2025 Charles Schwab Challenge Odds: Scottie Scheffler favoured to win for a second straight week
This week’s Charles Schwab Challenge stop on the PGA Tour from historic Colonial in Fort Worth, Texas, is in a really tough spot on the season schedule, so it’s not one of the better fields of the year. But world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is playing and the clear favourite to win on the golf odds.
Nearly every top player in the world played two weeks ago at the Truist Championship in Philadelphia because that was a Signature Event, and then the PGA Championship from Charlotte concluded on Sunday with Scheffler winning the second major of the season. Next week is another Signature Event, the Memorial, so it makes sense a lot of guys are taking this week off. The likely only reason Scheffler is playing is that he lives in the Dallas-Fort Worth area.
This event has been around since 1946 – had Colonial in its title through 2015 — and it is considered an “invitational” by the PGA Tour, so it has a slightly reduced field but there’s still a cut. Colonial Country Club, renovated ahead of last year’s event, is the longest-running host venue among non-majors on the Tour schedule and opened in 1936. It’s a par 70 at 7,289 yards.
Americans have won here the vast majority of time, and Davis Riley is the defending champion as he shot 14-under 266 last year to beat out much more accomplished players in Scheffler and Keegan Bradley in second by five shots. Riley and Scheffler were in the final group on Sunday and Riley was able to play fairly conservative with a nice lead and shot an even-par 70. Scheffler shot 71 on a day when he hit only seven of 14 fairways and didn’t have a birdie until the 13th hole.
That was Riley’s first individual Tour win as his other came with Nick Hardy at the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans, a two-mean team event. Riley +4500 this week. No player has repeated at the event since the legendary Ben Hogan in 1953. The area native won here a record five times, while no one else has more than twice.
The winner nowadays gets a plaid jacket and a fully restored classic car – it was a modernized 1975 Stingray last year. While there wasn’t a playoff in 2024, there were in three of the previous five years.
Charles Schwab Challenge Golf Odds
American Scottie Scheffler dominated at the PGA Championship over the weekend (despite playing with his backup driver) to finish at 11-under 273 at Quail Hollow and win the year’s second major by five shots on Sunday. It was the world No. 1’s third career major win but first outside of the Masters. It was also his second win in a row overall after tying a Tour record with a total of 253 in winning the CJ Cup Byron Nelson in Dallas on May 1. No wonder he’s the +225 favourite this week, which is such an absurdly low price. Scheffler has been second-third-second here the past three years.
We have a huge drop-off to the second-favourite Daniel Berger at +2000, followed by Hideki Matsuyama at +2200, Tommy Fleetwood at +2200 and another Dallas-area native in Jordan Spieth at +2500. Matsuyama had made a PGA Tour-high 19 straight cuts at major championships before missing last
Friday at the PGA. He hasn’t played at Colonial since 2015, when he finished T10. At No. 7, Matsuyama is the only other world Top 10 player in this field.
Berger won here in 2020 in a playoff over Collin Morikawa but hasn’t contended at the event since and comes off a T33 at the PGA. The Englishman Fleetwood was T41 at the PGA and hasn’t contended in two previous trip to Colonial. Spieth also missed the cut at the PGA but usually plays well in his native Texas. He won here in 2016 and has three runners-up.
No Canadian player has won this tournament. George Knudson was second to Bruce Crampton in 1965. Adam Svensson was the top finisher last year at T24, while Ben Silverman was T32. Mackenzie Hughes is +6600 this week with Svensson +20000 and Silverman +20000.
Charles Schwab Challenge Golf Predictions
We can’t recommend Scottie Scheffler at a price of +225 to win so will take Lucas Glover at +8000. His round average score here of 69.06 since 2019 is fourth-best among players in the field. Glover was 12th last year. The best bet, like at the PGA Championship, is simply an American winner this week.