Canadiens vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 28, 2025

Game Scheduled
Atlantic
Dec 28th, 5:00 PM EST
Montreal
Canadiens
L W W L W
Tampa Bay
Lightning
W L L L W
VS
Montreal Canadiens
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Montreal Canadiens 19-12-2-3      
Tampa Bay Lightning 20-13-2-1      

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/22/25
St. Louis Blues STL ( 14-16-6-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
1   -   4
 Central
12/21/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 19-12-2-3 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
3   -   3
 Atlantic
12/20/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 19-12-2-3 )
0   -   4
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 22-10-1-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
4   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/18/25
Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 13-16-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 19-12-2-3 )
1   -   4
 Central
12/18/25
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 15-11-4-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
2   -   1
 Pacific
12/16/25
Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 18-10-4-3 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 19-12-2-3 )
4   -   1
 Metropolitan
12/15/25
Florida Panthers FLA ( 19-14-1-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
12/14/25
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 18-13-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 19-12-2-3 )
1   -   4
 Pacific
12/13/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 19-12-2-3 )
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 18-16-4 )
4   -   5
 Atlantic
12/13/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
NY Islanders Islanders NYI ( 19-13-0-4 )
2   -   2
 Atlantic
12/11/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
New Jersey Devils NJ ( 20-15-1 )
8   -   4
 Atlantic

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Montreal Canadiens Montreal Canadiens
19 12 5-3-1-1 1L 17-18 -375 10-9-0-1 9-3-2-1 21-11-3
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
19 13 4-5-0-1 2W 15-20 -15 9-9-0 10-4-2-1 14-17-4

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists MON:Shots MON:Goals MON:Assists
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 TB Over 6 27 6 6 27 1 2
02/09/2025 MON 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6 21 5 9 35 3 4
01/21/2025 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 6.5 35 2 3 22 3 5
12/29/2024 TB 2 - MON 5 MON Over 6.5 37 5 8 23 2 2
04/04/2024 MON 4 - TB 7 TB Over 6.5 35 7 12 30 4 8
03/02/2024 TB 3 - MON 3 MON Under 6.5 31 3 5 29 3 3
12/31/2023 TB 4 - MON 3 TB Over 6.5 29 3 2 20 4 8
11/07/2023 MON 3 - TB 5 TB Over 7 32 5 10 26 3 6
03/21/2023 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 6.5 33 2 4 20 3 5
03/18/2023 TB 5 - MON 3 TB Over 6.5 21 3 6 41 5 8
12/28/2022 TB 4 - MON 1 TB Under 6 26 1 2 38 4 5
12/17/2022 MON 1 - TB 5 TB Under 6 27 5 9 23 1 1
04/02/2022 TB 4 - MON 4 MON Over 6.5 31 4 5 41 4 7
12/28/2021 TB 5 - MON 4 TB Over 6 31 4 6 37 5 8
12/07/2021 MON 2 - TB 3 TB Under 5.5 27 3 4 23 2 4
07/07/2021 TB 1 - MON 0 TB Under 5 22 0 0 30 1 2
07/05/2021 MON 3 - TB 2 MON Under 5 34 2 4 21 3 4
07/02/2021 MON 3 - TB 6 TB Over 5 30 6 9 35 3 5
06/30/2021 TB 3 - MON 1 TB Under 5 43 1 0 23 3 4
06/28/2021 TB 5 - MON 1 TB Over 5 19 1 2 27 5 8
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/21/2025 PIT 3 - MON 3 W Under 6 25 3 6
12/20/2025 MON 4 - PIT 0 W Under 6 31 0 0
12/18/2025 MON 4 - CHI 1 W Under 5.5 15 1 2
12/16/2025 MON 1 - PHI 4 L Under 6 21 4 7
12/14/2025 MON 4 - EDM 1 W Under 6 28 1 2
12/13/2025 NYR 5 - MON 4 L Over 5.5 17 4 8
12/11/2025 PIT 2 - MON 4 W Under 6 29 4 6
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 L Over 6 27 6 6
12/07/2025 MON 3 - STL 4 L Over 5.5 18 4 8
12/06/2025 TOR 1 - MON 1 W Under 6 34 1 2
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/22/2025 TB 4 - STL 1 W Under 5.5 17 4 7
12/20/2025 TB 6 - CAR 4 W Over 5.5 29 6 11
12/18/2025 TB 1 - LA 2 L Under 5.5 32 1 2
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 L Over 6 28 2 4
12/13/2025 NYI 2 - TB 2 L Under 6 17 2 3
12/11/2025 NJ 4 - TB 8 W Over 6 37 4 8
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 W Over 6 27 1 2
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 L Under 6 25 2 2
12/06/2025 TB 0 - NYI 2 L Under 6 32 0 0
12/04/2025 TB 3 - PIT 4 L Over 6 40 3 6

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Montreal Canadiens MON
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.2 5 Goals Per Game 4 3.3
3.3 10 Goals Against Per Game 3 2.6
25.3 25 Shots Per Game 16 27.7
27.3 9 Shots Against Per Game 5 26.6
12.6 2 Shooting % 5 11.7
12.1 24 Opponent Shooting % 7 9.8
-2 23 Shot Differential Per Game 12 1.14
12.6 2 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 5 11.7
.880 5 Save % 3 .900
.870 2 Opponent Save % 3 .880
10.4 5 Penalty Minutes Per Game 3 11.5
0.69 9 Power Play Goals Per Game 16 0.58
0.72 17 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 5 0.5
25.8 5 Power Play % 17 18.1
77.6 18 Penalty Kill % 2 84.3
1.66 24 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 5 2.07

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Montreal Canadiens MON
Season stats rank
Goals 3.19 8
Shots 25.31 29
Power Play (%) 26 5
Faceoff (%) 49 18
Penalty Mins 373 5
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.25 7
Shots 27.69 20
Power Play (%) 18 19
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 413 3
defence
Montreal Canadiens MON
Season stats rank
Goals 3.19 8
Shots 25.31 29
Power Play (%) 26 5
Faceoff (%) 49 18
Penalty Mins 373 5
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.25 7
Shots 27.69 20
Power Play (%) 18 19
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 413 3

Injuries

Montreal Canadiens MON
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

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Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Montreal Canadiens
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player