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Sabres vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats February 28, 2026

Final Score
Atlantic
Feb 28th, 7:00 PM EST
Buffalo
Sabres
Tampa Bay
Lightning
6
2
Buffalo Sabres
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Buffalo Sabres 50-23-8-1 4 1 1 +6
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2 0 1 1 +200

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
05/18/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
05/16/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
8   -   3
 Atlantic
05/14/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
6   -   3
 Atlantic
05/12/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
05/10/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
2   -   6
 Atlantic
05/08/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
5   -   1
 Atlantic
05/03/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   1
 Atlantic
05/01/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
1   -   0
 Atlantic
04/29/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/26/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/24/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/21/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic

Matchup Odds

Team Puckline Moneyline Over / Under
Buffalo Sabres BUF
+1.5 0 0 U+60
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
-1.5 0 0 O+60

Line History

time fav spread money line total
Opening 1 Mar 12:25am BUF -1.5 +100 -200 O +6 -130
Closing 1 Mar 12:25am BUF -1.5 +100 -200 O +6 -130

Line History

Team Leaders

Buffalo Sabres BUF
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
130 Points 81
Tage Thompson
Center Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
43 + / - 41
Mattias Samuelsson
Defense Tampa Bay
Tage Thompson
Center Tampa Bay
272 Shots 231
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Defense Buffalo
112 Penalty Mins 78
Peyton Krebs
Center Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo
39 Wins 22
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Goaltender Tampa Bay
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Goaltender Tampa Bay
2.5 GAA 2.3
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Tage Thompson
Center Tampa Bay
15 Points 8
Jake Guentzel
Left Wing Buffalo
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Buffalo
6 + / - 6
Zach Benson
Left Wing Tampa Bay
Rasmus Dahlin
Defense Tampa Bay
46 Shots 31
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Buffalo
Zach Benson
Left Wing Tampa Bay
64 Penalty Mins 13
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Buffalo
Alex Lyon
Goaltender Tampa Bay
4 Wins 3
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo
Alex Lyon
Goaltender Tampa Bay
2.6 GAA 2.2
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Buffalo

Matchup Details

Buffalo Sabres BUF
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Stat
34 Games Won 38
19 Games Lost 15
6-3-0-1 Last 10 5-5-0
17-8-3 W L Streak 19-9-0
35-22 Against The Spread 29-28
1015 Money 990
17-8-3 Home 19-9-0
17-11-3 Away 19-6-2-2
26-23-8 Total 25-25-7

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists BUF:Shots BUF:Goals BUF:Assists
04/06/2026 BUF 4 - TB 2 BUF Under 6.5 25 2 4 30 4 7
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 BUF Over 0 28 7 10 42 8 14
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 BUF Over 6.5 38 2 3 35 6 9
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 TB Over 6 35 4 7 26 3 4
04/13/2025 TB 7 - BUF 4 TB Over 6.5 25 4 6 31 7 12
04/05/2025 BUF 2 - TB 2 BUF Under 6.5 24 2 3 38 2 3
03/06/2025 TB 6 - BUF 5 TB Over 6.5 33 5 6 26 6 11
04/15/2024 TB 2 - BUF 4 BUF Under 6 34 4 7 33 2 2
02/29/2024 TB 2 - BUF 3 (OT) BUF Under 6.5 23 3 3 23 2 4
01/20/2024 BUF 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6.5 16 3 4 27 1 2
10/17/2023 BUF 3 - TB 2 BUF Under 7 25 2 3 31 3 6
03/04/2023 BUF 5 - TB 3 BUF Over 7 36 3 6 34 5 5
02/23/2023 TB 5 - BUF 6 (OT) BUF Over 7 23 6 7 41 5 10
11/28/2022 BUF 5 - TB 6 (OT) TB Over 6.5 25 6 10 37 5 8
11/05/2022 TB 5 - BUF 3 TB Over 6.5 24 3 6 30 5 8
04/10/2022 TB 5 - BUF 0 TB Under 6.5 28 0 0 28 5 8
01/11/2022 BUF 1 - TB 6 TB Over 6 36 6 12 18 1 2
10/25/2021 BUF 5 - TB 1 BUF Under 6 36 1 2 25 5 5
12/31/2019 BUF 4 - TB 6 TB Over 6 27 6 12 28 4 5
11/25/2019 TB 5 - BUF 2 TB Over 6.5 30 2 2 29 5 8
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
05/18/2026 BUF 2 - MON 3 (OT) L Over 0 25 3 5
05/16/2026 MON 3 - BUF 8 W Over 6.5 36 8 14
05/14/2026 BUF 3 - MON 6 L Over 6 26 6 12
05/12/2026 MON 2 - BUF 3 W Under 6.5 22 3 5
05/10/2026 MON 6 - BUF 2 L Over 6 28 2 3
05/08/2026 BUF 1 - MON 5 L Under 6 28 5 6
05/06/2026 BUF 4 - MON 2 W Under 6 28 2 3
05/01/2026 BOS 1 - BUF 4 W Under 5.5 26 4 7
04/28/2026 BUF 1 - BOS 2 (OT) L Under 6 29 2 1
04/26/2026 BOS 1 - BUF 6 W Over 6 35 6 10
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
05/03/2026 TB 1 - MON 2 L Under 5 29 1 2
05/01/2026 MON 0 - TB 1 (OT) W Under 5.5 30 0 0
04/29/2026 TB 2 - MON 3 L Under 5.5 40 2 2
04/26/2026 MON 2 - TB 3 W Under 6 18 2 4
04/24/2026 MON 3 - TB 2 L Under 6 29 3 5
04/21/2026 TB 3 - MON 2 W Under 6 34 3 5
04/19/2026 TB 3 - MON 4 (OT) L Over 6 23 3 6
04/15/2026 TB 2 - NYR 4 L Under 6.5 31 2 4
04/13/2026 TB 4 - DET 3 W Over 6.5 22 4 6
04/11/2026 BOS 1 - TB 2 W Under 6 21 1 1

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Buffalo Sabres BUF
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 6 3.1
3.0 11 Goals Against Per Game 10 2.9
28.5 2 Shots Per Game 24 19.6
27.5 21 Shots Against Per Game 16 25.0
11.7 15 Shooting % 4 16.1
10.9 8 Opponent Shooting % 12 11.4
1 13 Shot Differential Per Game 26 -5.43
11.7 15 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 4 16.1
.890 4 Save % 4 .890
.880 4 Opponent Save % 2 .860
6.8 26 Penalty Minutes Per Game 1 50.7
0.83 4 Power Play Goals Per Game 2 1
1 13 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 14 1.29
23.8 6 Power Play % 11 21.2
62.5 22 Penalty Kill % 12 82.0
2.2 11 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 10 2.24

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals 3.45 5
Shots 28.12 13
Power Play (%) 20 18
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 797 7
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1
defence
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Season stats rank
Goals 3.45 5
Shots 28.12 13
Power Play (%) 20 18
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 797 7
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1

Injuries

Buffalo Sabres BUF
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Buffalo vs. Tampa Bay Betting News

Buffalo Sabres BUF

No posts found.
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Buffalo Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Buffalo Sabres BUF

Over is 4-0 in Sabres last 4 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Sabres are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 32-14-6 in Sabres last 52 games as a favorite.

Sabres are 37-112 in their last 149 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 5-0 in Sabres last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 Saturday games.

Over is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 3-1-3 in Lightning last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Buffalo Sabres
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • BUF
  • TB
NHL Odds