2025 French Open Women’s Final: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff Tennis Odds, Prediction
Aryna Sabalenka is a -210 favourite to win on the tennis odds and Coco Gauff is a +175 underdog.
Sabalenka vs. Gauff French Open Odds
We are guaranteed a first-time French Open champion on the women’s side. No. 1 seed Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus has two Australian Open titles and one U.S. Open crown under her belt (those two events are played on hard courts), but this is her first final in Paris.
Sabalenka, 27, has lost just one set so far, and that was in her semifinal match against four-time French Open champion Iga Swiatek, winning by scores of 7-6 (1), 4-6, 6-0. That third-set dominance was stunning as Swiatek had 12 unforced errors and Sabalenka none.
That snapped Swiatek’s 26-match French Open winning streak and prevented her from becoming the first woman to win four consecutive championships at the clay-court Slam for the first time since pros were admitted in 1968. Sabalenka’s victory was her WTA Tour-leading 40th main-draw win of the season, and she has won her last five Grand Slam semifinal matches.
She is the first woman to reach the singles final in three consecutive Grand Slam events (2024 U.S. Open, 2025 Australian Open and French Open) since Serena Williams (Australian Open, French Open and Wimbledon in 2016).
The second-seeded Coco Gauff, an American, has one Grand Slam title in her career, the 2023 U.S. Open. It’s the second time she has reached the French final, losing 6-1, 6-3 in 2022 to Swiatek. The 21-year-old Gauff advanced this time with a dominant 6-1, 6-2 semifinal win over 361st-ranked French wild-card entry Lois Boisson – who obviously had the crowd behind her in a big way. Boisson had upset world No. 3 Jessica Pegula and No. 6 Mirra Andreeva in the previous rounds.
Gauff broke serve six times in 1 hour and 9 minutes and made only 15 unforced errors compared to Boisson’s 33. Gauff seemed to have much more stamina as she won 34 of 51 points that lasted five strokes or more. Gauff also has dropped just one set so far.
Saturday marks only the second No. 1 vs. No. 2 women’s final at the French Open in the past 30 years and the first at any Grand Slam since No. 2 Caroline Wozniacki defeated No. 1 Simona Halep at the 2018 Australian Open.
Sabalenka and Gauff have split 10 all-time meetings as professionals. They met on clay in the final of the Madrid Open in early May, and Sabalenka won 6-3, 7-6 (3). Since the Madrid Open’s inception in 2009, Gauff is the youngest player to reach the finals at WTA 1000 Madrid, WTA 1000 Rome and Roland Garros (all on clay) in a single calendar year.
The two haven’t met in the French Open but have split two Grand Slam matchups: Sabalenka won in straight sets in the semifinals of the 2024 Australian Open, and Gauff won in three sets in the 2023 U.S. Open final. A Gauff victory Saturday would make her the youngest American to win the Roland Garros singles title since Serena Williams in 2002. We think Gauff gets a set but Sabalenka prevails.
