Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction, NHL Odds

Daniel Coyle | Updated Mar 30, 2024

The Leafs will be missing some key personnel when they make the short drive down the QEW for a Saturday night date with the Sabres at KeyBank Center. 

March 30, 2024, 7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center
Puckline -1.5 +155
Moneyline -155
Over / Under o +6
Puckline +1.5 -190
Moneyline +130
Over / Under u +6

The Leafs are coming off a dominating 5-1 victory over the Washington Capitals on Thursday that snapped a two-game slide, but remain with injured winger Mitch Marner for at least one more, and rearguards Timothy Liljegren and Joel Edmundson, both of whom are sidelined indefinitely. The Sabres are coming off a 5-2 win over the visiting New Jersey Devils on Saturday night, and are looking for just their second win in nine outings when playing in the back half of games played on consecutive nights.

The injury-hobbled Maple Leafs travel to Buffalo as -155 road favourites on the Saturday NHL odds, while the Sabres trail as +130 underdogs and the total is pegged at 6.5, with -120 odds favouring the UNDER.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres NHL Betting Odds

The Leafs may lead the Sabres by 16 points in the standings, but always have their hands full when facing Buffalo. The Sabres have topped the Buds in six of their past nine meetings, highlighted by a lopsided 9-3 victory when these teams last met in the Queen City, and have limited the Leafs to just three goals per game while winning two of three clashes so far this season. 

Overall, the Sabres have been steady performers in recent dates on home ice, winning six of eight including each of their past three while sporting positive odds. Faced with a hectic schedule that saw them play six of eight on the road prior to this week, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-5-1 over their past 12 games, a run that has threatened their hold on third place in the Atlantic Division standings and dumped them to a lengthy +1500 bet on the Stanley Cup odd. 

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Leafs’ injury woes don’t end with the absence of Marner, Liljegren, and Edmundson. Morgan Rielly is also expected to miss another game as he recovers from an upper body injury. With a depleted blue line in front of him, goaltender Ilya Samsonov could be in for a busy night. Samsonov backstopped the club to a 6-3 win over Edmonton in his most recent start last weekend, but has surrendered 11 total goals while compiling a .894 save percentage during his current 1-1-1 run. Auston Matthews remains just one marker shy of scoring 60 goals for the second time in his career, but has buried the biscuit in just two of his past seven road appearances. However, Tyler Bertuzzi has picked up the slack with three goals in his past two games and six goals and eight points over his past seven outings. 

Buffalo Sabres

The Sabres have won two of three to remain within six points of a wild card spot with eight games remaining. However, the club has lacked scoring punch when playing their second game in two nights, scoring just 2.00 goals per game while losing their past three and just 1.75 goals per game while losing seven of eight. However, Tage Thompson could be poised to change all that after scoring four times in Friday’s 5-2 win over the Devils. That outburst comes after the towering 26-year-old mustered just three total goals over his previous 16 home appearances. Thompson also enjoyed a three-point night in the Sabres’ rout of the Leafs in December and offers value as a +190 bet on the NHL player props to score on Saturday.4

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