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Lightning vs. Capitals Prediction, Odds & Stats - November 22, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Nov 22nd, 7:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay
Lightning
Washington
Capitals
5
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Washington Capitals
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 37-14-2-2 4 0 1 +6
Washington Capitals 29-23-2-5 1 1 1 +100

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
02/05/26
Florida Panthers FLA ( 29-25-2-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
1   -   6
 Atlantic
02/05/26
Nashville Predators NAS ( 26-24-7 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 29-23-2-5 )
2   -   4
 Central
02/03/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 32-19-6 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
3   -   4
 Atlantic
02/03/26
Washington Capitals WAS ( 29-23-2-5 )
Philadelphia Flyers PHI ( 25-20-8-3 )
2   -   4
 Metropolitan
02/02/26
NY Islanders Islanders NYI ( 32-21-0-5 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 29-23-2-5 )
1   -   4
 Metropolitan
02/01/26
Boston Bruins BOS ( 32-20-2-3 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
5   -   5
 Atlantic
01/31/26
Carolina Hurricanes CAR ( 36-15-3-3 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 29-23-2-5 )
3   -   4
 Metropolitan
01/29/26
Washington Capitals WAS ( 29-23-2-5 )
Detroit Red Wings DET ( 33-19-3-3 )
3   -   3
 Metropolitan
01/29/26
Winnipeg Jets WIN ( 22-26-6-2 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
1   -   4
 Central
01/27/26
Washington Capitals WAS ( 29-23-2-5 )
Seattle Kraken SEA ( 27-20-5-4 )
1   -   5
 Metropolitan
01/26/26
Utah Mammoth UTAH ( 30-23-4 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
0   -   2
 Central
01/24/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 37-14-2-2 )
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 29-20-6-1 )
5   -   8
 Atlantic

Line History

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
11 7 8-1-0-1 5W 7-13 -550 6-5-0 5-2-2 7-10-3
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
11 8 5-4-1 1W 12-9 450 6-4-0-1 5-4-0-1 9-10-2

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u WAS:Shots WAS:Goals WAS:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
11/22/2025 WAS 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6 32 3 4 16 5 10
11/08/2025 TB 3 - WAS 2 TB Under 5.5 30 2 2 20 3 6
10/14/2025 WAS 3 - TB 2 WAS Under 6 28 3 6 19 2 4
03/01/2025 WAS 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6 19 3 3 21 1 1
11/27/2024 TB 4 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6 32 5 7 28 4 4
10/26/2024 TB 3 - WAS 0 TB Under 6.5 32 0 0 21 3 5
04/13/2024 WAS 4 - TB 2 WAS Under 6 34 2 4 34 4 6
02/22/2024 TB 3 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6.5 24 5 9 32 3 5
12/23/2023 WAS 1 - TB 1 TB Under 6.5 20 1 1 34 1 2
03/30/2023 TB 5 - WAS 1 TB Under 6.5 31 1 2 34 5 6
11/13/2022 TB 6 - WAS 3 TB Over 5.5 22 3 4 35 6 11
11/11/2022 WAS 5 - TB 1 WAS Under 6 29 1 2 24 5 8
04/06/2022 WAS 4 - TB 3 WAS Over 6 28 3 5 28 4 8
11/01/2021 TB 3 - WAS 2 TB Under 6 33 2 3 26 3 4
10/16/2021 WAS 1 - TB 2 (OT) TB Under 6 24 2 3 33 1 2
08/03/2020 TB 2 - WAS 2 WAS Under 6 33 2 4 28 2 3
12/21/2019 WAS 3 - TB 1 WAS Under 6.5 27 1 2 35 3 6
12/14/2019 TB 2 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6.5 34 5 8 28 2 4
11/29/2019 WAS 4 - TB 3 WAS Over 6.5 30 3 6 35 4 7
03/30/2019 TB 3 - WAS 6 WAS Over 7 35 6 12 28 3 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
02/05/2026 TB 6 - FLA 1 W Over 0 34 1 2
02/03/2026 TB 4 - BUF 3 W Over 6 26 3 4
02/01/2026 TB 5 - BOS 5 L Over 6 34 5 8
01/29/2026 TB 4 - WIN 1 W Under 5.5 23 1 2
01/26/2026 TB 2 - UTAH 0 W Under 6 28 0 0
01/24/2026 CLB 8 - TB 5 L Over 6.5 30 5 8
01/23/2026 CHI 1 - TB 1 W Under 6 31 1 2
01/20/2026 TB 4 - SJ 1 W Under 6.5 23 1 2
01/18/2026 DAL 1 - TB 4 W Under 6 26 4 8
01/16/2026 STL 2 - TB 2 L Under 5.5 36 2 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
02/05/2026 WAS 4 - NAS 2 W Over 0 30 4 6
02/03/2026 PHI 4 - WAS 2 L Under 6 22 4 7
02/02/2026 WAS 4 - NYI 1 W Under 6 24 4 7
01/31/2026 WAS 4 - CAR 3 W Over 0 42 4 7
01/29/2026 DET 3 - WAS 3 W Under 6 21 3 5
01/27/2026 SEA 5 - WAS 1 L Under 6 32 5 9
01/24/2026 EDM 6 - WAS 5 L Over 6.5 40 6 12
01/23/2026 CAL 1 - WAS 3 W Under 6 26 1 1
01/21/2026 VAN 4 - WAS 3 L Over 6 25 4 6
01/19/2026 COL 5 - WAS 2 L Over 6 44 5 8

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Washington Capitals WAS
avg rank edge in rank avg
3.5 2 Goals Per Game 5 3.2
2.5 2 Goals Against Per Game 5 2.9
28.1 15 Shots Per Game 7 29.2
26.3 7 Shots Against Per Game 15 28.3
12.6 3 Shooting % 14 10.9
9.5 2 Opponent Shooting % 7 10.3
1.82 7 Shot Differential Per Game 12 0.85
12.6 3 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 14 10.9
.900 2 Save % 2 .900
.870 1 Opponent Save % 3 .890
14.4 1 Penalty Minutes Per Game 8 9.5
0.71 8 Power Play Goals Per Game 20 0.49
0.51 7 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 18 0.68
22.4 11 Power Play % 23 16.4
83.9 4 Penalty Kill % 17 78.9
2.07 7 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 20 1.81

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.55 2
Shots 28.15 16
Power Play (%) 22 12
Faceoff (%) 47 26
Penalty Mins 792 1
Washington Capitals WAS
Season stats rank
Goals 3.19 16
Shots 29.15 7
Power Play (%) 16 26
Faceoff (%) 50 19
Penalty Mins 560 7
defence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.55 2
Shots 28.15 16
Power Play (%) 22 12
Faceoff (%) 47 26
Penalty Mins 792 1
Washington Capitals WAS
Season stats rank
Goals 3.19 16
Shots 29.15 7
Power Play (%) 16 26
Faceoff (%) 50 19
Penalty Mins 560 7

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Washington Capitals WAS

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Tampa Bay Vs Washington Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 Saturday games.

Lightning are 49-15 in their last 64 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Lightning are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 7-3-2 in Lightning last 12 games as a favorite.

Washington Capitals WAS

Capitals are 13-39 in their last 52 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 games as a home underdog.

Under is 6-1 in Capitals last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Under is 7-3-1 in Capitals last 11 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Capitals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Washington Capitals
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TB
  • WAS
NHL Odds