Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - October 02, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Oct 2nd, 7:00 PM EDT
Florida
Panthers
Tampa Bay
Lightning
2
5
Florida Panthers
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Florida Panthers 21-15-2-1 1 1 0 +6
Tampa Bay Lightning 23-13-2-1 1 1 3 -110

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/31/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
Anaheim Ducks ANA ( 21-16-3 )
4   -   3
 Atlantic
12/30/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 21-12-2-4 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 21-15-2-1 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
12/29/25
Washington Capitals WAS ( 21-14-1-4 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 21-15-2-1 )
3   -   5
 Metropolitan
12/28/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 21-12-2-4 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
4   -   4
 Atlantic
12/27/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 21-15-2-1 )
4   -   2
 Atlantic
12/23/25
Florida Panthers FLA ( 21-15-2-1 )
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 24-12-1-2 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
12/22/25
St. Louis Blues STL ( 15-17-6-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
1   -   4
 Central
12/20/25
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 24-12-1-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
4   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
St. Louis Blues STL ( 15-17-6-2 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 21-15-2-1 )
6   -   2
 Central
12/19/25
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 24-12-1-2 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 21-15-2-1 )
3   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/18/25
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 16-13-4-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 23-13-2-1 )
2   -   1
 Pacific

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
0 0 6-3-1 1L 0-0 0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
0 0 7-2-0-1 5W 0-0 0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists FLA:Shots FLA:Goals FLA:Assists
12/27/2025 FLA 2 - TB 4 TB Over 5.5 25 4 7 26 2 4
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 FLA Over 6 28 2 4 24 5 7
11/15/2025 FLA 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6 20 3 4 23 1 2
10/04/2025 FLA 0 - TB 0 TB Under 6 2 0 0 0 0 0
10/02/2025 TB 5 - FLA 2 TB Over 6 33 5 10 18 2 3
09/30/2025 TB 3 - FLA 2 TB Under 5.5 0 3 4 0 2 4
04/30/2025 TB 3 - FLA 6 FLA Over 5.5 31 6 10 29 3 4
04/28/2025 FLA 4 - TB 2 FLA Over 5.5 20 2 3 23 4 6
04/26/2025 FLA 1 - TB 5 TB Over 5.5 22 5 10 34 1 2
04/24/2025 TB 0 - FLA 2 FLA Under 6 23 2 3 19 0 0
04/22/2025 TB 2 - FLA 6 FLA Over 5.5 17 6 9 22 2 4
04/15/2025 TB 5 - FLA 1 TB Over 5.5 24 1 2 31 5 9
03/03/2025 FLA 2 - TB 1 FLA Under 5.5 29 1 2 29 2 2
12/23/2024 FLA 0 - TB 4 TB Under 6.5 29 4 7 36 0 0
12/22/2024 TB 2 - FLA 4 FLA Under 6 26 4 5 21 2 4
10/02/2024 TB 1 - FLA 2 (OT) FLA Under 6.5 23 2 3 27 1 1
09/30/2024 FLA 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6.5 25 3 5 27 1 2
09/25/2024 TB 8 - FLA 7 TB Over 6 23 7 6 20 8 8
04/29/2024 FLA 6 - TB 1 FLA Over 6 32 1 2 39 6 11
04/27/2024 TB 6 - FLA 3 TB Over 6 25 3 6 32 6 11
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/30/2025 FLA 2 - MON 3 (OT) L Under 6 29 3 6
12/29/2025 FLA 5 - WAS 3 W Over 6 27 3 6
12/27/2025 FLA 2 - TB 4 L Over 5.5 25 4 7
12/23/2025 CAR 2 - FLA 5 W Over 6 22 5 10
12/20/2025 FLA 2 - STL 6 L Over 5.5 32 6 9
12/19/2025 FLA 3 - CAR 3 W Under 6 29 3 6
12/17/2025 FLA 3 - LA 2 W Under 5.5 29 2 2
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 W Over 6 24 5 7
12/13/2025 DAL 0 - FLA 4 W Under 6 23 4 7
12/11/2025 COL 6 - FLA 2 L Over 6 25 2 3
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/31/2025 ANA 3 - TB 4 (OT) W Over 6 28 3 2
12/28/2025 TB 4 - MON 4 L Over 6 21 4 7
12/27/2025 FLA 2 - TB 4 W Over 5.5 26 2 4
12/22/2025 TB 4 - STL 1 W Under 5.5 17 4 7
12/20/2025 TB 6 - CAR 4 W Over 5.5 29 6 11
12/18/2025 TB 1 - LA 2 L Under 5.5 32 1 2
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 L Over 6 28 2 4
12/13/2025 NYI 2 - TB 2 L Under 6 17 2 3
12/11/2025 NJ 4 - TB 8 W Over 6 37 4 8
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 W Over 6 27 1 2

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Florida Panthers FLA
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.2 5 Goals Per Game 4 3.3
3.2 8 Goals Against Per Game 2 2.6
29.2 8 Shots Per Game 16 27.5
26.7 6 Shots Against Per Game 7 26.8
10.9 12 Shooting % 5 12.0
11.8 17 Opponent Shooting % 7 9.9
2.51 5 Shot Differential Per Game 14 0.69
10.9 12 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 5 12.0
.880 5 Save % 3 .900
.890 4 Opponent Save % 3 .880
10.4 6 Penalty Minutes Per Game 2 13.3
0.69 7 Power Play Goals Per Game 13 0.56
0.59 11 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 5 0.51
18.5 14 Power Play % 17 17.5
82.8 7 Penalty Kill % 2 84.8
2.08 5 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 7 2.04

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Florida Panthers FLA
Season stats rank
Goals 3.18 11
Shots 29.21 10
Power Play (%) 18 20
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 404 6
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.31 5
Shots 27.49 20
Power Play (%) 17 23
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 519 2
defence
Florida Panthers FLA
Season stats rank
Goals 3.18 11
Shots 29.21 10
Power Play (%) 18 20
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 404 6
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.31 5
Shots 27.49 20
Power Play (%) 17 23
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 519 2

Injuries

Florida Panthers FLA
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Florida vs. Tampa Bay Betting News

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Florida Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Florida Panthers FLA

Over is 4-1-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 35-14-3 in Panthers last 52 Thursday games.

Panthers are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Panthers are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 8-3 in Panthers last 11 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Under is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 Thursday games.

Over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Florida Panthers
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • FLA
  • TB
NHL Odds