Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 11, 2025

Game Scheduled
NFC South
Dec 11th, 8:15 PM EST
Atlanta
Falcons
L L W L L
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
W L L L W
VS
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
44%
56%
Betting Action
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Atlanta Falcons 4-9 Atlanta Falcons +5.5 (-105) on Sports Interaction Atlanta Falcons +225 on Sports Interaction 43.5 (-110) on Sports Interaction
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 (-105) on Sports Interaction Tampa Bay Buccaneers -275 on Sports Interaction 43.5 (-110) on Sports Interaction

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/07/25
Seattle Seahawks SEA ( 10-3 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-9 )
37   -   9
 NFC West
12/07/25
New Orleans Saints NO ( 3-10 )
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-6 )
24   -   20
 NFC South
11/30/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-9 )
N.Y. Jets Jets NYJ ( 3-10 )
24   -   27
 NFC South
11/30/25
Arizona Cardinals ARI ( 3-10 )
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-6 )
17   -   20
 NFC West
11/23/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-6 )
L.A. Rams Rams LAR ( 10-3 )
7   -   34
 NFC South
11/23/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-9 )
New Orleans Saints NO ( 3-10 )
24   -   10
 NFC South
11/16/25
Carolina Panthers CAR ( 7-6 )
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-9 )
30   -   27
 NFC South
11/16/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-6 )
Buffalo Bills BUF ( 9-4 )
32   -   44
 NFC South
11/09/25
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-6 )
28   -   23
 AFC East
11/09/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-9 )
Indianapolis Colts IND ( 8-5 )
25   -   31
 NFC South
11/02/25
Atlanta Falcons ATL ( 4-9 )
New England Patriots NE ( 11-2 )
23   -   24
 NFC South
10/26/25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB ( 7-6 )
New Orleans Saints NO ( 3-10 )
23   -   3
 NFC South

Betting Action

Spread Bets • 5.5
Atlanta Falcons ATL
44%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
56%
Totals (O/U) • 43.5
Over 0%
Under 0%
Money Bets •
Atlanta Falcons ATL
7%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
93%

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
4 9 3-7 2L 6-7 0 0-0 0-0 6-6-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7 6 4-6 1L 5-8 0 0-0 0-0 7-6

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Total Net Yards TB:Net Rushing Yards TB:Passing Yards ATL:Total Net Yards ATL:Net Rushing Yards ATL:Passing Yards
09/07/2025 ATL 20 - TB 23 TB -1.5 Under 49.5 260 101 159 358 69 289
10/27/2024 TB 26 - ATL 31 ATL -1.5 Over 48 394 129 265 432 102 330
10/03/2024 ATL 36 - TB 30 ATL -2.5 Over 44 333 160 173 550 73 477
12/10/2023 ATL 25 - TB 29 TB +1 Over 41.5 290 148 142 434 96 338
10/22/2023 TB 13 - ATL 16 ATL +2.5 Under 37.5 401 156 245 329 73 256
01/08/2023 ATL 30 - TB 17 ATL -3 Over 40.5 222 86 136 382 174 208
10/09/2022 TB 21 - ATL 15 ATL +10.5 Under 48 261 151 110 420 69 351
12/05/2021 ATL 17 - TB 30 TB -11 Under 50 425 57 368 380 121 259
09/19/2021 TB 48 - ATL 25 TB -13.5 Over 52 348 55 293 341 82 259
01/03/2021 TB 44 - ATL 27 TB -7.5 Over 51.5 385 127 258 485 94 391
12/20/2020 ATL 27 - TB 31 ATL +6 Over 51.5 416 51 365 369 37 332
12/29/2019 TB 22 - ATL 28 ATL +1 Over 49.5 373 87 286 329 136 193
11/24/2019 ATL 22 - TB 35 TB +4 Over 51.5 446 133 313 337 57 280
12/30/2018 TB 32 - ATL 34 ATL -0 Over 51.5 489 109 380 433 92 341
10/14/2018 ATL 34 - TB 29 ATL -3.5 Over 57 510 121 389 417 70 347
12/18/2017 TB 21 - ATL 24 TB +6 Under 49.5 410 201 209 373 84 289
11/26/2017 ATL 34 - TB 20 ATL -10.5 Over 49 373 94 279 516 148 368
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/07/2025 ATL 9 - SEA 37 L +7.5 Over 44.5 365 129 236
11/30/2025 NYJ 27 - ATL 24 L -2.5 Over 38 389 167 222
11/23/2025 NO 10 - ATL 24 W -2.5 Under 40 302 121 181
11/16/2025 ATL 27 - CAR 30 L -3.5 Over 42 486 67 419
11/09/2025 IND 31 - ATL 25 L +7 Over 48.5 290 140 150
11/02/2025 NE 24 - ATL 23 W +4.5 Over 45.5 288 71 217
10/26/2025 ATL 10 - MIA 34 L -7.5 Under 45.5 338 141 197
10/19/2025 SF 20 - ATL 10 L +3 Under 46.5 292 62 230
10/13/2025 ATL 24 - BUF 14 W +5.5 Under 49.5 291 134 157
09/28/2025 ATL 34 - WAS 27 W -2.5 Over 43.5 294 147 147
date score ats o/u Total Net Yards Net Rushing Yards Passing Yards
12/07/2025 TB 20 - NO 24 L -8.5 Over 41.5 301 179 122
11/30/2025 TB 20 - ARI 17 L -3 Under 45.5 279 95 184
11/23/2025 LAR 34 - TB 7 L +7 Under 49.5 333 70 263
11/16/2025 BUF 44 - TB 32 L +6 Over 45.5 414 97 317
11/09/2025 TB 23 - NE 28 L -2.5 Over 48 371 113 258
10/26/2025 NO 3 - TB 23 W -5.5 Under 46.5 275 48 227
10/20/2025 DET 24 - TB 9 L +6 Under 55 379 164 215
10/12/2025 TB 30 - SF 19 W -2.5 Over 47 352 104 248
10/05/2025 SEA 35 - TB 38 W +2.5 Over 44.5 463 122 341
09/28/2025 TB 25 - PHI 31 L +3.5 Over 44 376 104 272

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Atlanta Falcons ATL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
19.38 24 Points Per Game 15 23
24.08 19 Points Allowed Per Game 22 25
4.92 10 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game 20 3.08
3.92 8 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 21 6.08
5.92 20 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game 5 8.46
6.38 13 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 15 6.69
3.08 22 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game 4 6.77
5.85 18 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 16 5.23
5.46 20 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game 23 4.69
7.23 18 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game 16 7
57.9 16 Red Zone Efficiency 23 50.0
330 16 Total Yards Per Game 22 315
10.36 15 Total Yards Per Play 22 9.48
4.45 14 Rushing Yards Per Play 19 4.17
31.85 17 Passing Attempts Per Game 13 33.23
10.73 11 Passing Yards Per Completion 20 9.8
0.92 13 Passing Tds Per Game 6 1.54
19.23 24 Completions Per Game 15 20.38
60.4 25 Completion % 22 61.3
84.48 26 Qb Rating 16 89.7
1.54 17 Defense Sacks Per Game 14 2
0.46 10 Defense Interceptions Per Game 10 0.46
1.62 12 Opponent Fumbles Per Game 6 1.08
0.62 4 Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game 8 0.31
5.62 5 Penalties Per Game 4 5.54
45.38 7 Penalty Yards Per Game 5 43.54
14 5 Takeaway / Giveaway Differential 2 10
2.24 32 Yards Per Punt Return 14 4.94
22.75 30 Yards Per Kickoff Return 26 24.32

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 330 16
Passing Yards 206.38 18
Rushing Yards 123.62 12
Points Scored 19.38 27
Field Goal % 0.79 25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
Season stats rank
Total Yards 315 22
Passing Yards 199.85 20
Rushing Yards 115.15 20
Points Scored 23 18
Field Goal % 0.86 17
defence
Atlanta Falcons ATL
Season stats rank
Total Yards 330 16
Passing Yards 206.38 18
Rushing Yards 123.62 12
Points Scored 19.38 27
Field Goal % 0.79 25
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
Season stats rank
Total Yards 315 22
Passing Yards 199.85 20
Rushing Yards 115.15 20
Points Scored 23 18
Field Goal % 0.86 17

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons ATL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB

Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Betting News

Atlanta Falcons ATL
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB
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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Point Spread: NFL Week 15 TNF Odds, Prediction
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Saints vs. Buccaneers Point Spread: NFL Week 14 Odds, Prediction

Atlanta Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Atlanta Falcons ATL

Over is 4-0-1 in Falcons last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 7-1 in Falcons last 8 Thursday games.

Over is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 games as a favorite.

Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games in Week 15.

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB

Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Buccaneers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

Over is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games in Week 15.

Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games as a home underdog.

Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games in December.

NFC South Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Atlanta Falcons
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • ATL
  • +5.5 -5.5
  • TB
Odds