2025 IIHF Men’s World Championship Quarterfinal Odds, Prediction: Canada vs. Denmark

Canada’s 5-3 win over the the tournament’s other co-host, Sweden, on Tuesday secured top spot in Group A and locked in a matchup against Denmark, who secured their berth in the quarterfinals with a tight 2-1 shootout win against Germany.

Canada is listed as a -3.5 puckline favourite on the World Championship odds, while Denmark is +875 on the moneyline. The total is set at 6.0 goals.

2025 IIHF World Championship Betting Odds

The Canadian men’s national team holds an 8-1-1 all-time record against Denmark, outscoring the Danes 84-13 in the process. Denmark beat Canada 3-2 at the 2022 tournament.

Overall, Canada leads all nations in both World Championship gold medals (28) and total medals (53) in tournament history. Denmark has never finished better than eighth, which they did in 2010 and 2016, but they have managed to stick in the top division every year since 2003.

The IIHF World Championship futures board currently has Canada listed as +100 favourites to win the tournament, ahead of Sweden at +375. Denmark is +15,000 to win the tournament, ahead of only Austria at +20,000.

If you’re banking on a Canadian shutout victory on Thursday (or a Danish shutout win), you can get it at +230 in the tournament specials. I personally like Canada to get on the board early and score over 1.5 goals in the first period (+105).

Team Canada

With how stacked this Canadian lineup is, it’s no surprise to see the team score the second-most goals in the preliminary round (34) and post the second-best power play percentage (30.4 per cent). It all starts with Nathan MacKinnon, who is second in tournament points (13) and tied for first in tournament goals (seven). Canada has done a nice job of spreading the wealth, with six players scoring three or more goals. The team also boasts the best defence in the tournament with only seven goals allowed and they’ve killed off 19 of 20 penalties.

Team Denmark

Denmark has held their own offensively in this tournament, finishing the preliminary round with the seventh-most goals (25). A lot of that success comes down to their tournament-best power play, which is clicking at a 34.8 per cent rate. That power play has only grown more dangerous with the addition of Winnipeg Jets sniper Nikolaj Ehlers, who joined the team for the final prelim game. Ehlers scored Denmark’s only regulation goal. Before Ehlers joined Denmark, the bulk of the offence was carried by Nick Olesen, who leads the team with nine points, and Mikkel Aagaard, who leads the team with five goals.