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Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction, Odds & Stats November 28, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Nov 28th, 12:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay
Lightning
Detroit
Red Wings
6
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Detroit Red Wings
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2 1 3 2 +6
Detroit Red Wings 41-31-6-4 1 2 0 -130

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
05/03/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   1
 Atlantic
05/01/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
1   -   0
 Atlantic
04/29/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/26/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/24/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/21/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/15/26
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 41-31-6-4 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 40-38-2-2 )
1   -   8
 Atlantic
04/13/26
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 41-31-6-4 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
3   -   4
 Atlantic
04/11/26
New Jersey Devils NJ ( 42-37-2-1 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 41-31-6-4 )
5   -   3
 Metropolitan
04/09/26
Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 43-27-8-4 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 41-31-6-4 )
3   -   6
 Metropolitan
04/07/26
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 40-30-10-2 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 41-31-6-4 )
3   -   3
 Metropolitan
04/05/26
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 46-24-7-5 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 41-31-6-4 )
5   -   4
 Central

Matchup Odds

Team Puckline Moneyline Over / Under
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
-1.5 0 0 U+60
Detroit Red Wings DET
+1.5 0 0 O+60

Line History

time fav spread money line total
Opening 27 Nov 8:16pm TB -1.5 +180 - O +6 -125
Closing 27 Nov 8:16pm TB -1.5 +180 - O +6 -125

Line History

Team Leaders

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Detroit Red Wings DET
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Detroit
130 Points 85
Alex DeBrincat
Right Wing Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Detroit
43 + / - 15
Moritz Seider
Defense Tampa Bay
Alex DeBrincat
Right Wing Tampa Bay
287 Shots 231
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Detroit
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Defense Detroit
112 Penalty Mins 75
Ben Chiarot
Defense Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Detroit
39 Wins 29
John Gibson
Goaltender Tampa Bay
John Gibson
Goaltender Tampa Bay
2.7 GAA 2.3
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Detroit Red Wings DET
Jake Guentzel
Left Wing Detroit
8 Points
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Detroit
6 + / -
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Detroit
31 Shots Did not qualify
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Detroit
13 Penalty Mins
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Detroit
3 Wins
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Detroit
2.2 GAA

Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Detroit Red Wings DET
Stat
14 Games Won 13
7 Games Lost 10
5-5-0 Last 10 2-6-1-1
8-5-0 W L Streak 8-5-1
10-13 Against The Spread 13-11
-160 Money -15
8-5-0 Home 8-5-1
6-2-2 Away 5-5-0
8-11-4 Total 12-8-4

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u DET:Shots DET:Goals DET:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
04/13/2026 TB 4 - DET 3 TB Over 6.5 30 3 5 22 4 6
03/12/2026 TB 4 - DET 1 TB Over 0 25 1 2 28 4 6
11/28/2025 DET 3 - TB 6 TB Over 6 37 3 4 27 6 7
10/17/2025 DET 2 - TB 1 DET Under 6 31 2 3 32 1 2
04/11/2025 TB 3 - DET 4 (OT) DET Over 6.5 26 4 4 21 3 4
02/08/2025 DET 3 - TB 6 TB Over 6 18 6 12 37 3 4
01/25/2025 DET 2 - TB 0 DET Under 6 28 0 0 32 2 3
01/18/2025 TB 5 - DET 1 TB Under 6 39 1 2 22 5 9
04/01/2024 TB 2 - DET 4 DET Under 6.5 32 4 6 36 2 3
01/21/2024 DET 2 - TB 1 DET Under 6.5 28 1 2 35 2 3
10/14/2023 DET 6 - TB 4 DET Over 6.5 25 4 7 42 6 6
04/13/2023 TB 5 - DET 0 TB Under 6.5 32 0 0 32 5 9
02/25/2023 DET 0 - TB 3 TB Under 6 18 3 5 45 0 0
12/21/2022 DET 7 - TB 4 DET Over 6 38 4 6 31 7 9
12/06/2022 TB 2 - DET 4 DET Under 6.5 26 4 7 46 2 4
04/19/2022 TB 3 - DET 4 DET Over 6.5 31 4 4 41 3 6
03/26/2022 DET 1 - TB 2 (OT) TB Under 6.5 36 2 4 27 1 2
03/04/2022 TB 3 - DET 1 TB Under 6.5 23 1 2 38 3 6
10/14/2021 DET 6 - TB 7 (OT) TB Over 5.5 48 7 13 26 6 12
05/02/2021 DET 1 - TB 2 TB Under 5.5 42 2 3 23 1 2
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
05/03/2026 TB 1 - MON 2 L Under 5 9 2 4
05/01/2026 MON 0 - TB 1 (OT) W Under 5.5 33 1 2
04/29/2026 TB 2 - MON 3 L Under 5.5 24 3 5
04/26/2026 MON 2 - TB 3 W Under 6 20 3 6
04/24/2026 MON 3 - TB 2 L Under 6 17 2 2
04/21/2026 TB 3 - MON 2 W Under 6 27 2 4
04/19/2026 TB 3 - MON 4 (OT) L Over 6 19 4 8
04/15/2026 TB 2 - NYR 4 L Under 6.5 21 4 8
04/13/2026 TB 4 - DET 3 W Over 6.5 30 3 5
04/11/2026 BOS 1 - TB 2 W Under 6 24 2 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/15/2026 FLA 8 - DET 1 L Over 6 27 8 14
04/13/2026 TB 4 - DET 3 L Over 6.5 22 4 6
04/11/2026 DET 3 - NJ 5 L Over 6.5 28 3 5
04/09/2026 DET 6 - PHI 3 W Over 6 22 6 11
04/07/2026 DET 3 - CLB 3 L Under 6 37 3 6
04/05/2026 DET 4 - MIN 5 L Over 6 24 4 8
04/04/2026 NYR 4 - DET 1 L Under 6.5 20 4 8
04/02/2026 PHI 2 - DET 4 W Under 6 34 2 4
03/31/2026 PIT 5 - DET 1 L Under 6.5 32 5 8
03/28/2026 DET 3 - PHI 5 L Over 6 35 3 5

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Detroit Red Wings DET
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.1 6 Goals Per Game 6 3.1
2.9 10 Goals Against Per Game 7 2.6
19.6 24 Shots Per Game 1 32.0
25.0 16 Shots Against Per Game 8 21.0
16.1 4 Shooting % 23 9.8
11.4 12 Opponent Shooting % 16 12.5
-5.43 26 Shot Differential Per Game 1 11
16.1 4 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 23 9.8
.890 4 Save % 5 .880
.860 2 Opponent Save % 6 .900
50.7 1 Penalty Minutes Per Game 19 9.4
1 2 Power Play Goals Per Game 5 0.75
1.29 14 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 11 0.75
21.2 11 Power Play % 12 20.7
82.0 12 Penalty Kill % 15 80.0
2.24 10 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 19 1.71

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1
Detroit Red Wings DET
Season stats rank
Goals 2.91 22
Shots 28.24 11
Power Play (%) 23 12
Faceoff (%) 51 10
Penalty Mins 625 28
defence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1
Detroit Red Wings DET
Season stats rank
Goals 2.91 22
Shots 28.24 11
Power Play (%) 23 12
Faceoff (%) 51 10
Penalty Mins 625 28

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Detroit Red Wings DET

Tampa Bay vs. Detroit Betting News

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.
Detroit Red Wings DET

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Vs Detroit Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Lightning are 49-15 in their last 64 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Under is 2-0-2 in Lightning last 4 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Detroit Red Wings DET

Over is 9-2-1 in Red Wings last 12 Friday games.

Over is 34-15-5 in Red Wings last 54 games as a favorite.

Over is 8-0-1 in Red Wings last 9 following a home loss of 3 or more goals.

Red Wings are 21-60 in their last 81 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 5-2-1 in Red Wings last 8 games a home underdog.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Detroit Red Wings
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TB
  • DET
NHL Odds