Lightning vs. Panthers Prediction, Odds & Stats - December 27, 2025

Game Scheduled
Atlantic
Dec 27th, 7:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay
Lightning
W W L L L
Florida
Panthers
W W W W L
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
Scoreboard Spread Moneyline O/U
Tampa Bay Lightning 20-13-2-1      
Florida Panthers 19-14-1-1      

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/22/25
St. Louis Blues STL ( 14-16-6-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
1   -   4
 Central
12/20/25
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 22-10-1-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
4   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
St. Louis Blues STL ( 14-16-6-2 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 19-14-1-1 )
6   -   2
 Central
12/19/25
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 22-10-1-2 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 19-14-1-1 )
3   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/18/25
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 15-11-4-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
2   -   1
 Pacific
12/17/25
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 15-11-4-5 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 19-14-1-1 )
2   -   3
 Pacific
12/15/25
Florida Panthers FLA ( 19-14-1-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
12/13/25
Florida Panthers FLA ( 19-14-1-1 )
Dallas Stars DAL ( 25-7-3-2 )
4   -   0
 Atlantic
12/13/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
NY Islanders Islanders NYI ( 19-13-0-4 )
2   -   2
 Atlantic
12/11/25
Florida Panthers FLA ( 19-14-1-1 )
Colorado Avalanche COL ( 26-2-3-4 )
2   -   6
 Atlantic
12/11/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 20-13-2-1 )
New Jersey Devils NJ ( 20-15-1 )
8   -   4
 Atlantic

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
20 13 4-5-0-1 2W 16-20 85 10-9-0 10-4-2-1 14-18-4
Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
19 14 7-2-1 1L 12-23 -925 12-7-1-1 7-7-0 19-16

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u FLA:Shots FLA:Goals FLA:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 FLA Over 6 24 5 7 28 2 4
11/15/2025 FLA 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6 23 1 2 20 3 4
10/04/2025 FLA 0 - TB 0 TB Under 6 0 0 0 2 0 0
10/02/2025 TB 5 - FLA 2 TB Over 6 18 2 3 33 5 10
09/30/2025 TB 3 - FLA 2 TB Under 5.5 0 2 4 0 3 4
04/30/2025 TB 3 - FLA 6 FLA Over 5.5 31 6 10 29 3 4
04/28/2025 FLA 4 - TB 2 FLA Over 5.5 20 2 3 23 4 6
04/26/2025 FLA 1 - TB 5 TB Over 5.5 22 5 10 34 1 2
04/24/2025 TB 0 - FLA 2 FLA Under 6 23 2 3 19 0 0
04/22/2025 TB 2 - FLA 6 FLA Over 5.5 17 6 9 22 2 4
04/15/2025 TB 5 - FLA 1 TB Over 5.5 24 1 2 31 5 9
03/03/2025 FLA 2 - TB 1 FLA Under 5.5 29 1 2 29 2 2
12/23/2024 FLA 0 - TB 4 TB Under 6.5 29 4 7 36 0 0
12/22/2024 TB 2 - FLA 4 FLA Under 6 26 4 5 21 2 4
10/02/2024 TB 1 - FLA 2 (OT) FLA Under 6.5 23 2 3 27 1 1
09/30/2024 FLA 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6.5 25 3 5 27 1 2
09/25/2024 TB 8 - FLA 7 TB Over 6 23 7 6 20 8 8
04/29/2024 FLA 6 - TB 1 FLA Over 6 32 1 2 39 6 11
04/27/2024 TB 6 - FLA 3 TB Over 6 25 3 6 32 6 11
04/25/2024 TB 3 - FLA 5 FLA Over 6.5 31 5 10 29 3 5
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/22/2025 TB 4 - STL 1 W Under 5.5 24 1 2
12/20/2025 TB 6 - CAR 4 W Over 5.5 22 4 6
12/18/2025 TB 1 - LA 2 L Under 5.5 20 2 2
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 L Over 6 24 5 7
12/13/2025 NYI 2 - TB 2 L Under 6 34 2 4
12/11/2025 NJ 4 - TB 8 W Over 6 35 8 15
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 W Over 6 27 6 6
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 L Under 6 29 0 0
12/06/2025 TB 0 - NYI 2 L Under 6 19 2 2
12/04/2025 TB 3 - PIT 4 L Over 6 31 4 6
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/20/2025 FLA 2 - STL 6 L Over 5.5 29 2 4
12/19/2025 FLA 3 - CAR 3 W Under 6 41 3 6
12/17/2025 FLA 3 - LA 2 W Under 5.5 29 3 5
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 W Over 6 28 2 4
12/13/2025 DAL 0 - FLA 4 W Under 6 15 0 0
12/11/2025 COL 6 - FLA 2 L Over 6 42 6 12
12/10/2025 UTAH 3 - FLA 4 W Over 5.5 30 3 5
12/07/2025 FLA 4 - NYI 1 W Under 6 30 4 6
12/06/2025 FLA 7 - CLB 6 W Over 6 40 7 12
12/04/2025 FLA 1 - NAS 2 (OT) L Under 6 31 1 2

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Florida Panthers FLA
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 6 3.1
2.6 3 Goals Against Per Game 9 3.2
27.7 16 Shots Per Game 7 29.5
26.6 5 Shots Against Per Game 6 26.9
11.7 5 Shooting % 11 10.7
9.8 7 Opponent Shooting % 22 11.8
1.14 12 Shot Differential Per Game 5 2.63
11.7 5 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 11 10.7
.900 3 Save % 5 .880
.880 3 Opponent Save % 4 .890
11.5 3 Penalty Minutes Per Game 9 9.4
0.58 16 Power Play Goals Per Game 11 0.66
0.5 5 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 11 0.6
18.1 17 Power Play % 14 18.9
84.3 2 Penalty Kill % 7 81.9
2.07 5 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 6 2.03

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.25 7
Shots 27.69 20
Power Play (%) 18 19
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 413 3
Florida Panthers FLA
Season stats rank
Goals 3.14 11
Shots 29.49 8
Power Play (%) 19 17
Faceoff (%) 47 27
Penalty Mins 329 13
defence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.25 7
Shots 27.69 20
Power Play (%) 18 19
Faceoff (%) 47 28
Penalty Mins 413 3
Florida Panthers FLA
Season stats rank
Goals 3.14 11
Shots 29.49 8
Power Play (%) 19 17
Faceoff (%) 47 27
Penalty Mins 329 13

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Florida Panthers FLA

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Tampa Bay Vs Florida Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 6-2-1 in Lightning last 9 Saturday games.

Lightning are 49-15 in their last 64 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Lightning are 7-3 in their last 10 road games.

Lightning are 6-24 in their last 30 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Florida Panthers FLA

Panthers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

Over is 7-3 in Panthers last 10 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

Over is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 games a home underdog of +151 to +200.

Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.

Panthers are 21-44 in their last 65 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Atlantic Standings

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Florida Panthers
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player