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Senators vs. Lightning Prediction, Odds & Stats - October 09, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Oct 9th, 7:00 PM EDT
Ottawa
Senators
Tampa Bay
Lightning
5
4
Ottawa Senators
Tampa Bay Lightning
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Ottawa Senators 23-20-7 1 2 2 +5.5
Tampa Bay Lightning 31-13-2-2 3 0 1 +145

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
01/22/26
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 23-20-7 )
Nashville Predators NAS ( 24-22-4 )
3   -   5
 Atlantic
01/20/26
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 23-20-7 )
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 23-20-6-1 )
4   -   1
 Atlantic
01/20/26
San Jose Sharks SJ ( 25-21-2-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 )
1   -   4
 Pacific
01/18/26
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 23-20-7 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 31-16-3-2 )
3   -   4
 Atlantic
01/18/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 )
Dallas Stars DAL ( 28-14-6-3 )
4   -   1
 Atlantic
01/17/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 28-16-3-4 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 23-20-7 )
6   -   5
 Atlantic
01/16/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 )
St. Louis Blues STL ( 19-23-6-2 )
2   -   2
 Atlantic
01/14/26
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 23-20-7 )
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 21-24-6 )
8   -   4
 Atlantic
01/13/26
Vancouver Canucks VAN ( 17-28-4-1 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 23-20-7 )
1   -   2
 Pacific
01/13/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 25-14-4-7 )
1   -   1
 Atlantic
01/12/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 )
Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 23-17-6-3 )
5   -   1
 Atlantic
01/10/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 31-13-2-2 )
Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 23-17-6-3 )
7   -   2
 Atlantic

Line History

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Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
0 0 3-5-2 1L 0-0 0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
0 0 9-0-0-1 2W 0-0 0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists OTT:Shots OTT:Goals OTT:Assists
10/09/2025 TB 4 - OTT 5 OTT Over 6 25 4 8 34 5 9
04/03/2025 OTT 2 - TB 1 OTT Under 6 32 1 2 19 2 3
02/06/2025 TB 5 - OTT 1 TB Over 5.5 28 1 2 31 5 8
02/04/2025 TB 4 - OTT 3 TB Over 5.5 28 3 6 38 4 5
10/19/2024 OTT 5 - TB 4 OTT Over 6.5 29 4 8 28 5 8
04/11/2024 TB 2 - OTT 2 OTT Under 6.5 27 2 3 26 2 4
02/19/2024 TB 2 - OTT 4 OTT Under 6.5 28 4 7 25 2 1
11/04/2023 OTT 4 - TB 6 TB Over 7 38 6 9 28 4 7
10/15/2023 OTT 5 - TB 2 OTT Under 7 24 2 4 38 5 7
04/08/2023 OTT 7 - TB 4 OTT Over 6.5 24 4 8 40 7 11
03/23/2023 OTT 7 - TB 2 OTT Over 7 29 2 4 35 7 11
11/01/2022 TB 4 - OTT 3 TB Over 6.5 15 3 1 34 4 8
03/01/2022 TB 5 - OTT 2 TB Over 6 27 2 4 22 5 8
12/16/2021 TB 2 - OTT 1 TB Under 6 26 1 0 27 2 4
12/11/2021 OTT 4 - TB 0 OTT Under 6 25 0 0 23 4 6
11/06/2021 OTT 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6 33 5 10 27 3 4
01/04/2020 OTT 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6.5 28 5 6 28 3 5
12/17/2019 TB 4 - OTT 3 TB Over 6.5 28 3 4 40 4 4
10/12/2019 OTT 4 - TB 2 OTT Under 7 21 2 3 34 4 7
04/01/2019 OTT 2 - TB 5 TB Over 6.5 26 5 10 24 2 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
01/22/2026 NAS 5 - OTT 3 L Over 6 26 3 6
01/20/2026 CLB 1 - OTT 4 W Under 6.5 21 4 8
01/18/2026 DET 4 - OTT 3 L Over 6 22 3 6
01/17/2026 OTT 5 - MON 6 (OT) L Over 6 19 6 11
01/14/2026 NYR 4 - OTT 8 W Over 6 30 8 14
01/13/2026 OTT 2 - VAN 1 W Under 6 20 1 1
01/10/2026 OTT 2 - FLA 3 L Under 6 21 3 5
01/08/2026 COL 8 - OTT 2 L Over 7 31 2 3
01/07/2026 UTAH 3 - OTT 1 L Under 6 33 1 2
01/05/2026 OTT 3 - DET 5 L Over 6 21 5 7
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
01/20/2026 TB 4 - SJ 1 W Under 6.5 20 4 8
01/18/2026 DAL 1 - TB 4 W Under 6 20 1 2
01/16/2026 STL 2 - TB 2 L Under 5.5 21 2 3
01/13/2026 PIT 1 - TB 1 L Under 6 27 1 1
01/12/2026 PHI 1 - TB 5 W Under 6 21 1 0
01/10/2026 PHI 2 - TB 7 W Over 6 20 2 3
01/06/2026 TB 4 - COL 2 W Under 6 28 4 8
01/03/2026 SJ 3 - TB 7 W Over 6 22 3 5
01/01/2026 LA 3 - TB 5 W Over 5.5 20 3 5
12/31/2025 ANA 3 - TB 4 (OT) W Over 6 28 3 2

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Ottawa Senators OTT
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 2 3.5
3.4 9 Goals Against Per Game 2 2.5
28.3 14 Shots Per Game 18 27.3
25.2 3 Shots Against Per Game 6 26.1
11.5 6 Shooting % 2 12.8
13.4 20 Opponent Shooting % 2 9.5
3.08 4 Shot Differential Per Game 11 1.25
11.5 6 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 2 12.8
.870 5 Save % 2 .900
.880 2 Opponent Save % 1 .870
10.4 7 Penalty Minutes Per Game 1 13.5
0.78 4 Power Play Goals Per Game 8 0.65
0.86 22 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 6 0.5
23.4 8 Power Play % 13 20.7
71.7 26 Penalty Kill % 3 84.2
1.85 18 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 8 2.05

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Ottawa Senators OTT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.26 11
Shots 28.28 15
Power Play (%) 23 8
Faceoff (%) 55 2
Penalty Mins 519 7
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.5 2
Shots 27.33 20
Power Play (%) 21 12
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 650 2
defence
Ottawa Senators OTT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.26 11
Shots 28.28 15
Power Play (%) 23 8
Faceoff (%) 55 2
Penalty Mins 519 7
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.5 2
Shots 27.33 20
Power Play (%) 21 12
Faceoff (%) 46 31
Penalty Mins 650 2

Injuries

Ottawa Senators OTT
Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Ottawa vs. Tampa Bay Betting News

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Ottawa Vs Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Ottawa Senators OTT

Under is 20-5-1 in Senators last 26 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 6-2-1 in Senators last 9 Thursday games.

Senators are 0-8 in their last 8 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 18-6 in Senators last 24 games as a favorite.

Senators are 11-46 in their last 57 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Under is 4-1 in Lightning last 5 Thursday games.

Lightning are 137-66 in their last 203 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 games as a favorite.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Ottawa Senators
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • OTT
  • TB
NHL Odds