Rams vs. Bears Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction
The L.A. Rams might have saved their season with last week’s home win against division-rival San Francisco. L.A. trailed by 10 points in the fourth quarter before stunning the 49ers 27-24 to improve to 1-2 on the year. The Bears are also 1-2, but they’ve dropped two straight road games, including a 21-16 decision in Indianapolis last week.
Chicago opened as a 1.5-point favourite to win on the NFL odds, with the total pegged at 41.5.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Early betting action has seen this line grow to Bears -3 as of Wednesday afternoon. The Over/Under has largely remained split, with the total dropping slightly to 41.0.
L.A. has won the last three meeting between the teams, but they haven’t met since Week 1 of the Rams’s 2021 Super Bowl-winning season. For context, Chicago quarterback Caleb Williams was playing his freshman season at Oklahoma. The Bears mainly relied on veteran Andy Dalton, but they also used then-rookie Justin Fields for four plays.
The Rams won outright as 6.5-point underdogs last week, while hitting the Over. That makes them 1-2 against the spread for the season, while the total has gone Over in their last two games. L.A. hasn’t had great luck against the NFC North, however, as they are just 1-5 straight up in their last six games against the division.
Chicago is 1-1-1 ATS for the season, covering in Week 1, playing to a push in Week 2 and failing to cover as one-point underdogs last week. They’ve played the Under in all three games. Dating to last season, the Bears are currently riding a six-game win streak at home.
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams have been decimated by injuries early in the year, but they managed to find a way to win a key divisional game in Week 3. Quarterback Matthew Stafford finished 16-of-25 for 221 yards and a touchdown. Through three games, Stafford has the fifth-most passing yards (754) in the NFL despite missing his top two receivers. Kyren Williams had a great Week 3 performance, rushing for 89 yards and two TDs, while adding 27 receiving yards and another TD in the air. With all the receiving injuries, Williams will be a key piece going forward, so I like the Over on his combined rushing and receiving yards this week.
On to the walking wounded. L.A. was relatively unscathed in Week 3, but they lost multiple players to injury in the first two weeks of the season. No. 1 receiver Cooper Kupp has been ruled out for a second straight game and he will likely be placed on injured reserve due to an ankle injury. Second-year receiver Puka Nacua, who had the fourth-most receiving yards in the NFL in his rookie season (1,486), is already on the IR with a knee injury and is expected to miss a couple of months. Overall, the Rams are missing over half their starting offence and their secondary is more of a patchwork group.
Chicago Bears
Bears fans can breathe a little easier after Caleb Williams showed clear improvement against the Colts last week. After throwing for a combined 267 yards and no TDs in his first two games of the season, Williams put up 363 passing yards and two TDs with a 63.5 completion percentage in Week 3. He has thrown two picks in each of his last two games, however, so I’d circle the Over on interceptions for Williams this week if you’re looking for a prop.
Chicago’s defence has bailed out Williams and the offence this season. The Bears ranks within the top-10 in the NFL in average total yards allowed (286.7), average passing yards allowed (165.0) and average points allowed (19.0) per game. With those kind of stats, Chicago will force the Rams to run the ball, which should lead to a low scoring game.
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