Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Game 4 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 18, 2021

Scoring first is obviously huge in the playoffs. Tampa is 10-1 when scoring first this postseason and 0-3 when giving up the first goal.

Tampa Bay
36-17-1-2
AT
June 19, 2021, 8:00 PM ET
Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum
NY Islanders
32-17-4-3
Puckline -1.5 +200
Moneyline -130
Over / Under o +5

38%

Betting Action

62%

Puckline +1.5 -241
Moneyline +108
Over / Under u +5

38%

Betting Action

62%

Brayden Point‘s sixth straight game with a goal led the Tampa Bay Lightning to a 2-1 win on Long Island on Thursday.  The Bolts now lead their Stanley Cup semifinal series 2-1 over the New York Islanders as they go for the road sweep on Saturday.

Tampa is a -130 favourite to win on the NHL odds, with a total of 5.0.

Lightning vs. Islanders Stanley Cup Odds

Early Sports Interaction bettors are split straight down the middle on which team to take and the Over/Under.  It’s worth noting, however, the total has gone Under in four of the last five games between these teams.  The Lightning are heavy -535 favourites to win the series.  At +119, Tampa slightly edges out the Vegas Golden Knights as the Stanley Cup favourite.

It says a lot about this Lightning defence that as offensively talented as the roster is, six straight road games and eight of Tampa’s last 10 games overall have gone Under.  They’re 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games against the Islanders and 9-3 SU in their last 12 games on Long Island.

New York has dropped to 8-4 SU in their last 12 games, but the bigger concern is their play at home.  The Islanders picked up 25 of their 41 regular season wins at Nassau Coliseum, but they’ve only won four of seven home games in the playoffs, a number that needs to improve if they’re going to have a shot in the series.

Teams that take a 2-1 series lead are 89-25 (.781) winning an NHL best-of-7 semifinal series.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Point is proving to be an elite playoff player for the second straight postseason.  He leads the playoffs with 11 goals and his marker in Game 3 was his third game-winning goal of the postseason.  Point’s six-game goal streak is the longest in the Stanley Cup playoffs since Martin Havlat did it for Ottawa in 2006.  If he can score again in Game 4, it will tie him with Claude Lemieux (1997), Joe Sakic (1996), Mario Lemieux (1996), Pat LaFontaine (1992) and Mario Lemieux again (1991) for the longest streak in the last 30 years.  Sakic’s streak in 1996 and Lemieux’s streak in 1991 led to Stanley Cup championships.

The other goalscorer for Tampa in Game 3 was Yanni Gourde, who had the opening goal.  With the win, the Lighting improved to 10-1 in the postseason when scoring first.  They’re 0-3 when allowing the first goal.  Andrei Vasilevskiy made 27 saves.  The road has been good for Tampa in the playoffs, as they’ve gone 6-1 outside of Amalie Arena.  Vasilevskiy has posted a 1.58 goals-against average and .953 save percentage in the Bolts’ seven postseason road games.

New York Islanders

Despite outshooting the Lightning 28-25 in Game 3, including 8-5 in the third period, New York just couldn’t find a way to win.  Cal Clutterbuck‘s fourth goal of the playoffs was the only Islanders shot to find the back of the net.  Semyon Varlamov made 23 saves.  The loss was actually par for the course for the Isles this postseason.  New York has now lost Game 3 at home and trailed 2-1 in all three rounds this year.  They’ve always answered the bell though, coming back to win three straight games against Pittsburgh in the first round and three straight against Boston in the second round.

NHL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Lightning vs. Islanders?

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