Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 23, 2025

Game Scheduled
Metropolitan
Dec 23rd, 4:00 PM EST
Pittsburgh
Penguins
W L L L L
Toronto
Maple Leafs
L L W L L
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins
Toronto Maple Leafs
52%
48%
Betting Action
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Pittsburgh Penguins 15-11-4-5 Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 (-210) on Sports Interaction Pittsburgh Penguins +110 on Sports Interaction 6 (-118) on Sports Interaction
Toronto Maple Leafs 15-15-4-1 Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+170) on Sports Interaction Toronto Maple Leafs -135 on Sports Interaction 6 (-102) on Sports Interaction

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/21/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 19-12-2-3 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
3   -   3
 Atlantic
12/21/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
Dallas Stars DAL ( 25-7-3-2 )
1   -   5
 Atlantic
12/20/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 19-12-2-3 )
0   -   4
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
Nashville Predators NAS ( 15-16-4 )
3   -   5
 Atlantic
12/18/25
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
Ottawa Senators OTT ( 18-13-4 )
0   -   4
 Metropolitan
12/18/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 19-12-1-4 )
0   -   4
 Atlantic
12/16/25
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 18-13-4-2 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
6   -   4
 Pacific
12/16/25
Chicago Blackhawks CHI ( 13-16-4-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
2   -   3
 Central
12/14/25
Utah Mammoth UTAH ( 18-17-3 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
5   -   4
 Central
12/13/25
Edmonton Oilers EDM ( 18-13-4-2 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
6   -   3
 Pacific
12/13/25
San Jose Sharks SJ ( 17-16-2-1 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 15-11-4-5 )
6   -   5
 Pacific
12/11/25
San Jose Sharks SJ ( 17-16-2-1 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 15-15-4-1 )
3   -   2
 Pacific

Betting Action

Spread Bets • 1.5
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
52%
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
48%
Totals (O/U) • 6
Over 0%
Under 0%
Money Bets •
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
44%
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
56%

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
15 11 2-4-2-2 1W 22-13 760 7-6-3-2 8-5-1-3 17-13-5
Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
15 15 4-4-1-1 3L 12-23 -1616 10-5-4-1 5-10-0 20-12-3

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u TOR:Shots TOR:Goals TOR:Assists PIT:Shots PIT:Goals PIT:Assists
11/29/2025 PIT 2 - TOR 7 TOR Over 6 23 7 12 35 2 3
11/03/2025 TOR 4 - PIT 3 TOR Over 6 20 4 8 37 3 6
03/02/2025 PIT 5 - TOR 6 (OT) TOR Over 6.5 33 6 9 34 5 10
12/07/2024 PIT 5 - TOR 2 PIT Over 6.5 27 2 4 29 5 7
10/12/2024 TOR 4 - PIT 2 TOR Under 6.5 23 2 3 33 4 4
04/08/2024 TOR 3 - PIT 2 TOR Under 6.5 33 2 3 23 3 5
12/16/2023 TOR 7 - PIT 0 TOR Over 0 38 0 0 35 7 13
11/25/2023 PIT 3 - TOR 2 PIT Under 6.5 33 2 3 35 3 4
11/26/2022 PIT 1 - TOR 4 TOR Under 6.5 41 4 7 26 1 2
11/15/2022 PIT 2 - TOR 5 TOR Over 6.5 33 5 10 37 2 2
11/11/2022 TOR 2 - PIT 4 PIT Under 6.5 23 4 5 30 2 4
02/17/2022 TOR 4 - PIT 1 TOR Under 6.5 46 1 1 29 4 5
11/20/2021 TOR 0 - PIT 2 PIT Under 5.5 31 2 4 26 0 0
10/23/2021 PIT 7 - TOR 1 PIT Over 6 29 1 2 33 7 11
02/20/2020 TOR 4 - PIT 0 TOR Under 6.5 24 0 0 30 4 8
02/18/2020 PIT 5 - TOR 2 PIT Over 6.5 36 2 4 24 5 10
11/16/2019 PIT 6 - TOR 1 PIT Over 6.5 33 1 2 38 6 11
02/02/2019 TOR 3 - PIT 2 TOR Under 6.5 30 2 3 33 3 6
11/03/2018 PIT 0 - TOR 5 TOR Under 6.5 33 5 8 31 0 0
10/18/2018 TOR 0 - PIT 3 PIT Under 6.5 38 3 4 38 0 0
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/21/2025 PIT 3 - MON 3 L Under 6 25 3 6
12/20/2025 MON 4 - PIT 0 L Under 6 31 0 0
12/18/2025 OTT 4 - PIT 0 L Under 6 25 0 0
12/16/2025 PIT 4 - EDM 6 L Over 6 23 6 11
12/14/2025 PIT 4 - UTAH 5 (OT) L Over 6 36 5 7
12/13/2025 PIT 5 - SJ 6 (OT) L Over 6 31 6 12
12/11/2025 PIT 2 - MON 4 L Under 6 29 4 6
12/09/2025 PIT 3 - ANA 3 W Under 6 28 3 2
12/07/2025 DAL 2 - PIT 2 W Under 6 29 2 4
12/04/2025 TB 3 - PIT 4 W Over 6 31 4 6
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/21/2025 DAL 5 - TOR 1 L Under 6 22 5 9
12/20/2025 NAS 5 - TOR 3 L Over 6 34 5 7
12/18/2025 WAS 4 - TOR 0 L Under 6 29 4 8
12/16/2025 TOR 3 - CHI 2 W Under 5.5 27 3 5
12/13/2025 TOR 3 - EDM 6 L Over 6 28 3 6
12/11/2025 TOR 2 - SJ 3 (OT) L Under 6 30 2 4
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 W Under 6 25 2 2
12/06/2025 TOR 1 - MON 1 L Under 6 23 1 1
12/04/2025 CAR 1 - TOR 5 W Under 6 33 1 2
12/02/2025 FLA 1 - TOR 4 W Under 6 26 1 1

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.0 7 Goals Per Game 6 3.1
3.1 8 Goals Against Per Game 10 3.3
28.5 11 Shots Per Game 18 26.9
28.3 15 Shots Against Per Game 26 31.1
10.6 12 Shooting % 6 11.6
10.9 15 Opponent Shooting % 14 10.8
0.2 16 Shot Differential Per Game 30 -4.2
10.6 12 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 6 11.6
.890 4 Save % 4 .890
.890 4 Opponent Save % 3 .880
8.0 18 Penalty Minutes Per Game 21 7.7
0.83 4 Power Play Goals Per Game 26 0.34
0.57 10 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 2 0.46
29.6 3 Power Play % 27 13.3
80.8 14 Penalty Kill % 4 83.2
1.85 18 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 8 1.99

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.03 17
Shots 28.49 13
Power Play (%) 30 3
Faceoff (%) 50 15
Penalty Mins 281 26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.11 12
Shots 26.86 22
Power Play (%) 13 32
Faceoff (%) 57 1
Penalty Mins 268 29
defence
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Season stats rank
Goals 3.03 17
Shots 28.49 13
Power Play (%) 30 3
Faceoff (%) 50 15
Penalty Mins 281 26
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR
Season stats rank
Goals 3.11 12
Shots 26.86 22
Power Play (%) 13 32
Faceoff (%) 57 1
Penalty Mins 268 29

Injuries

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Pittsburgh vs. Toronto Betting News

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Pittsburgh Vs Toronto Betting Trends

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT

Over is 3-1-1 in Penguins last 5 Tuesday games.

Over is 5-1-1 in Penguins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over is 2-0-2 in Penguins last 4 games as a favorite.

Penguins are 9-24 in their last 33 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Penguins are 21-7 in their last 28 games as a road favorite of -201 or greater.

Toronto Maple Leafs TOR

Maple Leafs are 0-4 in their last 4 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

Under is 7-2 in Maple Leafs last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 4-0 in Maple Leafs last 4 games as a favorite.

Maple Leafs are 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Over is 7-2 in Maple Leafs last 9 games a home underdog.

Line Up - Last Game

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Toronto Maple Leafs
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • PIT
  • TOR
Odds