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Senators vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - March 28, 2026

Final Score
Atlantic
Mar 28th, 1:00 PM EDT
Ottawa
Senators
Tampa Bay
Lightning
2
4
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Ottawa Senators 44-27-10-1 2 0 0 +6
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2 0 2 2 +115

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
05/03/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   1
 Atlantic
05/01/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
1   -   0
 Atlantic
04/29/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/26/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/25/26
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 )
4   -   2
 Metropolitan
04/24/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/23/26
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 )
2   -   1
 Metropolitan
04/21/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/20/26
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 )
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/18/26
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 )
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 53-22-3-4 )
0   -   2
 Atlantic
04/15/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 32-36-10-4 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 )
1   -   3
 Atlantic
04/12/26
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 44-27-10-1 )
New Jersey Devils NJ ( 42-37-2-1 )
3   -   4
 Atlantic

Matchup Odds

Team Puckline Moneyline Over / Under
Ottawa Senators OTT
+1.5 0 0 U+60
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
-1.5 0 0 O+60

Line History

time fav line total
Opening 27 Mar 7:21pm OTT O +6 -105
Closing 28 Mar 7:38pm OTT U +6.5 -190

Line History

Team Leaders

Ottawa Senators OTT
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Ottawa
130 Points 83
Tim Stutzle
Left Wing Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Ottawa
43 + / - 22
Artem Zub
Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Ottawa
231 Shots 221
Brady Tkachuk
Left Wing Tampa Bay
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Defense Ottawa
112 Penalty Mins 92
Nick Cousins
Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Ottawa
39 Wins 27
Linus Ullmark
Goaltender Tampa Bay
James Reimer
Goaltender Tampa Bay
2.4 GAA 2.3
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Ottawa
Ottawa Senators OTT
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Jake Guentzel
Left Wing Ottawa
8 Points 4
Drake Batherson
Right Wing Tampa Bay
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Ottawa
6 + / - 2
Jake Sanderson
Defense Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Ottawa
31 Shots 11
Dylan Cozens
Center Tampa Bay
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Ottawa
13 Penalty Mins 13
Brady Tkachuk
Left Wing Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Ottawa
3 Wins 0
Michael Amadio
Right Wing Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Ottawa
2.2 GAA 2.0
Linus Ullmark
Goaltender Tampa Bay

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
38 24 6-3-1 1W 26-36 -642 18-11-5-1 20-13-4 33-26-3
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
44 21 5-5-0 1L 32-31 1030 21-12-1 23-9-3-2 29-26-8

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists OTT:Shots OTT:Goals OTT:Assists
04/07/2026 OTT 6 - TB 2 OTT Over 6.5 30 2 4 32 6 10
03/28/2026 TB 4 - OTT 2 TB Under 6 27 4 8 28 2 4
10/09/2025 TB 4 - OTT 5 OTT Over 6 25 4 8 34 5 9
04/03/2025 OTT 2 - TB 1 OTT Under 6 32 1 2 19 2 3
02/06/2025 TB 5 - OTT 1 TB Over 5.5 28 1 2 31 5 8
02/04/2025 TB 4 - OTT 3 TB Over 5.5 28 3 6 38 4 5
10/19/2024 OTT 5 - TB 4 OTT Over 6.5 29 4 8 28 5 8
04/11/2024 TB 2 - OTT 2 OTT Under 6.5 27 2 3 26 2 4
02/19/2024 TB 2 - OTT 4 OTT Under 6.5 28 4 7 25 2 1
11/04/2023 OTT 4 - TB 6 TB Over 7 38 6 9 28 4 7
10/15/2023 OTT 5 - TB 2 OTT Under 7 24 2 4 38 5 7
04/08/2023 OTT 7 - TB 4 OTT Over 6.5 24 4 8 40 7 11
03/23/2023 OTT 7 - TB 2 OTT Over 7 29 2 4 35 7 11
11/01/2022 TB 4 - OTT 3 TB Over 6.5 15 3 1 34 4 8
03/01/2022 TB 5 - OTT 2 TB Over 6 27 2 4 22 5 8
12/16/2021 TB 2 - OTT 1 TB Under 6 26 1 0 27 2 4
12/11/2021 OTT 4 - TB 0 OTT Under 6 25 0 0 23 4 6
11/06/2021 OTT 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6 33 5 10 27 3 4
01/04/2020 OTT 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6.5 28 5 6 28 3 5
12/17/2019 TB 4 - OTT 3 TB Over 6.5 28 3 4 40 4 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/25/2026 OTT 2 - CAR 4 L Under 6 30 4 8
04/23/2026 OTT 1 - CAR 2 L Under 6 27 2 4
04/20/2026 CAR 3 - OTT 2 L Under 6 39 2 3
04/18/2026 CAR 2 - OTT 0 L Under 6 22 0 0
04/15/2026 OTT 3 - TOR 1 W Under 6.5 20 1 2
04/12/2026 NJ 4 - OTT 3 L Over 6 30 3 4
04/11/2026 NYI 0 - OTT 3 W Under 6 16 3 5
04/09/2026 OTT 5 - FLA 1 W Under 6.5 23 1 2
04/07/2026 OTT 6 - TB 2 W Over 6.5 30 2 4
04/05/2026 OTT 6 - CAR 3 W Over 6.5 28 3 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
05/03/2026 TB 1 - MON 2 L Under 5 29 1 2
05/01/2026 MON 0 - TB 1 (OT) W Under 5.5 30 0 0
04/29/2026 TB 2 - MON 3 L Under 5.5 40 2 2
04/26/2026 MON 2 - TB 3 W Under 6 18 2 4
04/24/2026 MON 3 - TB 2 L Under 6 29 3 5
04/21/2026 TB 3 - MON 2 W Under 6 34 3 5
04/19/2026 TB 3 - MON 4 (OT) L Over 6 23 3 6
04/15/2026 TB 2 - NYR 4 L Under 6.5 31 2 4
04/13/2026 TB 4 - DET 3 W Over 6.5 22 4 6
04/11/2026 BOS 1 - TB 2 W Under 6 21 1 1

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Ottawa Senators OTT
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
1.3 12 Goals Per Game 9 2.1
2.8 7 Goals Against Per Game 3 2.3
27.5 10 Shots Per Game 8 28.0
33.8 16 Shots Against Per Game 1 22.3
4.5 14 Shooting % 11 7.7
8.1 2 Opponent Shooting % 6 10.3
-6.25 14 Shot Differential Per Game 2 5.71
4.5 14 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 11 7.7
.920 2 Save % 4 .900
.950 7 Opponent Save % 5 .920
11.8 9 Penalty Minutes Per Game 7 12.7
0.25 11 Power Play Goals Per Game 4 0.71
0.5 6 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 9 0.71
4.8 15 Power Play % 8 17.2
86.7 7 Penalty Kill % 11 80.8
1.73 11 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 15 1.58

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Ottawa Senators OTT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.35 8
Shots 28.91 9
Power Play (%) 24 8
Faceoff (%) 55 2
Penalty Mins 786 8
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1
defence
Ottawa Senators OTT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.35 8
Shots 28.91 9
Power Play (%) 24 8
Faceoff (%) 55 2
Penalty Mins 786 8
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1

Injuries

Ottawa Senators OTT
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Ottawa vs. Tampa Bay Betting News

Ottawa Senators OTT

No posts found.
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Ottawa Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Ottawa Senators OTT

Senators are 6-2 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Under is 20-6-1 in Senators last 27 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Senators are 2-9 in their last 11 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Senators are 11-47 in their last 58 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Senators are 8-2 in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 6-0 in Lightning last 6 Saturday games.

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

Over is 6-1-1 in Lightning last 8 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.

Over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Over is 7-1-2 in Lightning last 10 games as a favorite.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Ottawa Senators
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • OTT
  • TB
NHL Odds