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Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds & Stats September 28, 2025

Final Score
NFC East
Sep 28th, 1:00 PM EDT
Washington
Commanders
Atlanta
Falcons
27
34
Washington Commanders
Atlanta Falcons
Scoreboard 1 2 3 4 Odds
Washington Commanders 5-12 0 10 6 11 +45.5
Atlanta Falcons 8-9 10 7 14 3 -2.5

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
01/04/26
Washington Commanders WAS ( 5-12 )
Philadelphia Eagles PHI ( 11-6 )
24   -   17
 NFC East
01/04/26
New Orleans Saints NO ( 6-11 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 8-9 )
17   -   19
 NFC South
12/29/25
L.A. Rams Rams LAR ( 12-5 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 8-9 )
24   -   27
 NFC West
12/25/25
Dallas Cowboys DAL ( 7-9 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 5-12 )
30   -   23
 NFC East
12/21/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 8-9 )
Arizona Cardinals ARI ( 3-14 )
26   -   19
 NFC South
12/20/25
Philadelphia Eagles PHI ( 11-6 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 5-12 )
29   -   18
 NFC East
12/14/25
Washington Commanders WAS ( 5-12 )
N.Y. Giants Giants NYG ( 4-13 )
29   -   21
 NFC East
12/11/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 8-9 )
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 8-9 )
29   -   28
 NFC South
12/07/25
Washington Commanders WAS ( 5-12 )
Minnesota Vikings MIN ( 9-8 )
0   -   31
 NFC East
12/07/25
Seattle Seahawks SEA ( 14-3 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 8-9 )
37   -   9
 NFC West
11/30/25
Denver Broncos DEN ( 14-3 )
Washington Commanders WAS ( 5-12 )
27   -   26
 AFC West
11/30/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 8-9 )
N.Y. Jets Jets NYJ ( 3-14 )
24   -   27
 NFC South

Line History

Matchup Details

Washington Commanders WAS
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Stat
2 Games Won 1
1 Games Lost 2
2-8 Last 10 5-5
0-0 W L Streak 0-0
2-1 Against The Spread 1-2
0 Money 0
0-0 Home 0-0
0-0 Away 0-0
1-2 Total 0-3

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u ATL:Total Net Yards ATL:Net Rushing Yards ATL:Passing Yards WAS:Total Net Yards WAS:Net Rushing Yards WAS:Passing Yards
09/28/2025 ATL 34 - WAS 27 ATL +3 Over 43.5 435 128 307 294 147 147
12/29/2024 WAS 30 - ATL 24 WAS -3.5 Over 46.5 337 126 211 412 216 196
10/15/2023 ATL 16 - WAS 24 WAS +2 Under 41.5 193 72 121 402 106 296
11/27/2022 WAS 19 - ATL 13 WAS -3 Under 40 332 167 165 314 176 138
10/03/2021 ATL 30 - WAS 34 WAS +1 Over 47 412 122 290 374 99 275
08/22/2019 ATL 7 - WAS 19 WAS -1.5 Under 41.5 280 108 172 235 155 80
11/04/2018 WAS 14 - ATL 38 ATL +2.5 Over 46.5 491 154 337 366 79 287
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
01/04/2026 PHI 17 - WAS 24 W +3 Over 38.5 274 143 131
12/25/2025 WAS 23 - DAL 30 W -5.5 Over 47.5 480 211 269
12/20/2025 WAS 18 - PHI 29 L +6 Over 43.5 385 207 178
12/14/2025 NYG 21 - WAS 29 W -4.5 Over 45.5 340 145 195
12/07/2025 MIN 31 - WAS 0 L +1.5 Under 43.5 206 107 99
11/30/2025 WAS 26 - DEN 27 W +6.5 Over 43.5 402 87 315
11/16/2025 MIA 16 - WAS 13 L +2.5 Under 47 379 172 207
11/09/2025 WAS 22 - DET 44 L +8 Over 51.5 546 226 320
11/02/2025 WAS 14 - SEA 38 L +2.5 Over 46 418 88 330
10/27/2025 KC 28 - WAS 7 L +9.5 Under 48 260 60 200
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
01/04/2026 ATL 19 - NO 17 L -4 Under 43.5 208 49 159
12/29/2025 ATL 27 - LAR 24 W +8.5 Over 49.5 345 219 126
12/21/2025 ARI 19 - ATL 26 W -1.5 Under 48 320 132 188
12/11/2025 TB 28 - ATL 29 W +5.5 Over 43.5 338 88 250
12/07/2025 ATL 9 - SEA 37 L +7.5 Over 44.5 274 120 154
11/30/2025 NYJ 27 - ATL 24 L -2.5 Over 38 269 110 159
11/23/2025 NO 10 - ATL 24 W -2.5 Under 40 293 79 214
11/16/2025 ATL 27 - CAR 30 L -3.5 Over 42 348 125 223
11/09/2025 IND 31 - ATL 25 L +7 Over 48.5 519 323 196
11/02/2025 NE 24 - ATL 23 W +4.5 Over 45.5 331 110 221

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Washington Commanders WAS
Atlanta Falcons ATL
avg rank edge in rank avg
2.1 1 Qb Rating 1 2.1

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

Washington Commanders WAS
Season stats rank
Total Yards 384.3 32
Passing Yards 242.47 28
Rushing Yards 141.82 30
Points Scored 26.53 27
Field Goal % 0.81 6
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 326.6 15
Passing Yards 200.41 13
Rushing Yards 126.24 24
Points Scored 23.59 19
Field Goal % 0.81 7
Washington Commanders WAS
Season stats rank
Total Yards 311.2 24
Passing Yards 178.47 26
Rushing Yards 132.71 4
Points Scored 20.94 22
Field Goal % 0.77 29
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 333 15
Passing Yards 207.24 19
Rushing Yards 125.76 8
Points Scored 20.76 24
Field Goal % 0.82 24

Injuries

Washington Commanders WAS
Atlanta Falcons ATL

Washington vs. Atlanta Betting News

Washington Commanders WAS

No posts found.
Atlanta Falcons ATL

No posts found.

Washington Vs Atlanta Betting Trends

Washington Commanders WAS

Over is 12-5 in Commanders last 17 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Commanders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

Over is 4-1 in Commanders last 5 games in Week 4.

Commanders are 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 5-2 in Commanders last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Atlanta Falcons ATL

Under is 10-3 in Falcons last 13 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.

Falcons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games.

Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Under is 6-1 in Falcons last 7 games as a favorite.

Over is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.

Line Up - Last Game

Washington Commanders
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Atlanta Falcons
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • WAS
  • +2.5 -2.5
  • ATL
NFL Odds