Uruguay vs. Spain Prediction: FIFA World Cup Odds, Betting Picks
Group H concludes on Friday, June 26, when Uruguay meets Spain at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara.
Spain enter the final round of group matches with four points and need only a draw to secure first place. Uruguay, meanwhile, sit on two points after consecutive draws and likely need all three points to guarantee advancement regardless of the result between Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia.
While Spain can focus on building momentum for the knockout stage, Uruguay face a near must-win scenario.
Check out our full list of live 2026 World Cup betting odds.
Uruguay vs. Spain FIFA World Cup: How to Watch and Match Info
- Time: Friday, June 26 at 8 p.m. ET
- Stadium: Estadio Akron (Guadalajara, Mexico)
- TV Channel: TSN
- Weather: 28°C; Partly cloudy with a 35 per cent chance of evening showers. Warm temperatures and possible rain are expected throughout the match.
Uruguay vs. Spain Betting Odds
Spain are -200 favourites on the moneyline, while Uruguay are available at +600. The draw is priced at +320. The total is set at 2.5 goals, with Over 2.5 at -115 and Under 2.5 at -105. Spain’s defensive strength is reflected in those numbers, having recorded seven clean sheets in their last eight competitive matches.
Uruguay vs. Spain Predicted Starting XI Lineups
Uruguay Predicted Starting XI: 4-3-3
Muslera
Varela | Caceres | Olivera | Sanabria
Valverde | Ugarte | Bentancur
Canobbio | Nunez | M. Araujo
Spain Predicted Starting XI: 4-3-3
Simon
Porro | Cubarsi | Laporte | Cucurella
Pedri | Rodri | Olmo
Yamal | Oyarzabal | N. Williams
Uruguay FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Uruguay have endured a frustrating tournament so far. Despite leading in both matches, Marcelo Bielsa’s side has been forced to settle for two draws. Their opener against Saudi Arabia saw Fernando Muslera struggle, while Uruguay generated little attacking threat until Maxi Araujo’s late equalizer. The second match followed a similar script. Muslera’s costly mistake allowed Cape Verde to score into an empty net, helping erase a lead created by goals from Araujo and Agustín Canobbio.
Injuries have not helped matters. Ronald Araujo remains sidelined, while Giorgian De Arrascaeta has yet to feature in the competition. Federico Valverde continues to drive the midfield, but Uruguay have lacked creativity in advanced areas. After beginning the Cape Verde match on the bench, Darwin Núñez could return to the starting lineup here.
Spain FIFA World Cup Odds and News
Spain opened the tournament with a disappointing 0-0 draw against Cape Verde in a match where they lacked sharpness in the final third. The absence of Lamine Yamal was noticeable as Spain created few clear chances. Yamal’s return against Saudi Arabia completely changed the attack. The teenager scored within 10 minutes as Spain cruised to a comfortable 3-0 victory. With the result effectively secured by halftime, he was able to rest for the second half.
Luis de la Fuente is expected to field a similar lineup, although he may consider rotating Yamal ahead of the knockout rounds. Pedri has controlled games effectively from midfield, while Nico Williams is pushing for a starting role thanks to his pace and creativity on the left flank.
Uruguay vs. Spain Player Odds and Props
- Mikel Oyarzabal (ESP) Over 0.5 Goals (+120): Oyarzabal responded to a quiet opening match by scoring twice against Saudi Arabia. With Spain expected to dominate possession and create opportunities from wide areas, he is well positioned to find the net again.
- Federico Valverde (URU) 2+ Shots (-105): Uruguay rely heavily on Valverde to create chances and drive attacks. Expect him to be involved frequently as Uruguay chase the win they need.
World Cup 2026 Bracket and Futures
Spain lead Group H with four points, while Uruguay and Cape Verde sit on two points apiece. Saudi Arabia remain on one point. A victory or draw would secure first place for Spain and a Round of 32 matchup against the Group J runner-up.
Uruguay’s situation is far more precarious. Defeat could result in elimination if Cape Verde beat Saudi Arabia. Even a draw may leave qualification dependent on other results, making an attacking approach almost inevitable.
Uruguay vs. Spain Score Prediction
Best Bet: Spain to win and Under 4.5 goals (-130)
Spain have looked stronger on both sides of the ball and remain one of the tournament’s most organized teams defensively. Uruguay’s injuries, goalkeeping concerns, and lack of attacking consistency make this a difficult matchup. Spain should control the contest and limit Uruguay’s chances.