New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Game 2 Prediction, Playoff Odds

Jordan Ramsay | Updated Jun 14, 2021

Islanders goalie Semyon Varlamov shut the door on Tampa's offensive stars in Game 1.

NY Islanders
32-17-4-3
AT
June 15, 2021, 8:00 PM ET
Amalie Arena
Tampa Bay
36-17-1-2
Puckline +1.5 -162
Moneyline +167
Over / Under o +5

30%

Betting Action

70%

Puckline -1.5 +141
Moneyline -204
Over / Under u +5

30%

Betting Action

70%

It was the New York Islanders that struck first, with a 2-1 win in Game 1 of their semifinal series against the defending Stanley Cup champion Tampa Bay Lightning.  In what’s become a staple for the Islanders, they shut down Tampa’s high-flying offence and trusted Semyon Varlamov to turn away enough shots to get the win.

Game 2 is set to go from Tampa, Florida on Tuesday night at 8 p.m. ET.

The Lightning are -200 favourites to win on the NHL odds, with a low total of 5.0.

Islanders vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Odds

Tampa’s Game 1 loss didn’t do too much to deter bettors, as 71 per cent of the action is riding with the Bolts in Game 2.  With such a low total it’s not surprising to see the Over favoured at 57 per cent.  It’s worth noting, however, that these teams only hit the Over once in the six games of their semifinal series last season.

The Islanders improved to 5-1 straight up in their last six games overall and 4-1 SU in their last five road games.  They’re now very slim -106 underdogs to win the series.  New York is +325 to win the Stanley Cup, trailing the odds for both Vegas (+115) and Tampa Bay (+213).

With such a high scoring offence, it’s a little surprising to see the total go Under in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games.  They’re now 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against New York.  The Bolts are also 5-2 SU in their last seven games overall.  Tampa is a -132 favourite to win the series.  The favoured exact series score is a Lightning win in seven games.

Teams that take a 1-0 lead in a conference final/semifinal have an all-time series record of 127-55 in NHL history.

New York Islanders

After running a two-goalie system most of the year and into the playoffs, Varlamov’s 30-save effort in Game 1 likely cemented him as the starter over Ilya Sorokin for the rest of the playoffs.  It was Varlamov’s fourth straight start and win.  The goaltending situation is an interesting dynamic though, as Sorokin has also played his fair share of playoff games this year and played well.  It’s only the third time in NHL history that a playoff team has had two goalies win at least four straight starts in a single postseason.

It was Mathew Barzal who got the scoring started on Sunday.  Barzal seems to be much more comfortable now than at the start of the playoffs.  After not finding the back of the net in the first eight playoff games this year, Barzal has four goals in his last five games.  Ryan Pulock had the game-winning goal.  Pulock only had two goals in the regular season, but now has four goals in the playoffs, three of which are game-winners.

Tampa Bay Lightning

It likely wasn’t the start to the series the Lightning or anyone thought would happen.  It’s the first series opener Tampa has lost in this year’s playoffs and the first time they’ve trailed in a series since dropping the first game of last year’s Stanley Cup Final.  Brayden Point was the only player who could find the back of the net for the Bolts in Game 1.  Point has nine goals and 13 points in 12 playoff games this year.  He’s second in points on the Lightning to Nikita Kucherov, who leads all playoff scorers with 19 points (5G, 14A).

Vezina-nominee (and former winner) Andrei Vasilevskiy made 29 saves in the loss.  Tampa’s top line of Point, Kucherov and Ondrej Palat combined for just three shots in Game 1.  The Lightning are now 3-3 at home in the postseason.

NHL Playoff Prediction: Who Will Win Islanders vs. Lightning?

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