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Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Odds & Stats - March 08, 2026

Final Score
Atlantic
Mar 8th, 6:00 PM EDT
Tampa Bay
Lightning
Buffalo
Sabres
7
8
Tampa Bay Lightning
Buffalo Sabres
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 39-19-2-2 0 4 3 +6
Buffalo Sabres 39-19-6 1 3 4 -118

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
03/07/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-19-2-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-26-8-3 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
03/07/26
Nashville Predators NAS ( 28-27-8 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 39-19-6 )
2   -   3
 Central
03/05/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-19-2-2 )
Winnipeg Jets WIN ( 26-26-8-2 )
1   -   4
 Atlantic
03/05/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 39-19-6 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 32-17-5-9 )
5   -   1
 Atlantic
03/03/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-19-2-2 )
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 37-16-7-4 )
1   -   5
 Atlantic
03/03/26
Vegas Golden Knights VEG ( 29-21-8-6 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 39-19-6 )
2   -   3
 Pacific
02/28/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 39-19-6 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-19-2-2 )
6   -   2
 Atlantic
02/27/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 39-19-6 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 31-29-2-1 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
02/26/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-19-2-2 )
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 40-17-3-3 )
4   -   5
 Atlantic

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
39 18 5-5-0 1L 29-30 790 19-10-0 20-8-2-2 26-25-8
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
38 19 8-1-1 7W 36-23 1015 19-8-3 19-11-3 27-24-8

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u BUF:Shots BUF:Goals BUF:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 BUF Over 0 42 8 14 28 7 10
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 BUF Over 6.5 35 6 9 38 2 3
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 TB Over 6 26 3 4 35 4 7
04/13/2025 TB 7 - BUF 4 TB Over 6.5 25 4 6 31 7 12
04/05/2025 BUF 2 - TB 2 BUF Under 6.5 24 2 3 38 2 3
03/06/2025 TB 6 - BUF 5 TB Over 6.5 33 5 6 26 6 11
04/15/2024 TB 2 - BUF 4 BUF Under 6 34 4 7 33 2 2
02/29/2024 TB 2 - BUF 3 (OT) BUF Under 6.5 23 3 3 23 2 4
01/20/2024 BUF 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6.5 16 3 4 27 1 2
10/17/2023 BUF 3 - TB 2 BUF Under 7 25 2 3 31 3 6
03/04/2023 BUF 5 - TB 3 BUF Over 7 36 3 6 34 5 5
02/23/2023 TB 5 - BUF 6 (OT) BUF Over 7 23 6 7 41 5 10
11/28/2022 BUF 5 - TB 6 (OT) TB Over 6.5 25 6 10 37 5 8
11/05/2022 TB 5 - BUF 3 TB Over 6.5 24 3 6 30 5 8
04/10/2022 TB 5 - BUF 0 TB Under 6.5 28 0 0 28 5 8
01/11/2022 BUF 1 - TB 6 TB Over 6 36 6 12 18 1 2
10/25/2021 BUF 5 - TB 1 BUF Under 6 36 1 2 25 5 5
12/31/2019 BUF 4 - TB 6 TB Over 6 27 6 12 28 4 5
11/25/2019 TB 5 - BUF 2 TB Over 6.5 30 2 2 29 5 8
11/09/2019 TB 5 - BUF 3 TB Over 6.5 43 3 6 40 5 9
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 L Over 0 28 7 10
03/07/2026 TOR 2 - TB 5 W Over 0 33 5 10
03/05/2026 WIN 4 - TB 1 L Over 0 27 1 2
03/03/2026 MIN 5 - TB 1 L Under 6 25 1 2
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 L Over 6.5 35 6 9
02/26/2026 CAR 5 - TB 4 L Over 6 28 4 8
02/25/2026 TB 4 - TOR 2 W Under 6 34 2 4
02/05/2026 TB 6 - FLA 1 W Over 5.5 34 1 2
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 W Over 6 26 3 4
02/01/2026 TB 5 - BOS 5 L Over 6 34 5 8
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 W Over 0 42 8 14
03/07/2026 BUF 3 - NAS 2 W Over 0 24 3 5
03/05/2026 PIT 1 - BUF 5 W Over 0 28 1 1
03/03/2026 BUF 3 - VEG 2 W Under 6 28 3 5
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 W Over 6.5 38 2 3
02/27/2026 FLA 2 - BUF 3 W Under 6 29 2 2
02/25/2026 NJ 1 - BUF 2 W Under 6 28 1 2
02/05/2026 BUF 2 - PIT 5 L Over 0 28 2 4
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 L Over 6 35 4 7
02/02/2026 FLA 3 - BUF 5 W Over 6 42 3 6

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.5 2 Goals Per Game 2 3.5
2.7 2 Goals Against Per Game 5 3.0
28.4 11 Shots Per Game 13 28.1
27.0 9 Shots Against Per Game 21 30.0
12.4 3 Shooting % 4 12.3
10.2 6 Opponent Shooting % 5 10.1
1.45 10 Shot Differential Per Game 23 -1.91
12.4 3 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 4 12.3
.900 2 Save % 2 .900
.870 2 Opponent Save % 3 .880
15.0 1 Penalty Minutes Per Game 8 9.5
0.69 9 Power Play Goals Per Game 12 0.64
0.58 9 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 3 0.47
22.2 12 Power Play % 14 20.9
82.0 5 Penalty Kill % 4 82.8
2.14 5 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 7 2.04

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.53 4
Shots 28.44 14
Power Play (%) 22 13
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 930 1
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals 3.47 6
Shots 28.09 17
Power Play (%) 21 14
Faceoff (%) 45 32
Penalty Mins 609 8
defence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.53 4
Shots 28.44 14
Power Play (%) 22 13
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 930 1
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals 3.47 6
Shots 28.09 17
Power Play (%) 21 14
Faceoff (%) 45 32
Penalty Mins 609 8

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Buffalo Sabres BUF

Tampa Bay vs. Buffalo Betting News

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.
Buffalo Sabres BUF

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Vs Buffalo Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Lightning are 7-1 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Lightning are 38-18 in their last 56 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 3-1-1 in Lightning last 5 Sunday games.

Lightning are 51-15 in their last 66 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Buffalo Sabres BUF

Over is 7-3 in Sabres last 10 Sunday games.

Over is 32-15-6 in Sabres last 53 games as a favorite.

Sabres are 37-112 in their last 149 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 9-2-1 in Sabres last 12 games as a home underdog.

Over is 6-1 in Sabres last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Buffalo Sabres
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TB
  • BUF
NHL Odds