Oilers vs. Panthers Game 5 Prediction: Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 18, 2024

NHL: Stanley Cup Final-Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

Despite a blowout loss in Game 4, the Florida Panthers still hold a 3-1 chokehold over the Edmonton Oilers in the Stanley Cup Final as the series shifts back to Sunrise for Game 5 on Tuesday.

Edmonton
49-27-5-1
AT
June 18, 2024, 8:00 PM ET
BB&T Center
Florida
52-24-4-2
Puckline +1.5 -190
Moneyline +140
Over / Under o +5.5

59%

Betting Action

41%

Puckline -1.5 +155
Moneyline -165
Over / Under u +5.5

59%

Betting Action

41%

The Oilers finally struck back on Saturday, overwhelming the Panthers in an 8-1 victory to send the Stanley Cup Final back to Florida for Game 5 on Tuesday night. Is Edmonton back in the series, or will the Panthers lift the Cup on home ice?

Florida is a -135 favourite to win on the NHL odds, with the total set at 5.5.

Oilers vs. Panthers NHL Betting Odds

Not only was Game 4 the first win for the Oilers in this series, it was their first win against the Panthers all season. Prior to Saturdays contest, Florida had outscored Edmonton a combined 21-8 over five straight wins. In six total meetings between the teams this season, the Over has hit three times, the Under has played twice and there has been one push.

One bad game hasn’t hurt the Panthers on the NHL futures board, where they remain -1200 favourites to win the Stanley Cup. If you believe the Oilers can become only the second team ever (and first since 1942) to win the Stanley Cup after trailing 3-0 in the series, you can get them at +725.

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The biggest line movement after Game 4 is Florida goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky going from -500 to -125 to win the Conn Smythe Trophy. Teammate Aleksander Barkov is Bobrovsky’s closest Conny Smythe competition at +135, but there’s been some talk of Oilers captain Connor McDavid (+600) to win playoff MVP even if Edmonton loses the Stanley Cup.

Edmonton Oilers

Edmonton overwhelmed Florida from the opening puck drop on Saturday, leading 2-0 less than eight minutes into the game. They peppered both Panthers goalies with shots, scoring five times on Bobrovsky and three times on backup Anthony Stolarz. McDavid led the way with a goal and three assists, while Dylan Holloway had two goals and an assist and Leon Draisaitl recorded his first two points of the series with a pair of helpers. Mattias Janmark, Adam Henrique, Darnell Nurse, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Ryan McLeod also scored in the win.

Because of Edmonton’s offensive performance, one player overshadowed in Saturday’s win was goaltender Stuart Skinner, who had a great game while stopping 32 of 33 shots faced. Skinner playing well is crucial for the Oilers if they have a shot of climbing back in this series. The 25-year-old allowed nine goals over the first three games of the series, but he was rock solid in Game 4. Skinner doesn’t have to pitch a shutout every game, he just needs to keep Edmonton in the game and that’s certainly what he did on Saturday.

Florida Panthers

The second period made a world of difference for Florida in Game 4. They were outshot 17-4 in the frame and gave up three goals to trail 6-1 heading into the third period, with the game essentially over at that point. Vladimir Tarasenko scored the Panthers’ only goal of the game. Bobrovsky was pulled after allowing five goals on 16 shots. Stolarz wasn’t much better, giving up three goals on 19 shots.

The story of the game for Florida heading into Game 5 is Bobrovsky and what happened on Saturday. The Conn Smythe Trophy favourite easily had his worst performance of the playoffs. Before Saturday, Bobrovsky was riding a six-game win streak and had stopped 82 of 86 shots faced in the first three games of the Stanley Cup Final. ‘Bob’ still has a 2.27 goals-against average and .909 save percentage in the playoffs, so I would expect him to be a lot better in Game 5.

NHL Prediction: Who Will Win Oilers vs. Panthers Game 5?

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