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Lightning vs. Wild Prediction, Odds & Stats - March 03, 2026

Game Scheduled
Atlantic
Mar 3rd, 9:30 PM EST
Tampa Bay
Lightning
L L W W W
Minnesota
Wild
L W W W W
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning
Minnesota Wild
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Tampa Bay Lightning 38-16-2-2      
Minnesota Wild 35-16-7-3      

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
03/01/26
St. Louis Blues STL ( 22-29-6-3 )
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 35-16-7-3 )
3   -   1
 Central
02/28/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 35-19-6 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 38-16-2-2 )
6   -   2
 Atlantic
02/27/26
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 35-16-7-3 )
Utah Mammoth UTAH ( 31-25-4 )
2   -   5
 Central
02/26/26
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 35-16-7-3 )
Colorado Avalanche COL ( 39-10-4-5 )
5   -   2
 Central
02/26/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 38-16-2-2 )
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 38-15-3-3 )
4   -   5
 Atlantic
02/25/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-24-8-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 38-16-2-2 )
2   -   4
 Atlantic
02/05/26
Florida Panthers FLA ( 30-27-2-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 38-16-2-2 )
1   -   6
 Atlantic
02/04/26
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 35-16-7-3 )
Nashville Predators NAS ( 27-24-8 )
6   -   5
 Central
02/03/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 35-19-6 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 38-16-2-2 )
3   -   4
 Atlantic
02/02/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 33-17-5-4 )
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 35-16-7-3 )
3   -   4
 Atlantic
02/01/26
Boston Bruins BOS ( 33-21-2-3 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 38-16-2-2 )
5   -   5
 Atlantic
01/31/26
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 35-16-7-3 )
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 29-24-5-3 )
7   -   3
 Central

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
38 16 7-3-0 2L 29-29 890 19-10-0 19-6-2-2 26-25-7
Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild
35 15 7-2-1 2L 31-27 525 17-6-6-1 18-9-1-2 33-22-3

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u MIN:Shots MIN:Goals MIN:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
11/01/2024 MIN 5 - TB 3 MIN Over 6.5 30 3 6 22 5 7
10/24/2024 TB 2 - MIN 4 MIN Under 6 18 4 8 26 2 4
01/18/2024 TB 7 - MIN 3 TB Over 6.5 33 3 6 38 7 13
01/04/2024 MIN 1 - TB 4 TB Under 6 30 4 5 23 1 2
01/24/2023 TB 4 - MIN 2 TB Under 6.5 35 2 3 39 4 7
01/04/2023 MIN 5 - TB 1 MIN Under 6 35 1 2 33 5 7
11/28/2021 MIN 4 - TB 2 MIN Over 5.5 30 2 3 37 4 5
11/21/2021 TB 4 - MIN 4 MIN Over 6 32 4 8 24 4 8
01/16/2020 MIN 3 - TB 2 MIN Under 6.5 20 2 4 23 3 5
12/05/2019 TB 4 - MIN 5 MIN Over 6.5 21 5 10 34 4 5
03/07/2019 TB 0 - MIN 3 MIN Under 6 30 3 5 25 0 0
10/20/2018 MIN 5 - TB 4 MIN Over 6 31 4 8 34 5 7
01/20/2018 MIN 5 - TB 2 MIN Over 5.5 23 2 4 35 5 7
12/23/2017 TB 3 - MIN 0 TB Under 6 22 0 0 31 3 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 L Over 6.5 35 6 9
02/26/2026 CAR 5 - TB 4 L Over 6 28 4 8
02/25/2026 TB 4 - TOR 2 W Under 6 34 2 4
02/05/2026 TB 6 - FLA 1 W Over 5.5 34 1 2
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 W Over 6 26 3 4
02/01/2026 TB 5 - BOS 5 L Over 6 34 5 8
01/29/2026 TB 4 - WIN 1 W Under 5.5 23 1 2
01/26/2026 TB 2 - UTAH 0 W Under 6 28 0 0
01/24/2026 CLB 8 - TB 5 L Over 6.5 30 5 8
01/23/2026 CHI 1 - TB 1 W Under 6 31 1 2
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
03/01/2026 MIN 1 - STL 3 L Under 6.5 23 1 2
02/27/2026 UTAH 5 - MIN 2 L Over 6.5 37 5 9
02/26/2026 COL 2 - MIN 5 W Over 6.5 47 2 4
02/04/2026 NAS 5 - MIN 6 (OT) W Over 0 35 5 10
02/02/2026 MIN 4 - MON 3 W Over 6 24 4 8
01/31/2026 EDM 3 - MIN 7 W Over 0 42 3 4
01/29/2026 MIN 4 - CAL 1 W Under 6 24 4 8
01/27/2026 MIN 3 - CHI 3 L Under 6 23 3 5
01/24/2026 MIN 3 - FLA 4 (OT) L Over 6 21 3 4
01/22/2026 MIN 4 - DET 3 W Over 6 39 4 7

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Minnesota Wild MIN
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.5 2 Goals Per Game 4 3.3
2.6 2 Goals Against Per Game 5 2.9
28.4 13 Shots Per Game 9 28.8
26.7 7 Shots Against Per Game 26 30.3
12.4 3 Shooting % 8 11.4
9.7 3 Opponent Shooting % 2 9.5
1.72 9 Shot Differential Per Game 22 -1.46
12.4 3 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 8 11.4
.900 2 Save % 2 .900
.870 1 Opponent Save % 3 .890
14.4 1 Penalty Minutes Per Game 23 6.6
0.69 8 Power Play Goals Per Game 3 0.85
0.53 8 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 11 0.57
21.9 12 Power Play % 4 26.0
83.1 5 Penalty Kill % 22 77.6
2.11 6 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 16 1.94

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.53 2
Shots 28.45 15
Power Play (%) 22 11
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 838 1
Minnesota Wild MIN
Season stats rank
Goals 3.28 12
Shots 28.8 11
Power Play (%) 26 6
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 404 32
defence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.53 2
Shots 28.45 15
Power Play (%) 22 11
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 838 1
Minnesota Wild MIN
Season stats rank
Goals 3.28 12
Shots 28.8 11
Power Play (%) 26 6
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 404 32

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Minnesota Wild MIN

Tampa Bay vs. Minnesota Betting News

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.
Minnesota Wild MIN

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Vs Minnesota Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Lightning are 51-15 in their last 66 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 4-0-1 in Lightning last 5 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.

Under is 23-9-3 in Lightning last 35 games playing on 2 days rest.

Lightning are 9-3 in their last 12 road games.

Minnesota Wild MIN

Wild are 1-6 in their last 7 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Over is 14-4-3 in Wild last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 5-2 in Wild last 7 Tuesday games.

Over is 7-1 in Wild last 8 games as a favorite.

Wild are 5-21 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Eastern Conference Standings

Western Conference Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Minnesota Wild
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player