Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds & Stats - September 28, 2025

Final Score
Washington
Commanders
Atlanta
Falcons
27
34
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
Scoreboard 1 2 3 4 Odds
Washington Commanders 4-12 0 10 6 11 +45.5
Atlanta Falcons 6-9 10 7 14 3 -2.5

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/25/25
Dallas Cowboys DAL ( 7-8 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 4-12 )
30   -   23
NFC East
12/21/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
Arizona Cardinals ARI ( 3-13 )
26   -   19
NFC South
12/20/25
Philadelphia Eagles PHI ( 11-5 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 4-12 )
29   -   18
NFC East
12/14/25
Washington Commanders WAS ( 4-12 )
N.Y. Giants Giants NYG ( 3-13 )
29   -   21
NFC East
12/11/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-9 )
29   -   28
NFC South
12/07/25
Washington Commanders WAS ( 4-12 )
Minnesota Vikings MIN ( 8-8 )
0   -   31
NFC East
12/07/25
Seattle Seahawks SEA ( 13-3 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
37   -   9
NFC West
11/30/25
Denver Broncos DEN ( 13-3 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 4-12 )
27   -   26
AFC West
11/30/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
N.Y. Jets Jets NYJ ( 3-13 )
24   -   27
NFC South
11/23/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
New Orleans Saints NO ( 6-10 )
24   -   10
NFC South
11/16/25
Carolina Panthers CAR ( 8-8 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 6-9 )
30   -   27
NFC South
11/16/25
Washington Commanders WAS ( 4-12 )
Miami Dolphins MIA ( 7-9 )
13   -   16
NFC East

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
2 1 1-9 2L 2-1 0 0-0 0-0 1-2
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
1 2 3-7 2W 1-2 0 0-0 0-0 0-3

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u ATL:Total Net Yards ATL:Net Rushing Yards ATL:Passing Yards WAS:Total Net Yards WAS:Net Rushing Yards WAS:Passing Yards
09/28/2025 ATL 34 - WAS 27 ATL -2.5 Over 43.5 435 128 307 294 147 147
12/29/2024 WAS 30 - ATL 24 WAS -3.5 Over 46.5 337 126 211 412 216 196
10/15/2023 ATL 16 - WAS 24 WAS +2 Under 41.5 193 72 121 402 106 296
11/27/2022 WAS 19 - ATL 13 WAS -3 Under 40 332 167 165 314 176 138
10/03/2021 ATL 30 - WAS 34 WAS +1 Over 47 412 122 290 374 99 275
08/22/2019 ATL 7 - WAS 19 WAS -1.5 Under 41.5 280 108 172 235 155 80
11/04/2018 WAS 14 - ATL 38 ATL +2.5 Over 46.5 491 154 337 366 79 287
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/25/2025 WAS 23 - DAL 30 W -5.5 Over 47.5 480 211 269
12/20/2025 WAS 18 - PHI 29 L +6 Over 43.5 385 207 178
12/14/2025 NYG 21 - WAS 29 W -4.5 Over 45.5 340 145 195
12/07/2025 MIN 31 - WAS 0 L +1.5 Under 43.5 206 107 99
11/30/2025 WAS 26 - DEN 27 W +6.5 Over 43.5 402 87 315
11/16/2025 MIA 16 - WAS 13 L +2.5 Under 47 379 172 207
11/09/2025 WAS 22 - DET 44 L +8 Over 51.5 546 226 320
11/02/2025 WAS 14 - SEA 38 L +2.5 Over 46 418 88 330
10/27/2025 KC 28 - WAS 7 L +9.5 Under 48 260 60 200
10/19/2025 DAL 44 - WAS 22 L +1.5 Over 48.5 341 136 205
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/21/2025 ARI 19 - ATL 26 W -1.5 Under 48 320 132 188
12/11/2025 TB 28 - ATL 29 W +5.5 Over 43.5 338 88 250
12/07/2025 ATL 9 - SEA 37 L +7.5 Over 44.5 274 120 154
11/30/2025 NYJ 27 - ATL 24 L -2.5 Over 38 269 110 159
11/23/2025 NO 10 - ATL 24 W -2.5 Under 40 293 79 214
11/16/2025 ATL 27 - CAR 30 L -3.5 Over 42 348 125 223
11/09/2025 IND 31 - ATL 25 L +7 Over 48.5 519 323 196
11/02/2025 NE 24 - ATL 23 W +4.5 Over 45.5 331 110 221
10/26/2025 ATL 10 - MIA 34 L -7.5 Under 45.5 213 45 168
10/19/2025 SF 20 - ATL 10 L +3 Under 46.5 324 174 150

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

avg rank edge in rank avg
20.75 24 Points Per Game 26 20.47
27.13 25 Points Allowed Per Game 19 24
2.31 24 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game 13 4.47
6.31 23 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 13 4.53
7.56 9 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game 16 6.93
7.94 20 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 13 6.33
4.81 13 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game 24 2.87
6.38 25 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 21 5.53
5.69 22 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game 16 6.2
5.88 10 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 16 7
64.3 8 Red Zone Efficiency 7 64.4
321.56 21 Total Yards Per Game 13 340.53
11.51 6 Total Yards Per Play 17 10.36
4.85 5 Rushing Yards Per Play 13 4.46
27.94 29 Passing Attempts Per Game 15 32.87
10.98 7 Passing Yards Per Completion 11 10.76
1.13 13 Passing Tds Per Game 13 1.13
17.06 26 Completions Per Game 16 20.07
61.1 21 Completion % 21 61.1
85.96 26 Qb Rating 23 87.25
2.31 13 Defense Sacks Per Game 23 1.47
0.69 8 Defense Interceptions Per Game 12 0.47
0.75 2 Opponent Fumbles Per Game 14 1.47
0.63 5 Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game 4 0.67
7.06 20 Penalties Per Game 13 6.4
55.88 23 Penalty Yards Per Game 13 49
21 11 Takeaway / Giveaway Differential 7 17
5.92 7 Yards Per Punt Return 28 2.58
27.09 9 Yards Per Kickoff Return 32 22.75

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Washington Commanders WAS
Season stats rank
Total Yards 321.6 21
Passing Yards 187.38 24
Rushing Yards 134.19 4
Points Scored 20.75 24
Field Goal % 0.79 27
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 340.5 13
Passing Yards 215.87 18
Rushing Yards 124.67 8
Points Scored 20.47 26
Field Goal % 0.81 25
defence
Washington Commanders WAS
Season stats rank
Total Yards 321.6 21
Passing Yards 187.38 24
Rushing Yards 134.19 4
Points Scored 20.75 24
Field Goal % 0.79 27
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 340.5 13
Passing Yards 215.87 18
Rushing Yards 124.67 8
Points Scored 20.47 26
Field Goal % 0.81 25

Injuries

Washington Commanders WAS
Atlanta Falcons ATL

Line Up - Last Game

Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player