Oilers vs. Stars Game 1 Prediction, Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated May 22, 2024

NHL: Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars

After knocking off the last two Stanley Cup champions, the Dallas Stars enter the Western Conference Final as slim -125 favourites over the Edmonton Oilers.

Edmonton
49-27-5-1
AT
May 23, 2024, 8:30 PM ET
American Airlines Center
Dallas
52-21-7-2
Puckline +1.5 -225
Moneyline +110
Over / Under o +6

0%

Betting Action

46%

Puckline -1.5 +185
Moneyline -130
Over / Under u +6

0%

Betting Action

46%

It’s the Stars and Oilers in the Western Conference Final, with Game 1 set for Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET in Dallas. The Stars didn’t have an easy path to the third round as they had to knock off the last two Stanley Cup champions in Vegas and Colorado. Edmonton made short work of L.A. in the first round before a tough seven-game series against Vancouver.

Dallas is a -130 favourite to win Game 1 on the NHL odds, with the total set at 6.5.

Oilers vs. Stars NHL Betting Odds

The Stars took two of three regular season meetings between the teams. They split a pair of 4-3 decisions before Dallas’ 5-0 victory on April 3. This is the first postseason meeting between the teams since the opening round of the 2003 playoffs, when the Stars dispatched the Oilers in six games.

This is a pretty tight series line, with Dallas listed as a -125 favourite while Edmonton is +105. The favoured exact series result is Stars in seven games at +425. The biggest long shot is an Oilers sweep at +1300, followed by a Dallas sweep at +1200. Essentially, oddsmakers are banking on this being a long series.

Connor McDavid (+120) and Leon Draisaitl (+325) are the favourites to lead the series in points and they currently sit No. 1 and 2 in playoff points. Draisaitl leads the way with 24 points (8G, 16A), including a point in every game, and McDavid is second with 21 points (2G, 19A) in 12 games.

Edmonton Oilers

In addition to the superstar duo of McDavid and Draisaitl, the Oilers are also receiving depth contributions, with players like Zach Hyman, Evan Bouchard, Dylan Holloway and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins all stepping up in key moments. Hyman leads the playoffs with 11 goals, including two game-winners, and Bouchard has also contributed two game-winning goals while sitting third on the team with 20 points (5G, 15A).

Evander Kane could be an X-factor in this series like he was in Edmonton’s run to the Western Conference Final in 2022 when he had 17 points and 13 goals in 15 games. Along with scoring, Kane provides a gritty style of play that wears opponents down as a series goes on. He has seven points (4G, 3A) in 12 games this postseason and he had a goal and an assist with 10 shots in three games against Dallas in the regular season.

Goaltending continues to be a question mark for the Oilers. Stuart Skinner has received the majority of starts, going 7-3 with a 2.87 goals-against average and .881 save percentage. Calvin Pickard started Games 5 and 6 against Vancouver, going 1-1 with a 2.21 GAA and .915 SV. Edmonton turned back to Skinner for Game 7 against the Canucks. He made 15 saves in a 3-2 win, but there’s still concerns about his ability to keep the team in the series.

Dallas Stars

Dallas is easily the deepest team in the NHL. The Stars had eight 20-plus goal scorers during the regular season and nine players finished with over 50 points. Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson and Wyatt Johnston have led the offence in the playoffs. Heiskanen leads the team with 13 points (5G, 8A), Robertson is second with 12 (3G, 9A) and Johnston is third with 11, including a team-high seven goals.

The availability of Roope Hintz is crucial for Dallas in this series. Hintz missed Games 5 and 6 against Colorado because of an upper-body injury and he remains listed as day-to-day and questionable for Game 1 against Edmonton. The 27-year-old had 24 points in 19 games to lead the Stars last postseason and he’s a tougher player who can match up well against Kane.

Dallas has the clear edge in goaltending with Jake Oettinger between the pipes. Oettinger, who is a +450 favourite to win the Conn Smythe Trophy, is 8-5 with a 2.09 GAA and .918 SV. He has seemingly been better as the playoffs have gone on and he’s coming off one of his best games of the postseason, making 29 saves in a 2-1 double-overtime win to eliminate the Avalanche in six games.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Oilers vs. Stars Game 1?

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