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Sports Interaction

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - February 25, 2026

Final Score
Atlantic
Feb 25th, 7:30 PM EST
Toronto
Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay
Lightning
2
4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs 29-29-9-4 0 0 2 +6
Tampa Bay Lightning 43-21-2-2 0 2 2 +185

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
03/21/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 43-21-2-2 )
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 34-28-6-3 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
03/21/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 29-29-9-4 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 36-24-9 )
2   -   5
 Atlantic
03/20/26
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 44-19-3-3 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 29-29-9-4 )
4   -   3
 Metropolitan
03/19/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 43-21-2-2 )
Vancouver Canucks VAN ( 21-40-6-2 )
6   -   2
 Atlantic
03/17/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 43-21-2-2 )
Seattle Kraken SEA ( 31-29-5-4 )
6   -   2
 Atlantic
03/17/26
NY Islanders Islanders NYI ( 39-26-0-5 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 29-29-9-4 )
3   -   1
 Metropolitan
03/15/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 29-29-9-4 )
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 40-19-7-5 )
4   -   2
 Atlantic
03/14/26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 29-29-9-4 )
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 44-20-6 )
2   -   2
 Atlantic
03/14/26
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 44-19-3-3 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 43-21-2-2 )
4   -   2
 Metropolitan
03/12/26
Anaheim Ducks ANA ( 38-27-4 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 29-29-9-4 )
4   -   6
 Pacific
03/12/26
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 38-24-5-3 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 43-21-2-2 )
1   -   4
 Atlantic
03/10/26
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 37-21-10-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 43-21-2-2 )
5   -   2
 Metropolitan

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
27 21 2-5-1-2 3L 24-32 -1381 16-9-5-1 11-12-3 32-19-5
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
37 14 5-5-0 3W 27-28 780 18-9-0 19-5-2-2 24-25-6

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists
03/07/2026 TOR 2 - TB 5 TB Over 0 33 5 10 29 2 1
02/25/2026 TB 4 - TOR 2 TB Under 6 36 4 8 34 2 4
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 TOR Under 6 29 0 0 25 2 2
04/09/2025 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Over 6 31 4 7 28 3 6
01/20/2025 TOR 5 - TB 3 TOR Over 6.5 30 3 6 28 5 8
11/30/2024 TB 3 - TOR 5 TOR Over 6 29 5 10 41 3 5
10/21/2024 TOR 5 - TB 2 TOR Over 6.5 34 2 4 29 5 7
04/17/2024 TB 6 - TOR 4 TB Over 7 38 4 7 32 6 11
04/03/2024 TOR 1 - TB 4 TB Under 6.5 25 4 8 29 1 2
11/06/2023 TOR 6 - TB 5 TOR Over 7 31 5 10 34 6 12
10/21/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Under 7 52 4 7 31 3 6
04/29/2023 TB 1 - TOR 2 (OT) TOR Under 6.5 22 2 3 32 1 2
04/27/2023 TOR 2 - TB 4 TB Under 6.5 38 4 8 30 2 4
04/24/2023 TB 4 - TOR 5 (OT) TOR Over 6.5 37 5 10 31 4 8
04/22/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 (OT) TOR Over 6.5 27 4 7 39 3 6
04/20/2023 TOR 7 - TB 2 TOR Over 6 22 2 4 37 7 12
04/18/2023 TOR 3 - TB 7 TB Over 6 34 7 11 31 3 6
04/11/2023 TB 3 - TOR 4 TOR Over 6.5 24 4 7 48 3 4
12/20/2022 TOR 4 - TB 1 TOR Under 6 19 1 1 40 4 6
12/03/2022 TB 4 - TOR 3 TB Over 6 39 3 3 33 4 7
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
03/21/2026 OTT 5 - TOR 2 L Over 0 14 2 4
03/20/2026 TOR 3 - CAR 4 (OT) L Over 0 36 4 4
03/17/2026 TOR 1 - NYI 3 L Over 0 34 3 6
03/15/2026 MIN 2 - TOR 4 W Over 0 26 4 4
03/14/2026 BUF 2 - TOR 2 W Over 0 18 2 3
03/12/2026 TOR 6 - ANA 4 W Over 0 40 4 7
03/10/2026 MON 3 - TOR 1 L Over 0 18 1 1
03/07/2026 TOR 2 - TB 5 L Over 0 33 5 10
03/05/2026 NYR 6 - TOR 2 L Over 0 32 2 3
03/04/2026 NJ 3 - TOR 3 W Over 0 27 3 6
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
03/21/2026 EDM 2 - TB 5 W Over 0 27 2 1
03/19/2026 VAN 2 - TB 6 W Over 0 21 2 3
03/17/2026 SEA 2 - TB 6 W Over 0 18 2 2
03/14/2026 TB 2 - CAR 4 L Over 0 19 2 4
03/12/2026 TB 4 - DET 1 W Over 0 28 4 6
03/10/2026 TB 2 - CLB 5 L Over 0 18 2 3
03/08/2026 BUF 8 - TB 7 L Over 0 42 8 14
03/07/2026 TOR 2 - TB 5 W Over 0 29 2 1
03/05/2026 WIN 4 - TB 1 L Over 0 30 4 8
03/03/2026 MIN 5 - TB 1 L Under 6 22 5 7

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.1 7 Goals Per Game 2 3.6
3.5 10 Goals Against Per Game 2 2.7
27.0 18 Shots Per Game 13 28.1
32.4 26 Shots Against Per Game 9 27.0
11.5 7 Shooting % 2 12.7
10.7 11 Opponent Shooting % 6 10.2
-5.38 30 Shot Differential Per Game 11 1.16
11.5 7 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 2 12.7
.890 3 Save % 2 .900
.890 3 Opponent Save % 1 .870
8.4 14 Penalty Minutes Per Game 1 14.5
0.45 20 Power Play Goals Per Game 9 0.67
0.46 2 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 8 0.57
18.8 19 Power Play % 12 22.0
82.7 4 Penalty Kill % 5 82.1
2.1 7 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 5 2.16

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.1 16
Shots 27.04 22
Power Play (%) 19 20
Faceoff (%) 55 2
Penalty Mins 595 15
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.59 2
Shots 28.1 15
Power Play (%) 22 12
Faceoff (%) 48 25
Penalty Mins 991 1
defence
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.1 16
Shots 27.04 22
Power Play (%) 19 20
Faceoff (%) 55 2
Penalty Mins 595 15
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.59 2
Shots 28.1 15
Power Play (%) 22 12
Faceoff (%) 48 25
Penalty Mins 991 1

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Toronto vs. Tampa Bay Betting News

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

No posts found.
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.

Toronto Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Over is 6-2 in Maple Leafs last 8 Wednesday games.

Maple Leafs are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 6-2-1 in Maple Leafs last 9 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 21-7-3 in Maple Leafs last 31 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Lightning are 37-18 in their last 55 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Over is 7-0-1 in Lightning last 8 Wednesday games.

Under is 9-3-1 in Lightning last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 3-1-3 in Lightning last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Toronto Maple Leafs
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TOR
  • TB
NHL Odds