Lightning vs. Capitals Prediction, Odds & Stats - November 22, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Nov 22nd, 7:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay
Lightning
Washington
Capitals
5
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Washington Capitals
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 22-13-2-1 4 0 1 +6
Washington Capitals 20-13-1-4 1 1 1 +100

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
12/28/25
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 20-12-2-4 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
4   -   4
 Atlantic
12/27/25
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
Florida Panthers FLA ( 20-15-1-1 )
4   -   2
 Atlantic
12/27/25
Washington Capitals WAS ( 20-13-1-4 )
New Jersey Devils NJ ( 20-16-2 )
4   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/23/25
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 19-17-4 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 20-13-1-4 )
7   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/22/25
St. Louis Blues STL ( 15-16-6-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
1   -   4
 Central
12/21/25
Washington Capitals WAS ( 20-13-1-4 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 23-14-1-2 )
2   -   3
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 23-11-1-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
4   -   6
 Metropolitan
12/20/25
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 23-14-1-2 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 20-13-1-4 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic
12/18/25
Los Angeles Kings LA ( 16-12-4-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
2   -   1
 Pacific
12/18/25
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 17-15-5-1 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 20-13-1-4 )
0   -   4
 Atlantic
12/16/25
Washington Capitals WAS ( 20-13-1-4 )
Minnesota Wild MIN ( 23-10-5-1 )
0   -   5
 Metropolitan
12/15/25
Florida Panthers FLA ( 20-15-1-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 22-13-2-1 )
5   -   2
 Atlantic

Betting Action

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
11 7 6-3-0-1 4W 7-13 -550 6-5-0 5-2-2 7-10-3
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
11 8 3-4-1-2 1W 12-9 450 6-4-0-1 5-4-0-1 9-10-2

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u WAS:Shots WAS:Goals WAS:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
11/22/2025 WAS 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6 32 3 4 16 5 10
11/08/2025 TB 3 - WAS 2 TB Under 5.5 30 2 2 20 3 6
10/14/2025 WAS 3 - TB 2 WAS Under 6 28 3 6 19 2 4
03/01/2025 WAS 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6 19 3 3 21 1 1
11/27/2024 TB 4 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6 32 5 7 28 4 4
10/26/2024 TB 3 - WAS 0 TB Under 6.5 32 0 0 21 3 5
04/13/2024 WAS 4 - TB 2 WAS Under 6 34 2 4 34 4 6
02/22/2024 TB 3 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6.5 24 5 9 32 3 5
12/23/2023 WAS 1 - TB 1 TB Under 6.5 20 1 1 34 1 2
03/30/2023 TB 5 - WAS 1 TB Under 6.5 31 1 2 34 5 6
11/13/2022 TB 6 - WAS 3 TB Over 5.5 22 3 4 35 6 11
11/11/2022 WAS 5 - TB 1 WAS Under 6 29 1 2 24 5 8
04/06/2022 WAS 4 - TB 3 WAS Over 6 28 3 5 28 4 8
11/01/2021 TB 3 - WAS 2 TB Under 6 33 2 3 26 3 4
10/16/2021 WAS 1 - TB 2 (OT) TB Under 6 24 2 3 33 1 2
08/03/2020 TB 2 - WAS 2 WAS Under 6 33 2 4 28 2 3
12/21/2019 WAS 3 - TB 1 WAS Under 6.5 27 1 2 35 3 6
12/14/2019 TB 2 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6.5 34 5 8 28 2 4
11/29/2019 WAS 4 - TB 3 WAS Over 6.5 30 3 6 35 4 7
03/30/2019 TB 3 - WAS 6 WAS Over 7 35 6 12 28 3 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/28/2025 TB 4 - MON 4 L Over 6 36 4 7
12/27/2025 FLA 2 - TB 4 W Over 5.5 25 4 7
12/22/2025 TB 4 - STL 1 W Under 5.5 24 1 2
12/20/2025 TB 6 - CAR 4 W Over 5.5 22 4 6
12/18/2025 TB 1 - LA 2 L Under 5.5 20 2 2
12/15/2025 TB 2 - FLA 5 L Over 6 24 5 7
12/13/2025 NYI 2 - TB 2 L Under 6 34 2 4
12/11/2025 NJ 4 - TB 8 W Over 6 35 8 15
12/09/2025 MON 1 - TB 6 W Over 6 27 6 6
12/08/2025 TOR 2 - TB 0 L Under 6 29 0 0
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
12/27/2025 NJ 3 - WAS 4 (OT) W Over 5.5 38 3 4
12/23/2025 WAS 3 - NYR 7 L Over 5.5 32 3 6
12/21/2025 DET 3 - WAS 2 L Under 6 27 3 6
12/20/2025 WAS 2 - DET 5 L Over 5.5 26 2 4
12/18/2025 WAS 4 - TOR 0 W Under 6 29 4 8
12/16/2025 MIN 5 - WAS 0 L Under 6 32 5 7
12/13/2025 WIN 5 - WAS 1 L Over 5.5 35 5 9
12/11/2025 WAS 2 - CAR 2 W Under 6 25 2 4
12/07/2025 WAS 2 - CLB 0 W Under 6 38 2 3
12/05/2025 ANA 3 - WAS 3 L Under 6 38 3 5

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Washington Capitals WAS
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.3 4 Goals Per Game 5 3.2
2.6 3 Goals Against Per Game 4 2.7
27.5 16 Shots Per Game 7 29.4
26.8 7 Shots Against Per Game 11 27.7
12.0 3 Shooting % 11 10.8
9.8 7 Opponent Shooting % 6 9.7
0.68 14 Shot Differential Per Game 9 1.68
12.0 3 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 11 10.8
.900 3 Save % 3 .900
.880 3 Opponent Save % 4 .890
13.5 2 Penalty Minutes Per Game 14 8.6
0.55 14 Power Play Goals Per Game 23 0.42
0.5 6 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 18 0.74
17.1 19 Power Play % 25 15.1
85.3 2 Penalty Kill % 23 76.3
2.03 6 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 15 1.86

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.29 6
Shots 27.47 20
Power Play (%) 17 23
Faceoff (%) 47 30
Penalty Mins 513 2
Washington Capitals WAS
Season stats rank
Goals 3.18 10
Shots 29.37 9
Power Play (%) 15 28
Faceoff (%) 49 22
Penalty Mins 326 18
defence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.29 6
Shots 27.47 20
Power Play (%) 17 23
Faceoff (%) 47 30
Penalty Mins 513 2
Washington Capitals WAS
Season stats rank
Goals 3.18 10
Shots 29.37 9
Power Play (%) 15 28
Faceoff (%) 49 22
Penalty Mins 326 18

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Washington Capitals WAS

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Tampa Bay Vs Washington Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 Saturday games.

Lightning are 49-15 in their last 64 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Lightning are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 7-3-2 in Lightning last 12 games as a favorite.

Washington Capitals WAS

Capitals are 13-39 in their last 52 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 games as a home underdog.

Under is 6-1 in Capitals last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Under is 7-3-1 in Capitals last 11 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Capitals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Washington Capitals
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TB
  • WAS
NHL Odds