Stars vs. Oilers Game 4 Prediction: Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 28, 2024

NHL: Stanley Cup Playoffs-Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers

After taking a 2-1 series lead in the Western Conference Final, the Dallas Stars now sit as +160 favourites to win the Stanley Cup, while the Edmonton Oilers have dropped to +450.

May 29, 2024, 8:30 PM ET
Rogers Place
Puckline +1.5 -225
Moneyline +115
Over / Under o +6


Betting Action


Puckline -1.5 +185
Moneyline -135
Over / Under u +6


Betting Action


One period made all the difference in Game 3 in Edmonton on Monday night. The Stars were thoroughly outplayed in the first frame before scoring three times in the second. Dallas ended up outscoring the Oilers 5-1 over the final two periods to take 5-3 win and a 2-1 series lead.

Heading into Game 4 on Wednesday, the Stars are two wins away from reaching the Stanley Cup Final, while Edmonton is desperate to tie the series at home.

The Oilers opened as -135 favourites to win on the NHL odds, with the total set at 6.0.

Stars vs. Oilers NHL Betting Odds

Dallas has now won back-to-back games Edmonton for the first time in six combined regular season and playoff matchups this year. One trend that was snapped in Game 3 was the Over hitting for the first time in the last four games. Overall on the year, the Over/Under has split evenly between the teams.

The Stars enter Game 4 as sizeable -300 favourites on the series line, while the Oilers sit at +240. That’s the biggest gap this series as Dallas began as a slim favourite, Edmonton was favoured ahead of Game 2 and the line was close to a pick’em before Game 3. The current favoured exact series result is a Stars win in six games at +240, while the biggest long shot is Oilers in six at +600.

Dallas now sits as +160 favourites to win the Stanley Cup on the NHL futures board, while Edmonton has the longest odds at +450. Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger remains a +340 favourite to win the Conn Smythe Trophy as playoff MVP and Edmonton captain Connor McDavid is +800.

Dallas Stars

All you need to do to see the value of Roope Hintz is look at Game 3. Hintz, who missed the previous four games with an upper-body injury, assisted on two of Jason Robertson‘s three goals, helping Robertson snap a 10-game goalless drought. Wyatt Johnston and Miro Heiskanen also scored in the win and Oettinger made 27 saves in net. Robertson (6G, 10A), Heiskanen (6G, 9A) and Johnston (8G, 6A) are Dallas’ top three scorers in the postseason.

One concern for the Stars is how dominated they have been for long stretches of time through the first three games of this series. Dallas was outshot 10-3 in the first period and 13-3 in the third on Monday and they were outhit 42-19 over the whole game. Oettinger has been excellent in keeping the Stars in games, posting a 2.09 goals-against average and .923 save percentage in the playoffs, but Dallas could be playing with fire if they don’t force more offensive zone time.

Edmonton Oilers

The Oilers have to feel frustrated after letting Game 3 slip away. McDavid and Zach Hyman gave Edmonton a 2-0 lead after the first period, but the team seemed to crumble after giving up three goals in a span of 3:33 during the second period. Adam Henrique, who returned to the lineup after suffering an ankle injury, also scored in the loss. The Oilers power play, which went 0-for-2 in Game 3, has now scored just once in their last 15 opportunities on the man advantage. That’s a little surprising considering McDavid (4G, 21A) and Draisaitl (9G, 16A) lead the playoffs with 25 points each and Hyman has an NHL-high 13 goals.

Old issues are also creeping up for Edmonton. Stuart Skinner gave up four goals on just 21 shots in Game 3, including a very weak goal along the side of the net that proved to be the game-winner. Skinner, who has a 2.76 GAA and .885 SV in the playoffs, also struggled in the second round against Vancouver and ended up not playing in Games 4 and 5 of that series before returning to win Games 6 and 7. While the Oilers have already announced Skinner will start Game 4, you have to imagine he could be one more bad performance away from again being replaced by Calvin Pickard.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Stars vs. Oilers Game 4?

NHL Predictions