Line History
| time | fav | line | total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening 23 Nov 11:26pm | UNC | O +47.5 -110 | |
| Closing 30 Nov 3:45am | UNC | U +55.5 -140 |
Team Leaders
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Justin JolyTight End North Carolina |
7 | Touchdowns | 6 |
Jordan ShippWide Receiver NC State![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() Hollywood SmothersRunning Back North Carolina |
939 | Rushing | 464 |
Demon JuneRunning Back NC State![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() CJ BaileyQuarterback North Carolina |
2884 | Passing | 1747 |
Gio LopezQuarterback NC State![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Jordan ShippWide Receiver NC State |
60 | Receiving | 47 |
Justin JolyTight End North Carolina![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() Melkart Abou-JaoudeDefensive Lineman NC State |
10.5 | Sacks | 3.5 |
Caden FordhamLinebacker North Carolina![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() Devon MarshallCornerback North Carolina |
2 | Interceptions | 1 |
Kaleb CostDefensive Back NC State![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Wesley GrimesWide Receiver North Carolina |
1 | Touchdowns | ||
![]() ![]() ![]() Jayden ScottRunning Back North Carolina |
108 | Rushing | ||
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() CJ BaileyQuarterback North Carolina |
221 | Passing | Did not qualify | |
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Wesley GrimesWide Receiver North Carolina |
3 | Receiving | ||
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Joseph AdedireDefensive End North Carolina |
1 | Sacks | ||
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Joseph AdedireDefensive End North Carolina |
0 | Interceptions |
Recent Meetings
| date | home-away | ats | o/u | NCST:Total Net Yards | NCST:Net Rushing Yards | NCST:Passing Yards | UNC:Total Net Yards | UNC:Net Rushing Yards | UNC:Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/29/2025 | NCST 42 - UNC 19 | NCST -7 | Over 47.5 | 386 | 185 | 201 | 265 | 70 | 195 |
| 11/30/2024 | UNC 30 - NCST 35 | NCST +3.5 | Over 55.5 | 462 | 220 | 242 | 468 | 193 | 275 |
| 11/25/2023 | NCST 39 - UNC 20 | NCST +2 | Over 55 | 384 | 130 | 254 | 504 | 170 | 334 |
| 11/25/2022 | UNC 27 - NCST 30 | NCST +6.5 | Over 56.5 | 330 | 59 | 271 | 351 | 118 | 233 |
| 11/26/2021 | NCST 34 - UNC 30 | UNC +5.5 | Over 62.5 | 444 | 297 | 147 | 360 | 113 | 247 |
| 10/24/2020 | UNC 48 - NCST 21 | UNC -14 | Over 61.5 | 392 | 34 | 358 | 578 | 326 | 252 |
| 11/30/2019 | NCST 10 - UNC 41 | UNC -8 | Under 58 | 620 | 180 | 440 | 289 | 132 | 157 |
| 11/24/2018 | UNC 28 - NCST 34 | UNC +7.5 | Under 62.5 | 406 | 206 | 200 | 429 | 153 | 276 |
| 11/25/2017 | NCST 33 - UNC 21 | UNC +15 | Under 57 | 360 | 83 | 277 | 496 | 292 | 204 |
| date | score | ats | o/u | Total Net Yards | Net Rushing Yards | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/29/2025 | NCST 42 - UNC 19 | L +7 | Over 47.5 | 265 | 70 | 195 |
| 11/22/2025 | UNC 25 - DUKE 32 | L +7 | Over 51.5 | 352 | 177 | 175 |
| 11/15/2025 | WAKE 28 - UNC 12 | L +3.5 | Over 38.5 | 257 | 56 | 201 |
| 11/08/2025 | UNC 20 - STAN 15 | L -8.5 | Under 42.5 | 320 | 36 | 284 |
| 10/31/2025 | SYR 10 - UNC 27 | W +1.5 | Under 44.5 | 426 | 210 | 216 |
| 10/25/2025 | UNC 16 - UVA 17 | W +9.5 | Under 52.5 | 259 | 59 | 200 |
| 10/17/2025 | CAL 21 - UNC 18 | W +7.5 | Under 46.5 | 287 | 120 | 167 |
| 10/04/2025 | UNC 10 - CLEM 38 | L +14.5 | Over 45.5 | 488 | 89 | 399 |
| 09/20/2025 | UCF 34 - UNC 9 | L +7 | Under 49.5 | 219 | 65 | 154 |
| 09/13/2025 | UNC 41 - RICH 6 | W | Over 0 | 199 | 124 | 75 |
| date | score | ats | o/u | Total Net Yards | Net Rushing Yards | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/19/2025 | NCST 31 - MEM 7 | W -5.5 | Under 56.5 | 337 | 116 | 221 |
| 11/29/2025 | NCST 42 - UNC 19 | W -7 | Over 47.5 | 386 | 185 | 201 |
| 11/21/2025 | NCST 21 - FSU 11 | W +6.5 | Under 61.5 | 286 | 134 | 152 |
| 11/15/2025 | MIA 41 - NCST 7 | L +15.5 | Under 54.5 | 581 | 214 | 367 |
| 11/01/2025 | NCST 48 - GT 36 | W +4.5 | Over 58.5 | 583 | 243 | 340 |
| 10/25/2025 | PITT 53 - NCST 34 | L +8.5 | Over 57.5 | 529 | 106 | 423 |
| 10/11/2025 | ND 36 - NCST 7 | L +24 | Under 59.5 | 485 | 143 | 342 |
| 10/04/2025 | NCST 56 - CAMP 10 | W -42.5 | Over 61.5 | 607 | 236 | 371 |
| 09/27/2025 | NCST 21 - VT 23 | L -10.5 | Under 57.5 | 299 | 59 | 240 |
| 09/20/2025 | DUKE 45 - NCST 33 | L +2.5 | Over 56.5 | 418 | 149 | 269 |
Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats
| avg | rank | edge in | rank | avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.25 | 130 | Points Per Game | 52 | 30.17 |
| 24.5 | 68 | Points Allowed Per Game | 104 | 28.83 |
| 4.17 | 73 | 1st Quarter Scoring Per Game | 20 | 8.42 |
| 8.08 | 84 | 1st Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game | 65 | 6.58 |
| 4.58 | 99 | 2nd Quarter Scoring Per Game | 49 | 9.17 |
| 6.67 | 42 | 2nd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game | 78 | 9.33 |
| 4.58 | 72 | 3rd Quarter Scording Per Game | 47 | 6.33 |
| 4.08 | 27 | 3rd Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game | 70 | 6.92 |
| 5.42 | 76 | 4th Quarter Scoring Per Game | 63 | 6.25 |
| 5.08 | 29 | 4th Quarter Scoring Allowed Per Game | 46 | 6 |
| 77.1 | 77 | Red Zone Efficiency | 8 | 92.7 |
| 289.17 | 130 | Total Yards Per Game | 61 | 396.83 |
| 9.77 | 124 | Total Yards Per Play | 71 | 12.3 |
| 3.65 | 92 | Rushing Yards Per Play | 44 | 4.55 |
| 29.58 | 61 | Passing Attempts Per Game | 39 | 32.25 |
| 9.72 | 132 | Passing Yards Per Completion | 83 | 11.18 |
| 1.08 | 29 | Passing Tds Per Game | 13 | 2 |
| 18.92 | 52 | Completions Per Game | 23 | 22.17 |
| 63.9 | 46 | Completion % | 18 | 68.7 |
| 124.87 | 104 | Qb Rating | 36 | 148.56 |
| 1.83 | 25 | Defense Sacks Per Game | 27 | 1.75 |
| 0.5 | 17 | Defense Interceptions Per Game | 9 | 0.83 |
| 0.75 | 6 | Opponent Fumbles Lost Per Game | 16 | 0.25 |
| 6.58 | 70 | Penalties Per Game | 54 | 5.5 |
| 62.58 | 145 | Penalty Yards Per Game | 112 | 53.58 |
| 15 | 13 | Takeaway / Giveaway Differential | 11 | 13 |
| 2.45 | 79 | Yards Per Punt Return | 117 | 1.13 |
| 17.48 | 122 | Yards Per Kickoff Return | 112 | 18.25 |
Odds Analysis
Team Rankings
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Injuries
| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Cox (TE) | Ques Nov. 29 | Undisclosed - 07 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Benjamin Hall (RB) | Prob Sat | Undisclosed - 01 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Connor Cox (TE) | Ques Oct 4 | Undisclosed - 03 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Chris Culliver (WR) | Ques Oct. 18 | Undisclosed - 03 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Shamar Easter (TE) | Ques Oct 31 | Undisclosed - 03 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Caleb Hood (RB) | Ques Oct 4 | Undisclosed - 03 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Deems May (TE) | Out indefinitely | Undisclosed - 03 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Gio Lopez (QB) | Ques Oct. 18 | Lower Body - 21 / 09 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Gio Lopez (QB) | Prob Sat | Back - 02 / 09 / 25 | - | - | Details |
| player (position) | status | ats*current | o/u* | notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Hoffmann (WR) | Ques Sat | Undisclosed - 27 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Charlie Birtwistle (K) | Out indefinitely | Undisclosed - 20 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Isiah Jones (RB) | Out indefinitely | Undisclosed - 13 / 11 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Hollywood Smothers (RB) | Ques Sat | Undisclosed - 30 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Justin Joly (TE) | Out Sat | Leg - 27 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Terrell Anderson (WR) | Ques Oct. 25 | Undisclosed - 11 / 10 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Jerel Bolder (WR) | Out indefinitely | Undisclosed - 20 / 09 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Cole Wilson (LB) | Out indefinitely | Undisclosed - 20 / 09 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Wesley Grimes (WR) | Ques Sept. 27 | Undisclosed - 19 / 09 / 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | Details |
| Jonathan Paylor (WR) | Out indefinitely | Undisclosed - 06 / 09 / 25 | - | - | Details |
North Carolina Vs NC State Betting Trends
Tar Heels are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 conference games.
Under is 4-0 in Tar Heels last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Tar Heels last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Tar Heels are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games in November.
Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Wolfpack are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 5-1 in Wolfpack last 6 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Line Up - Last Game
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