Bears vs. Falcons Week 6 Betting Odds, Prediction and Picks: Chicago Favoured as Caleb Williams Nears Return
The Chicago Bears look to rebound from last week’s crushing 31-7 loss to the archrival Green Bay Packers when they visit the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday afternoon in NFL Week 6 betting action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Bears saw a two-game win streak snapped with last week’s defeat and enter Week 6 in a three-way tie with the Packers and Detroit in the NFC North standings with a 3-2 SU record. The Falcons are also looking to bounce back after dropping a 30-23 overtime decision to Baltimore on Sunday Night Football that leaves them winless on home turf so far this season.
Bears vs. Falcons Kickoff, Weather, TV, Streaming Info
Kickoff is set for Sunday afternoon at 1pm ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Temperatures outside are forecast around 14 to 16 degrees Celsius with dry conditions and moderate winds, but weather won’t matter if the retractable roof is closed. NFL betting fans can catch the action on FOX, with DAZN streaming the game nationwide in Canada.
NFL Betting Odds, Point Spread, Trends
The Bears arrive in Dixie perched as slim 1-point road favourites on the NFL Week 6 odds. The Falcons are pegged as a -105 bet on the NFL moneyline and the total is listed at 52.
The NFC rivals last met in December 2023, when the Bears tallied a 37-17 home victory, and have now topped Atlanta in four of six meetings since 2009. These squads have taken turns earning the W over their past four clashes, including three straight contests that featured 50+ total points, generating payouts for NFL betting fans taking the OVER.
The Bears have engaged in four straight low-scoring affairs, and held opponents to just 9.3 points per game in three outings prior to last week’s blowout loss. However, Chicago has surrendered 31+ points in each of its past three away contests, with the total reaching 80 in two of those outings.
That’s good news for the Falcons, who have found their offensive groove since scoring just 16 total points during a 0-2 start, averaging 34.3 points per game during their current 2-1 run, and generating a 3-0 run for the OVER.
NFL Player Odds and Props
Bijan Robinson is the man to watch on the NFL player props ahead of Sunday’s contest. Robinson leads the NFL with 580 rushing yards and Atlanta averages more than five yards per carry, adding value to the -115 odds of him compiling OVER 90.5 rushing yards is the obvious headline prop. But it’s important to note that Chicago has allowed only just 96 rushing yards per game and ranks among the league’s better run defences.
D’Andre Swift is also worth consideration as a -115 bet to go OVER 72.5 rushing yards. Swift has 354 rushing yards through five games, and the Bears are likely to lean on Swift even if quarterback Caleb Williams returns from injury.
Chicago Bears
Caleb Williams has practiced fully this week after missing three games because of a torn hamstring, but the Bears had not formally announced him as the starter as of Friday morning. The team has emphasized that the final decision will be based on health rather than simply whether Williams can get through practice. Indeed, Chicago badly needs an offensive upgrade after mustering just seven points in Green Bay last week.
The injury situation on defence is also significant. Montez Sweat is out, while T.J. Edwards has been dealing with an injury. Kyle Monangai is another player to monitor after dealing with a toe issue.
Atlanta Falcons
Michael Penix Jr. is expected to start after practicing fully this week despite suffering a rib injury versus Baltimore. Penix said after Wednesday’s session that he took the first-team reps and was able to make every throw. Bijan Robinson remains Atlanta’s most reliable offensive weapon, while Drake London has emerged as the primary downfield target. The secondary remains a concern. C.J. Henderson has been ruled out with a groin injury, while A.J. Terrell Jr. remains on injured reserve. Za’Darius Smith cleared concussion protocol but has continued dealing with a neck issue.
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