Sports Interaction

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - February 25, 2026

Game Scheduled
Toronto
Maple Leafs
W W W L L
Tampa Bay
Lightning
W W W W L
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Toronto Maple Leafs 27-21-8-1      
Tampa Bay Lightning 37-14-2-2      

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
02/05/26
Florida Panthers FLA ( 29-25-2-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
1   -   6
Atlantic
02/03/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 28-22-5-3 )
5   -   2
Atlantic
02/03/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
3   -   4
Atlantic
02/02/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )
Calgary Flames CAL ( 23-27-4-2 )
4   -   2
Atlantic
02/01/26
Boston Bruins BOS ( 32-20-2-3 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
5   -   5
Atlantic
01/31/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )
Vancouver Canucks VAN ( 18-33-4-2 )
2   -   2
Atlantic
01/29/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )
Seattle Kraken SEA ( 27-20-5-4 )
2   -   5
Atlantic
01/29/26
Winnipeg Jets WIN ( 22-26-6-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
1   -   4
Central
01/27/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )
7   -   4
Atlantic
01/26/26
Utah Mammoth UTAH ( 30-23-4 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
0   -   2
Central
01/25/26
Colorado Avalanche COL ( 37-9-4-5 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-21-8-1 )
4   -   1
Central
01/24/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 29-20-6-1 )
5   -   8
Atlantic

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
27 21 4-5-1 3W 24-32 -1381 16-9-5-1 11-12-3 32-19-5
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
37 14 8-1-0-1 5W 27-28 780 18-9-0 19-5-2-2 24-25-6

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 TOR Under 6 29 0 0 25 2 2
04/09/2025 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Over 6 31 4 7 28 3 6
01/20/2025 TOR 5 - TB 3 TOR Over 6.5 30 3 6 28 5 8
11/30/2024 TB 3 - TOR 5 TOR Over 6 29 5 10 41 3 5
10/21/2024 TOR 5 - TB 2 TOR Over 6.5 34 2 4 29 5 7
04/17/2024 TB 6 - TOR 4 TB Over 7 38 4 7 32 6 11
04/03/2024 TOR 1 - TB 4 TB Under 6.5 25 4 8 29 1 2
11/06/2023 TOR 6 - TB 5 TOR Over 7 31 5 10 34 6 12
10/21/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Under 7 52 4 7 31 3 6
04/29/2023 TB 1 - TOR 2 (OT) TOR Under 6.5 22 2 3 32 1 2
04/27/2023 TOR 2 - TB 4 TB Under 6.5 38 4 8 30 2 4
04/24/2023 TB 4 - TOR 5 (OT) TOR Over 6.5 37 5 10 31 4 8
04/22/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Over 6.5 27 4 7 39 3 6
04/20/2023 TOR 7 - TB 2 TOR Over 6 22 2 4 37 7 12
04/18/2023 TOR 3 - TB 7 TB Over 6 34 7 11 31 3 6
04/11/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 TOR Over 6.5 24 4 7 48 3 4
12/20/2022 TOR 4 - TB 1 TOR Under 6 19 1 1 40 4 6
12/03/2022 TB 4 - TOR 3 TB Over 6 39 3 3 33 4 7
05/14/2022 TOR 1 - TB 2 TB Under 6.5 25 2 2 31 1 2
05/12/2022 TB 4 - TOR 3 TB Over 6.5 33 3 6 35 4 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
02/03/2026 EDM 2 - TOR 5 W Over 6.5 27 5 7
02/02/2026 CAL 2 - TOR 4 W Under 6 22 4 6
01/31/2026 VAN 2 - TOR 2 L Over 0 41 2 4
01/29/2026 SEA 5 - TOR 2 L Over 6 31 2 1
01/27/2026 TOR 4 - BUF 7 L Over 6 31 7 8
01/25/2026 TOR 1 - COL 4 L Under 6.5 37 4 6
01/23/2026 TOR 3 - VEG 6 L Over 6 31 6 9
01/21/2026 TOR 1 - DET 2 (OT) L Under 6.5 41 2 3
01/19/2026 TOR 3 - MIN 6 L Over 6 39 6 11
01/17/2026 WIN 3 - TOR 4 (OT) W Over 6 37 4 8
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
02/05/2026 TB 6 - FLA 1 W Over 5.5 28 6 9
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 W Over 6 35 4 7
02/01/2026 TB 5 - BOS 5 L Over 6 46 5 10
01/29/2026 TB 4 - WIN 1 W Under 5.5 37 4 8
01/26/2026 TB 2 - UTAH 0 W Under 6 29 2 4
01/24/2026 CLB 8 - TB 5 L Over 6.5 31 8 10
01/23/2026 CHI 1 - TB 1 W Under 6 19 1 2
01/20/2026 TB 4 - SJ 1 W Under 6.5 20 4 8
01/18/2026 DAL 1 - TB 4 W Under 6 20 1 2
01/16/2026 STL 2 - TB 2 L Under 5.5 21 2 3

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 2 3.5
3.4 10 Goals Against Per Game 2 2.5
27.3 19 Shots Per Game 15 28.1
31.6 26 Shots Against Per Game 7 26.3
12.0 7 Shooting % 3 12.6
10.7 11 Opponent Shooting % 2 9.5
-4.32 29 Shot Differential Per Game 7 1.82
12.0 7 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 3 12.6
.890 3 Save % 2 .900
.880 2 Opponent Save % 1 .870
7.1 22 Penalty Minutes Per Game 1 14.6
0.44 24 Power Play Goals Per Game 8 0.71
0.4 1 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 7 0.51
18.8 19 Power Play % 11 22.4
83.7 5 Penalty Kill % 4 83.9
2.07 7 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 7 2.07

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.28 13
Shots 27.32 21
Power Play (%) 19 19
Faceoff (%) 56 1
Penalty Mins 404 29
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.55 2
Shots 28.15 16
Power Play (%) 22 12
Faceoff (%) 47 26
Penalty Mins 802 1
defence
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.28 13
Shots 27.32 21
Power Play (%) 19 19
Faceoff (%) 56 1
Penalty Mins 404 29
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.55 2
Shots 28.15 16
Power Play (%) 22 12
Faceoff (%) 47 26
Penalty Mins 802 1

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player