The list of things the Toronto Maple Leafs need to do to get back in their first-round playoff series with Boston is a long one – and it starts with figuring out how to slow down David Pastrnak. The Bruins forward looks to continue his incredible run as Boston visits Air Canada Centre for Game 3 of their Eastern Conference quarterfinal tilt; he has nine points through the first two games, with six of those coming in Saturday’s 7-3 drubbing in Boston.
Bruins vs. Maple Leafs Betting Analysis
Just how dominant have the Bruins been? They’re a virtual deadlock for Game 3 despite playing on the road against a Maple Leafs team that lost just 12 of 41 home games over the course of the regular season. Boston has dropped four consecutive road games heading into Monday’s encounter, and has dropped each of its past four games in Toronto. And the Maple Leafs have won four home games in a row against visiting teams with road records above .500.
The teams went way over in Game 2 and combined for 16 goals in two games at TD Garden – but that hasn’t swayed oddsmakers, who are giving this NHL matchup a 5.5-goal total. Toronto has gone above the total in 19 of its previous 28 games overall and is 12-3-1 O/U in its previous 16 games played on one day of rest. Boston, on the other hand, has converted the under in seven of its last nine road games, and the teams are 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games in Toronto.
A pair of one-sided wins have the Bruins sitting as co-favourites to represent the Eastern Conference; entering Sunday, Boston was even with the Tampa Bay Lightning at +225 to win the conference title. Much of that is due to the incredible output from the line of Pastrnak, Brad Marchand and Patrice Bergeron; the trio has combined for 20 points through two games, a major reason why Boston is now +500 to win the Stanley Cup this June.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Looking for a bright side? There has never been a better time to bet on the Leafs; after falling 2-0 to the Bruins, Toronto is now a +1,000 underdog to win the Eastern Conference crown, and +1,800 to end its 51-year Stanley Cup drought. But to turn the tide, the Maple Leafs will need to be far more disciplined after allowing five power-play goals on 10 opportunities. Those 10 chances are the most Toronto has allowed in a two-game span since the end of December.