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Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - February 28, 2026

Final Score
Atlantic
Feb 28th, 7:00 PM EST
Buffalo
Sabres
Tampa Bay
Lightning
6
2
Buffalo Sabres
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Buffalo Sabres 46-22-8 4 1 1 +6
Tampa Bay Lightning 47-22-4-2 0 1 1 +200

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
04/02/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 46-22-8 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 39-26-9-1 )
1   -   4
 Atlantic
04/02/26
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 38-22-6-10 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 47-22-4-2 )
3   -   6
 Metropolitan
03/31/26
NY Islanders Islanders NYI ( 42-30-0-5 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 46-22-8 )
3   -   4
 Metropolitan
03/31/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 44-21-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 47-22-4-2 )
4   -   1
 Atlantic
03/29/26
Nashville Predators NAS ( 35-31-8-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 47-22-4-2 )
2   -   3
 Central
03/28/26
Seattle Kraken SEA ( 32-31-5-6 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 46-22-8 )
2   -   2
 Pacific
03/28/26
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 39-26-9-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 47-22-4-2 )
2   -   4
 Atlantic
03/27/26
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 40-27-5-3 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 46-22-8 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
03/26/26
Seattle Kraken SEA ( 32-31-5-6 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 47-22-4-2 )
4   -   3
 Pacific
03/25/26
Boston Bruins BOS ( 43-25-5-3 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 46-22-8 )
4   -   3
 Atlantic
03/24/26
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 42-21-7-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 47-22-4-2 )
3   -   6
 Central
03/22/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 46-22-8 )
Anaheim Ducks ANA ( 41-30-5 )
5   -   6
 Atlantic

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
34 19 6-2-2 1L 35-22 1015 17-8-3 17-11-3 26-23-8
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
38 15 7-1-2 1W 29-28 990 19-9-0 19-6-2-2 25-25-7

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists BUF:Shots BUF:Goals BUF:Assists
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 BUF Over 0 28 7 10 42 8 14
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 BUF Over 6.5 38 2 3 35 6 9
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 TB Over 6 35 4 7 26 3 4
04/13/2025 TB 7 - BUF 4 TB Over 6.5 25 4 6 31 7 12
04/05/2025 BUF 2 - TB 2 BUF Under 6.5 24 2 3 38 2 3
03/06/2025 TB 6 - BUF 5 TB Over 6.5 33 5 6 26 6 11
04/15/2024 TB 2 - BUF 4 BUF Under 6 34 4 7 33 2 2
02/29/2024 TB 2 - BUF 3 (OT) BUF Under 6.5 23 3 3 23 2 4
01/20/2024 BUF 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6.5 16 3 4 27 1 2
10/17/2023 BUF 3 - TB 2 BUF Under 7 25 2 3 31 3 6
03/04/2023 BUF 5 - TB 3 BUF Over 7 36 3 6 34 5 5
02/23/2023 TB 5 - BUF 6 (OT) BUF Over 7 23 6 7 41 5 10
11/28/2022 BUF 5 - TB 6 (OT) TB Over 6.5 25 6 10 37 5 8
11/05/2022 TB 5 - BUF 3 TB Over 6.5 24 3 6 30 5 8
04/10/2022 TB 5 - BUF 0 TB Under 6.5 28 0 0 28 5 8
01/11/2022 BUF 1 - TB 6 TB Over 6 36 6 12 18 1 2
10/25/2021 BUF 5 - TB 1 BUF Under 6 36 1 2 25 5 5
12/31/2019 BUF 4 - TB 6 TB Over 6 27 6 12 28 4 5
11/25/2019 TB 5 - BUF 2 TB Over 6.5 30 2 2 29 5 8
11/09/2019 TB 5 - BUF 3 TB Over 6.5 43 3 6 40 5 9
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/02/2026 OTT 4 - BUF 1 L Under 6.5 22 1 2
03/31/2026 BUF 4 - NYI 3 W Over 6 28 3 6
03/28/2026 BUF 2 - SEA 2 L Under 6.5 34 2 4
03/27/2026 BUF 2 - DET 5 L Over 6 20 5 8
03/25/2026 BUF 3 - BOS 4 (OT) L Over 6.5 31 4 8
03/22/2026 ANA 6 - BUF 5 L Over 0 29 5 8
03/21/2026 LA 1 - BUF 4 W Under 6 33 4 6
03/19/2026 SJ 0 - BUF 5 W Over 0 16 5 10
03/17/2026 VEG 0 - BUF 2 W Over 0 25 2 2
03/14/2026 BUF 2 - TOR 2 L Over 0 18 2 3
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/02/2026 TB 6 - PIT 3 W Over 6.5 33 6 9
03/31/2026 TB 1 - MON 4 L Under 6.5 37 1 2
03/29/2026 TB 3 - NAS 2 W Under 6.5 28 3 5
03/28/2026 TB 4 - OTT 2 W Under 6 27 4 8
03/26/2026 TB 3 - SEA 4 (OT) L Over 6.5 33 3 6
03/24/2026 TB 6 - MIN 3 W Over 7 25 6 9
03/22/2026 CAL 4 - TB 3 L Over 0 29 4 7
03/21/2026 EDM 2 - TB 5 W Over 0 27 2 1
03/19/2026 VAN 2 - TB 6 W Over 6.5 21 2 3
03/17/2026 SEA 2 - TB 6 W Over 0 18 2 2

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Buffalo Sabres BUF
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.4 4 Goals Per Game 2 3.6
3.0 5 Goals Against Per Game 3 2.8
28.1 14 Shots Per Game 11 28.4
29.3 19 Shots Against Per Game 7 26.8
12.1 4 Shooting % 3 12.7
10.1 3 Opponent Shooting % 5 10.3
-1.22 19 Shot Differential Per Game 7 1.6
12.1 4 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 3 12.7
.900 1 Save % 1 .900
.880 2 Opponent Save % 1 .870
9.7 7 Penalty Minutes Per Game 1 14.5
0.63 12 Power Play Goals Per Game 10 0.67
0.5 4 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 8 0.56
21.2 14 Power Play % 13 21.8
81.9 5 Penalty Kill % 4 82.0
2.05 7 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 3 2.19

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals 3.41 7
Shots 28.11 16
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 739 8
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.6 2
Shots 28.43 12
Power Play (%) 22 12
Faceoff (%) 48 25
Penalty Mins 1088 1
defence
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals 3.41 7
Shots 28.11 16
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 739 8
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.6 2
Shots 28.43 12
Power Play (%) 22 12
Faceoff (%) 48 25
Penalty Mins 1088 1

Injuries

Buffalo Sabres BUF
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Buffalo vs. Tampa Bay Betting News

Buffalo Sabres BUF

No posts found.
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Buffalo Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Buffalo Sabres BUF

Over is 4-0 in Sabres last 4 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Sabres are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 32-14-6 in Sabres last 52 games as a favorite.

Sabres are 37-112 in their last 149 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 5-0 in Sabres last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 Saturday games.

Over is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 3-1-3 in Lightning last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Buffalo Sabres
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • BUF
  • TB
NHL Odds