Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 28, 2025

Final Score
Montreal
Canadiens
Tampa Bay
Lightning
4
4
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Montreal Canadiens 26-14-3-4 0 0 4 +6
Tampa Bay Lightning 29-13-2-1 0 3 1 +118

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
01/13/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 26-14-3-4 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 24-17-1-5 )
2   -   3
Atlantic
01/13/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 29-13-2-1 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 21-14-4-6 )
1   -   1
Atlantic
01/12/26
Vancouver Canucks VAN ( 16-25-4-1 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 26-14-3-4 )
3   -   6
Pacific
01/12/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 29-13-2-1 )
Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 22-15-5-3 )
5   -   1
Atlantic
01/10/26
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 28-16-2-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 26-14-3-4 )
4   -   0
Atlantic
01/10/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 29-13-2-1 )
Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 22-15-5-3 )
7   -   2
Atlantic
01/08/26
Florida Panthers FLA ( 24-18-2-1 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 26-14-3-4 )
2   -   6
Atlantic
01/07/26
Calgary Flames CAL ( 19-23-2-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 26-14-3-4 )
1   -   4
Pacific
01/06/26
Colorado Avalanche COL ( 33-4-4-4 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 29-13-2-1 )
2   -   4
Central
01/04/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 26-14-3-4 )
Dallas Stars DAL ( 27-11-6-3 )
4   -   3
Atlantic
01/03/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 29-13-2-1 )
San Jose Sharks SJ ( 23-19-2-1 )
7   -   3
Atlantic
01/01/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 29-13-2-1 )
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 19-16-5-5 )
5   -   3
Atlantic

Line History

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Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Montreal Canadiens Montreal Canadiens
20 12 6-2-1-1 1L 19-18 -175 10-9-0-1 10-3-2-2 23-11-3
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
21 13 10-0-0 11W 17-20 285 10-9-0 11-4-2-1 15-18-4

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists MON:Shots MON:Goals MON:Assists
12/28/2025 TB 4 - MON 4 MON Over 6 21 4 7 35 4 7
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 TB Over 6 27 6 6 27 1 2
02/09/2025 MON 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6 21 5 9 35 3 4
01/21/2025 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 6.5 35 2 3 22 3 5
12/29/2024 TB 2 - MON 5 MON Over 6.5 37 5 8 23 2 2
04/04/2024 MON 4 - TB 7 TB Over 6.5 35 7 12 30 4 8
03/02/2024 TB 3 - MON 3 MON Under 6.5 31 3 5 29 3 3
12/31/2023 TB 4 - MON 3 TB Over 6.5 29 3 2 20 4 8
11/07/2023 MON 3 - TB 5 TB Over 7 32 5 10 26 3 6
03/21/2023 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 6.5 33 2 4 20 3 5
03/18/2023 TB 5 - MON 3 TB Over 6.5 21 3 6 41 5 8
12/28/2022 TB 4 - MON 1 TB Under 6 26 1 2 38 4 5
12/17/2022 MON 1 - TB 5 TB Under 6 27 5 9 23 1 1
04/02/2022 TB 4 - MON 4 MON Over 6.5 31 4 5 41 4 7
12/28/2021 TB 5 - MON 4 TB Over 6 31 4 6 37 5 8
12/07/2021 MON 2 - TB 3 TB Under 5.5 27 3 4 23 2 4
07/07/2021 TB 1 - MON 0 TB Under 5 22 0 0 30 1 2
07/05/2021 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 5 34 2 4 21 3 4
07/02/2021 MON 3 - TB 6 TB Over 5 30 6 9 35 3 5
06/30/2021 TB 3 - MON 1 TB Under 5 43 1 0 23 3 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
01/13/2026 WAS 3 - MON 2 L Under 6 25 2 2
01/12/2026 MON 6 - VAN 3 W Over 6 23 3 5
01/10/2026 MON 0 - DET 4 L Under 6 24 4 8
01/08/2026 MON 6 - FLA 2 W Over 6 27 2 2
01/07/2026 MON 4 - CAL 1 W Under 6 29 1 2
01/04/2026 DAL 3 - MON 4 (OT) W Over 6 28 4 7
01/03/2026 STL 2 - MON 0 L Under 6 26 0 0
01/01/2026 CAR 5 - MON 7 W Over 6 23 7 9
12/30/2025 FLA 2 - MON 3 (OT) W Under 6 29 3 6
12/28/2025 TB 4 - MON 4 W Over 6 35 4 7
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
01/13/2026 PIT 1 - TB 1 L Under 6 27 1 1
01/12/2026 PHI 1 - TB 5 W Under 6 21 1 0
01/10/2026 PHI 2 - TB 7 W Over 6 20 2 3
01/06/2026 TB 4 - COL 2 W Under 6 28 4 8
01/03/2026 SJ 3 - TB 7 W Over 6 22 3 5
01/01/2026 LA 3 - TB 5 W Over 5.5 20 3 5
12/31/2025 ANA 3 - TB 4 (OT) W Over 6 28 3 2
12/28/2025 TB 4 - MON 4 L Over 6 21 4 7
12/27/2025 FLA 2 - TB 4 W Over 5.5 26 2 4
12/22/2025 TB 4 - STL 1 W Under 5.5 17 4 7

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 2 3.5
3.2 8 Goals Against Per Game 2 2.6
26.1 22 Shots Per Game 18 27.3
27.2 9 Shots Against Per Game 6 26.4
12.8 2 Shooting % 2 12.8
11.7 18 Opponent Shooting % 4 9.7
-1.04 19 Shot Differential Per Game 13 0.93
12.8 2 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 2 12.8
.880 5 Save % 3 .900
.870 2 Opponent Save % 2 .870
10.7 5 Penalty Minutes Per Game 1 14.2
0.64 11 Power Play Goals Per Game 11 0.64
0.66 16 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 8 0.53
22.4 10 Power Play % 13 20.1
79.7 14 Penalty Kill % 6 83.7
1.64 26 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 6 2.07

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Montreal Canadiens MON
Season stats rank
Goals 3.34 5
Shots 26.15 25
Power Play (%) 22 11
Faceoff (%) 50 15
Penalty Mins 505 4
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.51 2
Shots 27.33 21
Power Play (%) 20 15
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 638 1
defence
Montreal Canadiens MON
Season stats rank
Goals 3.34 5
Shots 26.15 25
Power Play (%) 22 11
Faceoff (%) 50 15
Penalty Mins 505 4
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.51 2
Shots 27.33 21
Power Play (%) 20 15
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 638 1

Injuries

Montreal Canadiens MON
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player