Packers vs. Broncos Point Spread: NFL Week 15 Odds, Prediction
The Packers are leading the NFC North at 9-3-1 and find themselves just a half-game behind the Rams atop the conference. With an 11-2 record, the Broncos currently own the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
Denver owns a very slight 8-7-1 lead in the all-time head-to-head series, which includes a Super Bowl showdown at the end of the 1997 season – won by the Broncos 31-24. Green Bay, however, has won four of the last six encounters dating back to 2003. These two proud franchises most recently faced each other in October of 2023, when Denver prevailed 19-17 at home.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Green Bay is 2-0-1 against the spread in its last three contests. Denver is 1-3 ATS in its last four overall. As for the over/under, the over 6-3-1 in the Packers’ last 10 games and 5-0 in their last five on the road. However, the under is 7-4 in the Broncos’ last 11 outings and 3-0 in the last three head-to-head matchups.
In addition to the more traditional lines, the first-quarter spread is -0.5 in the Packers’ favour and the first-half spread is -1.5. The first-quarter over/under is 7.5; the first-half over/under is 21.5.
Green Bay Packers
Quarterback Jordan Love has been fantastic in 2025, and he will have to be again on Sunday because Denver’s run defense is No. 2 in the NFL and No. 1 in yards per carry allowed (3.7). If Green Bay wants to move the ball, it will probably have to be through the air. Love has completed 67.1 of his passes this season for 3,028 yards, 22 touchdowns and only four interceptions. The Utah State product has thrown seven TD passes over the past two games, and he has been picked off just once in the last five outings.
Love is getting a lot of help from his defence, too. The Micah Parsons-led unit has held five of its last six opponents to 21 points or fewer. Only once this year has a team pinned more than 25 points on the Packers (Dallas in Week 4).
Denver Broncos
There are not many defenses that are statistically superior to that of Green Bay. One such outfit is none other than Denver. The Broncos are No. 3 league wide in total defence and No. 4 in scoring (18.1 points per game allowed). Only once in the last five games has an opponent reached the 20-point mark. Cornerback Pat Surtain II, the reigning NFL Defensive Player of the Year, has played the last two games after missing more than a month due to a pectoral injury.
With such a good defense behind him, Bo Nix does not have to be much more than a game manager. The second-year QB out of Oregon has done a nice job of that – especially over the past three weeks. Nix has thrown just one interception during this stretch after getting picked off eight times in the first 10 contests.
NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Packers vs. Broncos?
As the records indicate, these are two of the best teams – and specifically the best defenses – in football. There is no reason why Sunday’s showdown should not live up to the hype. Let’s give a slight edge to Love over Nix and Parsons over Surtain. Packers 21, Broncos 20.
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