Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 27, 2025

Game Scheduled
Atlantic
Dec 27th, 7:00 PM EST
Ottawa
Senators
W W W W L
Toronto
Maple Leafs
L L W L L
VS
Ottawa Senators
Toronto Maple Leafs
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Ottawa Senators 18-13-4      
Toronto Maple Leafs 15-15-4-1      

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/21/25
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-13-4 )
Boston Bruins BOS ( 20-16-0-1 )
6   -   2
 Atlantic
12/21/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
Dallas Stars DAL ( 25-7-3-2 )
1   -   5
 Atlantic
12/20/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
Nashville Predators NAS ( 15-16-4 )
3   -   5
 Atlantic
12/20/25
Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 13-16-4-2 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-13-4 )
4   -   6
 Central
12/18/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-13-4 )
0   -   4
 Metropolitan
12/18/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 19-12-1-4 )
0   -   4
 Atlantic
12/16/25
Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 13-16-4-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
2   -   3
 Central
12/15/25
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-13-4 )
Winnipeg Jets WIN ( 15-17-2-1 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
12/13/25
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 18-13-4-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
6   -   3
 Pacific
12/13/25
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-13-4 )
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 22-10-4-1 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
12/11/25
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-13-4 )
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 15-15-5-1 )
6   -   3
 Atlantic
12/11/25
San Jose Sharks SJ ( 17-16-2-1 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
3   -   2
 Pacific

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
18 13 6-4-0 4W 16-19 -40 8-6-2 10-7-2 20-14-1
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
15 15 4-4-1-1 3L 12-23 -1616 10-5-4-1 5-10-0 20-12-3

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists OTT:Shots OTT:Goals OTT:Assists
09/23/2025 TOR 2 - OTT 3 (OT) OTT Under 6.5 33 2 4 41 3 4
09/21/2025 OTT 3 - TOR 4 TOR Over 6 20 4 5 35 3 6
05/01/2025 OTT 2 - TOR 4 TOR Over 5.5 23 4 6 23 2 3
04/29/2025 TOR 0 - OTT 4 OTT Under 5.5 19 4 6 29 0 0
04/26/2025 OTT 4 - TOR 3 OTT Over 5.5 34 3 6 21 4 4
04/24/2025 OTT 2 - TOR 3 (OT) TOR Under 5.5 20 3 5 20 2 4
04/22/2025 TOR 3 - OTT 2 TOR Under 6 28 2 4 21 3 5
04/20/2025 TOR 6 - OTT 2 TOR Over 5.5 33 2 4 24 6 10
03/15/2025 TOR 2 - OTT 4 OTT Under 6 25 4 5 23 2 2
01/25/2025 OTT 2 - TOR 1 OTT Under 5.5 29 1 2 23 2 4
11/12/2024 TOR 0 - OTT 3 OTT Under 6 41 3 5 27 0 0
09/24/2024 OTT 2 - TOR 1 OTT Under 6.5 20 1 0 27 2 2
09/22/2024 TOR 5 - OTT 6 (OT) OTT Over 6.5 34 6 11 37 5 9
02/10/2024 OTT 5 - TOR 3 OTT Over 7 35 3 6 32 5 7
12/27/2023 TOR 2 - OTT 4 OTT Under 7 30 4 5 36 2 3
12/07/2023 OTT 3 - TOR 4 TOR Over 0 22 4 8 41 3 4
11/08/2023 TOR 3 - OTT 6 OTT Over 7 31 6 11 30 3 6
09/25/2023 TOR 3 - OTT 4 (OT) OTT Over 6.5 39 4 6 39 3 6
09/24/2023 OTT 3 - TOR 2 OTT Under 6.5 38 2 4 32 3 6
04/01/2023 OTT 0 - TOR 3 TOR Under 7 20 3 3 31 0 0
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/21/2025 BOS 2 - OTT 6 W Over 6 28 6 12
12/20/2025 OTT 6 - CHI 4 W Over 5.5 24 4 7
12/18/2025 OTT 4 - PIT 0 W Under 6 25 0 0
12/15/2025 WIN 2 - OTT 3 (OT) W Under 5.5 31 3 5
12/13/2025 MIN 3 - OTT 2 L Under 6 36 2 4
12/11/2025 CLB 3 - OTT 6 W Over 6 29 6 11
12/09/2025 OTT 3 - NJ 4 L Over 5.5 32 4 6
12/06/2025 OTT 1 - STL 2 L Under 5.5 20 2 3
12/04/2025 OTT 2 - NYR 4 L Over 5.5 28 4 8
12/02/2025 MON 2 - OTT 5 W Over 6 29 5 9
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/21/2025 DAL 5 - TOR 1 L Under 6 22 5 9
12/20/2025 NAS 5 - TOR 3 L Over 6 34 5 7
12/18/2025 WAS 4 - TOR 0 L Under 6 29 4 8
12/16/2025 TOR 3 - CHI 2 W Under 5.5 27 3 5
12/13/2025 TOR 3 - EDM 6 L Over 6 28 3 6
12/11/2025 TOR 2 - SJ 3 (OT) L Under 6 30 2 4
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 W Under 6 25 2 2
12/06/2025 TOR 1 - MON 1 L Under 6 23 1 1
12/04/2025 CAR 1 - TOR 5 W Under 6 33 1 2
12/02/2025 FLA 1 - TOR 4 W Under 6 26 1 1

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Ottawa Senators OTT
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 6 3.1
3.1 8 Goals Against Per Game 10 3.3
27.9 15 Shots Per Game 18 26.9
25.4 3 Shots Against Per Game 26 31.1
11.7 5 Shooting % 6 11.6
12.4 26 Opponent Shooting % 14 10.8
2.54 6 Shot Differential Per Game 30 -4.2
11.7 5 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 6 11.6
.880 5 Save % 4 .890
.880 3 Opponent Save % 3 .880
9.8 7 Penalty Minutes Per Game 21 7.7
0.86 3 Power Play Goals Per Game 26 0.34
0.8 20 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 2 0.46
25.9 4 Power Play % 27 13.3
71.4 26 Penalty Kill % 4 83.2
1.82 20 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 8 1.99

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Ottawa Senators OTT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.26 6
Shots 27.91 19
Power Play (%) 26 4
Faceoff (%) 56 2
Penalty Mins 343 9
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.11 12
Shots 26.86 22
Power Play (%) 13 32
Faceoff (%) 57 1
Penalty Mins 268 29
defence
Ottawa Senators OTT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.26 6
Shots 27.91 19
Power Play (%) 26 4
Faceoff (%) 56 2
Penalty Mins 343 9
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.11 12
Shots 26.86 22
Power Play (%) 13 32
Faceoff (%) 57 1
Penalty Mins 268 29

Injuries

Ottawa Senators OTT
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Ottawa vs. Toronto Betting News

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Ottawa Vs Toronto Betting Trends

Ottawa Senators OTT

Under is 20-5-1 in Senators last 26 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 5-1 in Senators last 6 Saturday games.

Senators are 1-9 in their last 10 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 13-6 in Senators last 19 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 6-0-1 in Senators last 7 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Maple Leafs are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.

Over is 21-8-2 in Maple Leafs last 31 Saturday games.

Under is 4-0 in Maple Leafs last 4 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 7-3 in Maple Leafs last 10 games as a home favorite.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Ottawa Senators
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Toronto Maple Leafs
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player