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Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 28, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Dec 28th, 5:00 PM EST
Montreal
Canadiens
Tampa Bay
Lightning
4
4
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Montreal Canadiens 35-18-5-5 0 0 4 +6
Tampa Bay Lightning 39-20-2-2 0 3 1 +118

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
03/10/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-27-8-3 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 35-18-5-5 )
1   -   3
 Atlantic
03/10/26
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 33-21-9-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-20-2-2 )
5   -   2
 Metropolitan
03/08/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-20-2-2 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 40-19-6 )
7   -   8
 Atlantic
03/07/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 35-18-5-5 )
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 26-23-9-6 )
4   -   3
 Atlantic
03/07/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-20-2-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 27-27-8-3 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
03/06/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 35-18-5-5 )
Anaheim Ducks ANA ( 35-25-3 )
5   -   5
 Atlantic
03/05/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-20-2-2 )
Winnipeg Jets WIN ( 26-26-8-2 )
1   -   4
 Atlantic
03/03/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 35-18-5-5 )
San Jose Sharks SJ ( 30-26-5-1 )
5   -   7
 Atlantic
03/03/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-20-2-2 )
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 37-16-7-4 )
1   -   5
 Atlantic
02/28/26
Washington Capitals WAS ( 32-26-2-5 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 35-18-5-5 )
2   -   6
 Metropolitan
02/28/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 40-19-6 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 39-20-2-2 )
6   -   2
 Atlantic
02/26/26
NY Islanders Islanders NYI ( 37-23-0-5 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 35-18-5-5 )
4   -   3
 Metropolitan

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Montreal Canadiens Montreal Canadiens
20 12 6-1-2-1 2W 19-18 -175 10-9-0-1 10-3-2-2 23-11-3
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
21 13 4-6-0 2L 17-20 285 10-9-0 11-4-2-1 15-18-4

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists MON:Shots MON:Goals MON:Assists
12/28/2025 TB 4 - MON 4 MON Over 6 21 4 7 35 4 7
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 TB Over 6 27 6 6 27 1 2
02/09/2025 MON 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6 21 5 9 35 3 4
01/21/2025 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 6.5 35 2 3 22 3 5
12/29/2024 TB 2 - MON 5 MON Over 6.5 37 5 8 23 2 2
04/04/2024 MON 4 - TB 7 TB Over 6.5 35 7 12 30 4 8
03/02/2024 TB 3 - MON 3 MON Under 6.5 31 3 5 29 3 3
12/31/2023 TB 4 - MON 3 TB Over 6.5 29 3 2 20 4 8
11/07/2023 MON 3 - TB 5 TB Over 7 32 5 10 26 3 6
03/21/2023 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 6.5 33 2 4 20 3 5
03/18/2023 TB 5 - MON 3 TB Over 6.5 21 3 6 41 5 8
12/28/2022 TB 4 - MON 1 TB Under 6 26 1 2 38 4 5
12/17/2022 MON 1 - TB 5 TB Under 6 27 5 9 23 1 1
04/02/2022 TB 4 - MON 4 MON Over 6.5 31 4 5 41 4 7
12/28/2021 TB 5 - MON 4 TB Over 6 31 4 6 37 5 8
12/07/2021 MON 2 - TB 3 TB Under 5.5 27 3 4 23 2 4
07/07/2021 TB 1 - MON 0 TB Under 5 22 0 0 30 1 2
07/05/2021 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 5 34 2 4 21 3 4
07/02/2021 MON 3 - TB 6 TB Over 5 30 6 9 35 3 5
06/30/2021 TB 3 - MON 1 TB Under 5 43 1 0 23 3 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
03/10/2026 MON 3 - TOR 1 W Over 0 18 1 1
03/07/2026 LA 3 - MON 4 W Over 0 23 4 8
03/06/2026 ANA 5 - MON 5 L Over 0 28 5 10
03/03/2026 SJ 7 - MON 5 L Over 6.5 36 5 10
02/28/2026 MON 6 - WAS 2 W Over 6.5 29 2 4
02/26/2026 MON 3 - NYI 4 (OT) L Over 6 27 4 6
02/04/2026 WIN 1 - MON 5 W Over 0 27 5 10
02/02/2026 MIN 4 - MON 3 L Over 6 20 3 6
01/31/2026 BUF 2 - MON 4 W Over 0 31 4 7
01/29/2026 MON 7 - COL 3 W Over 7 29 3 5
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
03/10/2026 TB 2 - CLB 5 L Over 0 18 2 3
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 L Over 0 42 8 14
03/07/2026 TOR 2 - TB 5 W Over 0 29 2 1
03/05/2026 WIN 4 - TB 1 L Over 0 30 4 8
03/03/2026 MIN 5 - TB 1 L Under 6 22 5 7
02/28/2026 TB 2 - BUF 6 L Over 6.5 38 2 3
02/26/2026 CAR 5 - TB 4 L Over 6 33 5 9
02/25/2026 TB 4 - TOR 2 W Under 6 36 4 8
02/05/2026 TB 6 - FLA 1 W Over 5.5 28 6 9
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 W Over 6 35 4 7

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Montreal Canadiens MON
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.5 2 Goals Per Game 2 3.5
3.3 8 Goals Against Per Game 3 2.8
26.4 19 Shots Per Game 12 28.3
27.5 11 Shots Against Per Game 9 27.0
13.4 1 Shooting % 4 12.4
11.8 15 Opponent Shooting % 7 10.3
-1.05 21 Shot Differential Per Game 10 1.21
13.4 1 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 4 12.4
.880 4 Save % 2 .900
.870 2 Opponent Save % 2 .870
10.1 5 Penalty Minutes Per Game 1 15.0
0.71 5 Power Play Goals Per Game 8 0.68
0.75 20 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 10 0.6
24.9 6 Power Play % 12 21.8
76.8 23 Penalty Kill % 8 81.4
1.67 26 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 5 2.16

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Montreal Canadiens MON
Season stats rank
Goals 3.54 3
Shots 26.43 24
Power Play (%) 25 5
Faceoff (%) 51 9
Penalty Mins 635 5
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.51 4
Shots 28.27 16
Power Play (%) 22 11
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 945 1
defence
Montreal Canadiens MON
Season stats rank
Goals 3.54 3
Shots 26.43 24
Power Play (%) 25 5
Faceoff (%) 51 9
Penalty Mins 635 5
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.51 4
Shots 28.27 16
Power Play (%) 22 11
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 945 1

Injuries

Montreal Canadiens MON
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Montreal vs. Tampa Bay Betting News

Montreal Canadiens MON

No posts found.
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Montreal Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Montreal Canadiens MON

Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Over is 22-7 in Canadiens last 29 Sunday games.

Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Canadiens are 9-42 in their last 51 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 19-7-1 in Canadiens last 27 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 7-2-3 in Lightning last 12 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Lightning are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.

Lightning are 250-117 in their last 367 games as a home favorite.

Lightning are 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Montreal Canadiens
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • MON
  • TB
NHL Odds