Capitals vs. Islanders Game 3 Prediction, Stanley Cup Playoff Odds

Sports Interaction Staff | Updated Aug 19, 2020

braden holtby capitals

The Washington Capitals find themselves in a 0-2 hole as they get set for Sunday's Game 3 against the Islanders.

Washington
41-20-5-3
AT
August 16, 2020, 12:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
NY Islanders
35-23-7-3
Puckline -1.5 +225
Moneyline -114
Over / Under o +5

65%

Betting Action

35%

Puckline +1.5 -272
Moneyline -106
Over / Under u +5

65%

Betting Action

35%

The Capitals are scoring, but not when it matters.  They have opened the scoring in each of the first two games of this series, but have been outscored 5-0 in the third period.

The Capitals decision not to give Barry Trotz a raise after he brought them their first Stanley Cup in franchise history is coming back to bite them.  Not only have the Capitals not won a playoff series since Trotz left in 2018, they have yet to win a game this series.  A 5-2 loss on Friday put the Islanders ahead 2-0 in this first round matchup.

Capitals vs. Islanders Betting Analysis

Statistically speaking, the Capitals are in a tough spot.  In NHL history, 86 per cent of teams that go down 2-0 in a best-of-7 series end up losing it, while only 2.1 per cent of teams that go down 3-0 have ever come back to win the series, making Game 3 essentially do-or-die for the Caps.

The Capitals are listed at -118 on the NHL odds, with the Islanders at -102 and the total is set at an even five, with the over favoured at -141.  The total has gone over in the last five meetings between these teams.

Washington Capitals

It didn’t look all bad for the Capitals in the first period and a half of Game 2.  Ovechkin put the Capitals ahead early when he scored his first goal and point of the NHL restart, just under one minute into the game.  He scored again, to tie the game, in the second period, but that is as far as the Capitals would go.  Brayden Holtby had 27 saves in the losing effort.

The key for the Capitals in Game 3 will be to remain calm.  A loss would put them in a 3-0 hole, which has been nearly impossible to come back from in NHL history.  The veteran core of this team is only two years removed from a Stanley Cup.  Can that experience help the Capitals climb back into the series?

New York Islanders

In Game 2 the Islanders put themselves on the score sheet with a second period Nick Leddy power play goal, breaking the Capitals perfect 14-for-14 penalty kill.  Matt Martin, Brock Nelson, Cal Clutterbuck and Anders Lee also had goals for the Islanders with Semyon Varlamov making 23 saves in the win.

A big key for the Isles in Game 3 will be starting better and not allowing the Capitals to score first.  Even with their dominance in the first two games of the series, the Islanders have allowed the Capitals to score first in each game and been forced to chase them.  If the Islanders want to deflate the Capitals hope, they need to score first and score early in Game 3.

Who Will Win Capitals vs. Islanders?

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