Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds & Stats - September 28, 2025

Final Score
Washington
Commanders
Atlanta
Falcons
27
34
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
Scoreboard 1 2 3 4 Odds
Washington Commanders 3-9 0 10 6 11 +45.5
Atlanta Falcons 4-8 10 7 14 3 -2.5

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
11/30/25
Denver Broncos DEN ( 10-2 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 3-9 )
27   -   26
AFC West
11/30/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-8 )
N.Y. Jets Jets NYJ ( 3-9 )
24   -   27
NFC South
11/23/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-8 )
New Orleans Saints NO ( 2-10 )
24   -   10
NFC South
11/16/25
Carolina Panthers CAR ( 7-6 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-8 )
30   -   27
NFC South
11/16/25
Washington Commanders WAS ( 3-9 )
Miami Dolphins MIA ( 5-7 )
13   -   16
NFC East
11/09/25
Detroit Lions DET ( 8-5 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 3-9 )
44   -   22
NFC North
11/09/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-8 )
Indianapolis Colts IND ( 8-4 )
25   -   31
NFC South
11/02/25
Seattle Seahawks SEA ( 9-3 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 3-9 )
38   -   14
NFC West
11/02/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-8 )
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
23   -   24
NFC South
10/27/25
Washington Commanders WAS ( 3-9 )
Kansas City Chiefs KC ( 6-6 )
7   -   28
NFC East
10/26/25
Miami Dolphins MIA ( 5-7 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-8 )
34   -   10
AFC East
10/19/25
Washington Commanders WAS ( 3-9 )
Dallas Cowboys DAL ( 6-6 )
22   -   44
NFC East

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Washington Commanders Washington Commanders
2 1 2-8 7L 2-1 0 0-0 0-0 1-2
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
1 2 3-7 1L 1-2 0 0-0 0-0 0-3

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u ATL:Total Net Yards ATL:Net Rushing Yards ATL:Passing Yards WAS:Total Net Yards WAS:Net Rushing Yards WAS:Passing Yards
09/28/2025 ATL 34 - WAS 27 ATL -2.5 Over 43.5 435 128 307 294 147 147
12/29/2024 WAS 30 - ATL 24 WAS -3.5 Over 46.5 337 126 211 412 216 196
10/15/2023 ATL 16 - WAS 24 WAS +2 Under 41.5 193 72 121 402 106 296
11/27/2022 WAS 19 - ATL 13 WAS -3 Under 40 332 167 165 314 176 138
10/03/2021 ATL 30 - WAS 34 WAS +1 Over 47 412 122 290 374 99 275
08/22/2019 ATL 7 - WAS 19 WAS -1.5 Under 41.5 280 108 172 235 155 80
11/04/2018 WAS 14 - ATL 38 ATL +2.5 Over 46.5 491 154 337 366 79 287
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
11/30/2025 WAS 26 - DEN 27 W +6.5 Over 43.5 402 87 315
11/16/2025 MIA 16 - WAS 13 L +2.5 Under 47 379 172 207
11/09/2025 WAS 22 - DET 44 L +8 Over 51.5 546 226 320
11/02/2025 WAS 14 - SEA 38 L +2.5 Over 46 418 88 330
10/27/2025 KC 28 - WAS 7 L +9.5 Under 48 260 60 200
10/19/2025 DAL 44 - WAS 22 L +1.5 Over 48.5 341 136 205
10/13/2025 WAS 24 - CHI 25 L -4.5 Under 49 381 145 236
10/05/2025 LAC 10 - WAS 27 W +3 Under 48.5 389 163 226
09/28/2025 ATL 34 - WAS 27 L +2.5 Over 43.5 294 147 147
09/21/2025 WAS 41 - LV 24 W -3 Over 47.5 354 93 261
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
11/30/2025 NYJ 27 - ATL 24 L -2.5 Over 38 269 110 159
11/23/2025 NO 10 - ATL 24 W -2.5 Under 40 293 79 214
11/16/2025 ATL 27 - CAR 30 L -3.5 Over 42 348 125 223
11/09/2025 IND 31 - ATL 25 L +7 Over 48.5 519 323 196
11/02/2025 NE 24 - ATL 23 W +4.5 Over 45.5 331 110 221
10/26/2025 ATL 10 - MIA 34 L -7.5 Under 45.5 213 45 168
10/19/2025 SF 20 - ATL 10 L +3 Under 46.5 324 174 150
10/13/2025 ATL 24 - BUF 14 W +5.5 Under 49.5 443 210 233
09/28/2025 ATL 34 - WAS 27 W -2.5 Over 43.5 435 128 307
09/21/2025 CAR 30 - ATL 0 L -4.5 Under 45.5 224 110 114

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

avg rank edge in rank avg
21.83 22 Points Per Game 26 20.25
26.92 27 Points Allowed Per Game 15 23
2.33 26 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game 10 5.08
6.67 25 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 10 4
7.33 11 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game 20 6.17
8 20 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 14 6.67
5.58 9 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game 22 3.33
6.25 25 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 18 4.92
6.08 17 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game 20 5.67
5.17 6 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 13 6.67
69.7 2 Red Zone Efficiency 8 64.7
337.58 15 Total Yards Per Game 17 334.67
11.32 7 Total Yards Per Play 13 10.46
4.89 5 Rushing Yards Per Play 12 4.51
29.83 23 Passing Attempts Per Game 14 32
10.6 12 Passing Yards Per Completion 11 10.76
1.42 12 Passing Tds Per Game 17 1
18.75 25 Completions Per Game 21 19.58
62.8 18 Completion % 23 61.2
90.57 17 Qb Rating 21 88.08
2.42 12 Defense Sacks Per Game 20 1.58
0.67 9 Defense Interceptions Per Game 16 0.33
0.75 6 Opponent Fumbles Per Game 18 1.58
0.58 5 Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game 5 0.58
6.92 16 Penalties Per Game 3 5.42
56.5 18 Penalty Yards Per Game 6 44.5
15 9 Takeaway / Giveaway Differential 5 11
5.87 11 Yards Per Punt Return 32 2.04
28.63 2 Yards Per Kickoff Return 31 22.21

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Washington Commanders WAS
Season stats rank
Total Yards 337.6 15
Passing Yards 198.67 22
Rushing Yards 138.92 3
Points Scored 21.83 22
Field Goal % 0.71 31
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 334.7 17
Passing Yards 210.75 18
Rushing Yards 123.92 9
Points Scored 20.25 26
Field Goal % 0.8 24
defence
Washington Commanders WAS
Season stats rank
Total Yards 337.6 15
Passing Yards 198.67 22
Rushing Yards 138.92 3
Points Scored 21.83 22
Field Goal % 0.71 31
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 334.7 17
Passing Yards 210.75 18
Rushing Yards 123.92 9
Points Scored 20.25 26
Field Goal % 0.8 24

Injuries

Washington Commanders WAS
Atlanta Falcons ATL

Line Up - Last Game

Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player