Stars vs. Avalanche Game 4 Prediction, Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Liam Gilks | Updated May 13, 2024

After shutting down the Avalanche offence in Game 3, the Dallas Stars have a chance to take a commanding 3-1 series lead on Monday Night. 

Dallas
52-21-7-2
AT
May 13, 2024, 9:30 PM ET
Pepsi Center
Colorado
50-25-5-2
Puckline +1.5 -250
Moneyline -105
Over / Under o +6

68%

Betting Action

32%

Puckline -1.5 +200
Moneyline -115
Over / Under u +6

68%

Betting Action

32%

Colorado’s offence led the league in the regular season and kept rolling through the playoffs until Saturday night when the Stars shut them down and allowed just one goal against them. 

They are down in the series, but the Avalanche are the -135 favourites on home ice on the NHL odds, with the total set at 6.5. Game 4 of the Central Division Final is set for 9:30 PM ET. Monday. 

Stars vs. Avalanche NHL Playoff Betting Odds

This series opened up with back-to-back games of run and gun offence, but the defensive side of the sport came out as the series shifted to Colorado for Game 3. The 4-1 win for Dallas was the first game to play the UNDER in the Central Division Final and just the second time in their seven meetings this season. 

With the series lead the Stars are now the -250 favourites to take the series after being a slight underdog (-105) before the game. The Avalanche have moved from the -114 favourite to a +200 underdog heading into Game 4. The NHL Futures board also features early Conn Smythe favourites with Rangers goalie Igor Shesterkin leading the way at +600. The favourites playing in this series are Stars goaltender Jake Oettinger (+1100) and defenceman Miro Heiskanen (+1500), and Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon +1700. 

Some interesting props for Monday’s game are Tyler Seguin‘s OVER/UNDER 2.5 shots, he is averaging 3.3 per game this postseason and has been hot over the past two games. On the Avs side, Mikko Rantanen who has a a point in each game so far pays out +120 to notch over 1.5 points. 

Dallas Stars

The Stars know exactly how to win on the road and proved it again in Colorado on Saturday night. They posted the best road record in the league during the regular season (26-10-5) and after Saturday’s win have improved to 3-1 this postseason. 

Dallas opened the scoring in Game 3, the same way they did in games 1 and 2, on Logan Stankoven’s first of the playoffs with just over a minute left in the first. The Avalanche would tie it in the second, but Tyler Seguin would score, for goals in back-to-back games, putting Dallas back in front. 

Jake Oettinger had his best postseason game, turning away 28 of 29 shots for a .966 save percentage and stealing the game for his squad. Stankoven and Seguin would each score their second of the night into the empty net to seal the victory. 

Taking out the past two Stanley Cup Champs through the first two rounds of the playoffs is a wild route for the Stars, proving how crazy the Western Conference can be. Even more impressive for Dallas is that they have not trailed at any point in this series, because their only loss came in overtime. 

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado’s head coach Jared Bednar figures his team deserved a better fate in Game 3 after outshooting and out-chancing the Stars, especially through the first two periods. Mikko Rantanen’s third of the playoffs and first of the series was the lone goal for Colorado in Game 3 as he tied the game midway through the second. 

The Avs’ powerplay has been deadly this postseason, clicking at 33.3%, but was shut down on all three opportunities in Game 3. They are now 0-6 over the past two games and will need to get back in the groove to win this series. 

Goaltender Alexandar Georgiev came into Game 3 with a .941 save percentage at home this postseason with a 2-0 record. He still had a decent game on Saturday, stopping 19 of 21 for a .904 save percentage in the loss. He will be looking to bounce back on Monday before the series shifts back to Texas, where he has had his struggles. 

After posting the best home record in the league this season (31-9-1) fans will expect Colorado to bounce back and bring the series back to even before it shifts back to Dallas. 

Game 4 Prediction: Who Will Win Stars vs. Avalanche?

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