Senators vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - March 28, 2026

Scoreboard	1	2	3	Odds
Ottawa Senators 44-27-10-1	2	0	0	+6
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2	0	2	2	+115

Date	Result	Competition
05/03/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 2 - 1	Atlantic
05/01/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 1 - 0	Atlantic
04/29/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 3 - 2	Atlantic
04/26/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 3 - 2	Atlantic
04/25/26	Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) 4 - 2	Metropolitan
04/24/26	Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic
04/23/26	Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) 2 - 1	Metropolitan
04/21/26	Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 ) Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic
04/20/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 ) 2 - 3	Atlantic
04/18/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 ) 0 - 2	Atlantic
04/15/26	Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 32-36-10-4 ) Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) 1 - 3	Atlantic
04/12/26	Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 ) New Jersey Devils NJ ( 42-37-2-1 ) 3 - 4	Atlantic

Team	Puckline	Moneyline	Over / Under
Ottawa Senators OTT	+1.5 0	0	U+60
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	-1.5 0	0	O+60

time	fav	spread	money line	total
Opening 28 Mar 5:19pm	OTT	-1.5 +140	-400	O +6 -105
Closing 28 Mar 5:19pm	OTT	-1.5 +140	-400	O +6 -105

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	130	Points	83	Tim Stutzle Left Wing Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	43	+ / -	22	Artem Zub Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	231	Shots	221	Brady Tkachuk Left Wing Tampa Bay
Charle-Edouard D'Astous Defense Ottawa	112	Penalty Mins	92	Nick Cousins Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	39	Wins	27	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Tampa Bay
James Reimer Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.4	GAA	2.3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa

Jake Guentzel Left Wing Ottawa	8	Points	4	Drake Batherson Right Wing Tampa Bay
Brandon Hagel Left Wing Ottawa	6	+ / -	2	Jake Sanderson Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	31	Shots	11	Dylan Cozens Center Tampa Bay
Brandon Hagel Left Wing Ottawa	13	Penalty Mins	13	Brady Tkachuk Left Wing Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	3	Wins	0	Michael Amadio Right Wing Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	2.2	GAA	2.0	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Tampa Bay

Ottawa Senators OTT Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Stat
38	Games Won	44
24	Games Lost	21
6-3-1	Last 10	5-5-0
18-11-5-1	W L Streak	21-12-1
26-36	Against The Spread	32-31
-642	Money	1030
18-11-5-1	Home	21-12-1
20-13-4	Away	23-9-3-2
33-26-3	Total	29-26-8

date	home-away	ats	o/u	TB:Shots	TB:Goals	TB:Assists	OTT:Shots	OTT:Goals	OTT:Assists
04/07/2026	OTT 6 - TB 2	OTT	Over 6.5	30	2	4	32	6	10
03/28/2026	TB 4 - OTT 2	TB	Under 6	27	4	8	28	2	4
10/09/2025	TB 4 - OTT 5	OTT	Over 6	25	4	8	34	5	9
04/03/2025	OTT 2 - TB 1	OTT	Under 6	32	1	2	19	2	3
02/06/2025	TB 5 - OTT 1	TB	Over 5.5	28	1	2	31	5	8
02/04/2025	TB 4 - OTT 3	TB	Over 5.5	28	3	6	38	4	5
10/19/2024	OTT 5 - TB 4	OTT	Over 6.5	29	4	8	28	5	8
04/11/2024	TB 2 - OTT 2	OTT	Under 6.5	27	2	3	26	2	4
02/19/2024	TB 2 - OTT 4	OTT	Under 6.5	28	4	7	25	2	1
11/04/2023	OTT 4 - TB 6	TB	Over 7	38	6	9	28	4	7
10/15/2023	OTT 5 - TB 2	OTT	Under 7	24	2	4	38	5	7
04/08/2023	OTT 7 - TB 4	OTT	Over 6.5	24	4	8	40	7	11
03/23/2023	OTT 7 - TB 2	OTT	Over 7	29	2	4	35	7	11
11/01/2022	TB 4 - OTT 3	TB	Over 6.5	15	3	1	34	4	8
03/01/2022	TB 5 - OTT 2	TB	Over 6	27	2	4	22	5	8
12/16/2021	TB 2 - OTT 1	TB	Under 6	26	1	0	27	2	4
12/11/2021	OTT 4 - TB 0	OTT	Under 6	25	0	0	23	4	6
11/06/2021	OTT 3 - TB 5	TB	Over 6	33	5	10	27	3	4
01/04/2020	OTT 3 - TB 5	TB	Over 6.5	28	5	6	28	3	5
12/17/2019	TB 4 - OTT 3	TB	Over 6.5	28	3	4	40	4	4

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
04/25/2026	OTT 2 - CAR 4	L	Under 6	30	4	8
04/23/2026	OTT 1 - CAR 2	L	Under 6	27	2	4
04/20/2026	CAR 3 - OTT 2	L	Under 6	39	2	3
04/18/2026	CAR 2 - OTT 0	L	Under 6	22	0	0
04/15/2026	OTT 3 - TOR 1	W	Under 6.5	20	1	2
04/12/2026	NJ 4 - OTT 3	L	Over 6	30	3	4
04/11/2026	NYI 0 - OTT 3	W	Under 6	16	3	5
04/09/2026	OTT 5 - FLA 1	W	Under 6.5	23	1	2
04/07/2026	OTT 6 - TB 2	W	Over 6.5	30	2	4
04/05/2026	OTT 6 - CAR 3	W	Over 6.5	28	3	4

date	score	ats	o/u	Shots	Goals	Assists
05/03/2026	TB 1 - MON 2	L	Under 5	29	1	2
05/01/2026	MON 0 - TB 1 (OT)	W	Under 5.5	30	0	0
04/29/2026	TB 2 - MON 3	L	Under 5.5	40	2	2
04/26/2026	MON 2 - TB 3	W	Under 6	18	2	4
04/24/2026	MON 3 - TB 2	L	Under 6	29	3	5
04/21/2026	TB 3 - MON 2	W	Under 6	34	3	5
04/19/2026	TB 3 - MON 4 (OT)	L	Over 6	23	3	6
04/15/2026	TB 2 - NYR 4	L	Under 6.5	31	2	4
04/13/2026	TB 4 - DET 3	W	Over 6.5	22	4	6
04/11/2026	BOS 1 - TB 2	W	Under 6	21	1	1

Ottawa Senators OTT Tampa Bay Lightning TB

avg	rank	edge in	rank	avg
2.0	13	Goals Per Game	6	3.1
3.2	12	Goals Against Per Game	10	2.9
23.5	13	Shots Per Game	24	19.6
16.7	3	Shots Against Per Game	16	25.0
8.5	28	Shooting %	4	16.1
19.0	25	Opponent Shooting %	12	11.4
6.83	4	Shot Differential Per Game	26	-5.43
8.5	28	Scoring Efficiency Ratio	4	16.1
.810	11	Save %	4	.890
.930	9	Opponent Save %	2	.860
24.3	3	Penalty Minutes Per Game	1	50.7
0.33	11	Power Play Goals Per Game	2	1
0.5	6	Power Play Goals Against Per Game	14	1.29
15.4	16	Power Play %	11	21.2
78.6	16	Penalty Kill %	12	82.0
2.27	8	Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio	10	2.24

Ottawa Senators OTT

	Season stats	rank
Goals Against	2.99	13
Shots Against	24.4	3
Penalty Kill (%)	76	26
Shutouts	4	14
Penalty Mins	793	25

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals Against	2.79	3
Shots Against	26.7	8
Penalty Kill (%)	83	3
Shutouts	2	22
Penalty Mins	1106	32

Ottawa Senators OTT

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.35	8
Shots	28.91	9
Power Play (%)	24	8
Faceoff (%)	55	2
Penalty Mins	786	8

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

	Season stats	rank
Goals	3.49	4
Shots	28.11	14
Power Play (%)	21	15
Faceoff (%)	47	29
Penalty Mins	1207	1

Ottawa Senators OTT

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Jake Sanderson (D)	Ques Mon	Concussion - 24 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Artem Zub (D)	Out indefinitely	Undisclosed - 18 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brady Tkachuk (LW)	Questionable	Undisclosed - 12 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Tyler Kleven (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 04 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Carter Yakemchuk (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Thomas Chabot (D)	Out indefinitely	Arm - 24 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Lassi Thomson (D)	Ques Fri	Lower Body - 24 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nick Jensen (D)	Out indefinitely	Lower Body - 13 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Jake Sanderson (D)	Out indefinitely	Upper Body - 08 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Tim Stutzle (LW)	Ques Thurs	Illness - 26 / 02 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

player (position)	status		ats*current	o/u*	notes
Nick Paul (LW)	Ques Fri	Illness - 29 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Pontus Holmberg (RW)	Ques Sun	Upper Body - 22 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D)	Ques Fri	Undisclosed - 20 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Zemgus Girgensons (LW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Darren Raddysh (D)	Ques Wed	Undisclosed - 11 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Ques Sat	Lower Body - 09 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Scott Sabourin (RW)	Ques Mon	Undisclosed - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Brandon Hagel (LW)	Ques Tues	Undisclosed - 01 / 04 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Nikita Kucherov (RW)	Ques Tues	Illness - 29 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details
Victor Hedman (D)	Out indefinitely	Personal - 20 / 03 / 26	0-0	0-0	Details

Ottawa Senators OTT

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Ottawa Senators OTT

Senators are 6-2 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Under is 20-6-1 in Senators last 27 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Senators are 2-9 in their last 11 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Senators are 11-47 in their last 58 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Senators are 8-2 in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 6-0 in Lightning last 6 Saturday games.

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

Over is 6-1-1 in Lightning last 8 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.

Over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Over is 7-1-2 in Lightning last 10 games as a favorite.

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Buffalo Sabres BUF	50-23	49-36	45-34-6
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	50-26	35-45	33-38-9
Montreal Canadiens MON	48-24	49-36	45-34-6
Boston Bruins BOS	45-27	45-33	35-34-9
Ottawa Senators OTT	44-27	30-43	37-31-5
Detroit Red Wings DET	41-31	38-34	34-30-8
Florida Panthers FLA	40-38	38-34	34-30-8
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	32-36	30-41	40-23-8

Ottawa Senators

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Tampa Bay Lightning

Pitchers

POS	Player

Hitters

POS	Player

Game Statistics

Shots

7.1

14.8

Shooting %

Penalties

Penalty Minutes

Power Plays

Goals

Team	Last 5 Matches
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 )	L L L L W
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )	W L W L W

Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	130	Points	83	Tim Stutzle Left Wing Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	43	+ / -	22	Artem Zub Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	231	Shots	221	Brady Tkachuk Left Wing Tampa Bay
Charle-Edouard D'Astous Defense Ottawa	112	Penalty Mins	92	Nick Cousins Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	39	Wins	27	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Tampa Bay
James Reimer Goaltender Tampa Bay	2.4	GAA	2.3	Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa

Jake Guentzel Left Wing Ottawa	8	Points	4	Drake Batherson Right Wing Tampa Bay
Brandon Hagel Left Wing Ottawa	6	+ / -	2	Jake Sanderson Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov Right Wing Ottawa	31	Shots	11	Dylan Cozens Center Tampa Bay
Brandon Hagel Left Wing Ottawa	13	Penalty Mins	13	Brady Tkachuk Left Wing Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	3	Wins	0	Michael Amadio Right Wing Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy Goaltender Ottawa	2.2	GAA	2.0	Linus Ullmark Goaltender Tampa Bay

Team	Win / Loss	ATS	OU
Buffalo Sabres BUF	50-23	49-36	45-34-6
Tampa Bay Lightning TB	50-26	35-45	33-38-9
Montreal Canadiens MON	48-24	49-36	45-34-6
Boston Bruins BOS	45-27	45-33	35-34-9
Ottawa Senators OTT	44-27	30-43	37-31-5
Detroit Red Wings DET	41-31	38-34	34-30-8
Florida Panthers FLA	40-38	38-34	34-30-8
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR	32-36	30-41	40-23-8

Senators vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats March 28, 2026

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