2	3
05/08/2026	BUF 1 - MON 5	W	Under 6	28	5	6
05/06/2026	BUF 4 - MON 2	L	Under 6	28	2	3
05/03/2026	TB 1 - MON 2	W	Under 5	9	2	4
05/01/2026	MON 0 - TB 1 (OT)	L	Under 5.5	33	1	2
04/29/2026	TB 2 - MON 3	W	Under 5.5	24	3	5
04/26/2026	MON 2 - TB 3	L	Under 6	20	3	6

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
05/03/2026	TB 1 - MON 2	L	Under 5	29	1	2
05/01/2026	MON 0 - TB 1 (OT)	W	Under 5.5	30	0	0
04/29/2026	TB 2 - MON 3	L	Under 5.5	40	2	2
04/26/2026	MON 2 - TB 3	W	Under 6	18	2	4
04/24/2026	MON 3 - TB 2	L	Under 6	29	3	5
04/21/2026	TB 3 - MON 2	W	Under 6	34	3	5
04/19/2026	TB 3 - MON 4 (OT)	L	Over 6	23	3	6
04/15/2026	TB 2 - NYR 4	L	Under 6.5	31	2	4
04/13/2026	TB 4 - DET 3	W	Over 6.5	22	4	6
04/11/2026	BOS 1 - TB 2	W	Under 6	21	1	1

Montreal Canadiens MON Tampa Bay Lightning TB

avg	rank	edge in	rank	avg
3.1	6	Goals Per Game	9	2.1
2.8	6	Goals Against Per Game	2	2.3
25.2	13	Shots Per Game	8	28.0
27.9	7	Shots Against Per Game	1	22.3
12.2	5	Shooting %	13	7.7
9.9	5	Opponent Shooting %	6	10.3
-2.77	8	Shot Differential Per Game	3	5.71
12.2	5	Scoring Efficiency Ratio	13	7.7
.900	4	Save %	4	.900
.880	2	Opponent Save %	6	.920
18.8	3	Penalty Minutes Per Game	7	12.7
0.92	3	Power Play Goals Per Game	6	0.71
1.08	10	Power Play Goals Against Per Game	8	0.71
23.5	6	Power Play %	10	17.2
73.6	13	Penalty Kill %	9	80.8
1.73	11	Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio	14	1.58

offence

Montreal Canadiens MON

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.4	7
Shots	26.29	24
Power Play (%)	23	9
Faceoff (%)	51	9
Penalty Mins	849	5

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.49	4
Shots	28.11	14
Power Play (%)	21	15
Faceoff (%)	47	29
Penalty Mins	1207	1

defence

Montreal Canadiens MON

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.4	7
Shots	26.29	24
Power Play (%)	23	9
Faceoff (%)	51	9
Penalty Mins	849	5

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.49	4
Shots	28.11	14
Power Play (%)	21	15
Faceoff (%)	47	29
Penalty Mins	1207	1

Montreal Canadiens MON

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Noah Dobson (D)	Out indefinitely	Thumb - 12 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Alexandre Carrier (D)	Out Indefinitely	Upper Body - 31 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Josh Anderson (RW)	Ques Tues	Illness - 28 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Alexandre Texier (LW)	Ques Tues	Lower Body - 26 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Josh Anderson (RW)	Ques Tues	Upper Body - 19 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Kirby Dach (C)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 16 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Cole Caufield (RW)	Ques Sat	Illness - 11 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Joe Veleno (C)	Ques Thurs	Illness - 03 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Alexandre Texier (LW)	Ques Feb. 26	Lower Body - 02 / 02 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Kirby Dach (C)	Ques Tues	Hand - 24 / 01 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Nick Paul (LW)	Ques Fri	Illness - 29 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Pontus Holmberg (RW)	Ques Sun	Upper Body - 22 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D)	Ques Fri	Undisclosed - 20 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Zemgus Girgensons (LW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Darren Raddysh (D)	Ques Wed	Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Ques Sat	Lower Body - 09 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Scott Sabourin (RW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nikita Kucherov (RW)	Ques Tues	Illness - 29 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Victor Hedman (D)	Out indefinitely	Personal - 20 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Montreal Canadiens MON

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Montreal Canadiens MON

Under is 5-2-1 in Canadiens last 8 Wednesday games.

Canadiens are 13-5 in their last 18 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Canadiens are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over is 3-1-1 in Canadiens last 5 games as a favorite.

Canadiens are 9-42 in their last 51 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 7-1-2 in Lightning last 10 Wednesday games.

Under is 8-2 in Lightning last 10 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 5-1-1 in Lightning last 7 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Lightning are 19-9 in their last 28 games playing on 2 days rest.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Buffalo Sabres BUF	50-23	49-36	45-34-6
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	50-26	35-45	33-38-9
Montreal Canadiens MON	48-24	49-36	45-34-6
Boston Bruins BOS	45-27	45-33	35-34-9
Ottawa Senators OTT	44-27	30-43	37-31-5
Detroit Red Wings DET	41-31	38-34	34-30-8
Florida Panthers FLA	40-38	38-34	34-30-8
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	32-36	30-41	40-23-8

Montreal Canadiens

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Tampa Bay Lightning

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Game Statistics

Shots

12.5

5.0

Shooting %

Penalties

Penalty Minutes

Power Plays

Goals

Team	Last 5 Matches
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )	L W L W W
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )	W L W L W

05/18/26

7:30 pm ET

Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )

Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )

vs
Matchup

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Montreal	130	Points	101	Nick Suzuki Center Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Montreal	43	+ / -	37	Nick Suzuki Center Tampa Bay
Cole Caufield Right Wing Tampa Bay	258	Shots	231	Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Montreal
Arber Xhekaj Defense Tampa Bay	116	Penalty Mins	112	Charle-Edouard D'Astous Defense Montreal
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Montreal	39	Wins	29	Jakub Dobes Goaltender Tampa Bay
Jacob Fowler Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.4	GAA	2.3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Montreal

Lane Hutson Defense Tampa Bay	13	Points	8	Jake Guentzel Left Wing Montreal
Jake Evans Center Tampa Bay	8	+ / -	6	Brandon Hagel Left Wing Montreal
Juraj Slafkovsky Left Wing Tampa Bay	37	Shots	31	Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Montreal
Kaiden Guhle Defense Tampa Bay	30	Penalty Mins	13	Brandon Hagel Left Wing Montreal
Jakub Dobes Goaltender Tampa Bay	7	Wins	3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Montreal
Jakub Dobes Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.6	GAA	2.2	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Montreal

nhl Standings Complete MON Standings

Game Preview

Montreal Canadiens vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game 5 Prediction, NHL Odds

The Habs look to rebound from a heartbreaking 3-2 loss in Game 4 when they travel to Benchmark International Arena on Wednesday for Game 5 of their first-round series with the Lightning.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Buffalo Sabres BUF	50-23	49-36	45-34-6
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	50-26	35-45	33-38-9
Montreal Canadiens MON	48-24	49-36	45-34-6
Boston Bruins BOS	45-27	45-33	35-34-9
Ottawa Senators OTT	44-27	30-43	37-31-5
Detroit Red Wings DET	41-31	38-34	34-30-8
Florida Panthers FLA	40-38	38-34	34-30-8
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	32-36	30-41	40-23-8