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Lightning vs. Capitals Prediction, Odds & Stats - November 22, 2025

Final Score
Atlantic
Nov 22nd, 7:00 PM EST
Tampa Bay
Lightning
Washington
Capitals
5
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Washington Capitals
Scoreboard 1 2 3 Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning 50-26-4-2 4 0 1 +6
Washington Capitals 43-30-3-6 1 1 1 +100

Latest Encounters

Date Result Competition Stats Recap
04/29/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/26/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
3   -   2
 Atlantic
04/24/26
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/21/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
2   -   3
 Atlantic
04/19/26
Montreal Canadiens MON ( 48-24-5-5 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
4   -   3
 Atlantic
04/15/26
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 34-39-8-1 )
Tampa Bay Lightning TB ( 50-26-4-2 )
4   -   2
 Metropolitan
04/14/26
Washington Capitals WAS ( 43-30-3-6 )
Columbus Blue Jackets CLB ( 40-30-10-2 )
2   -   1
 Metropolitan
04/12/26
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 41-25-6-10 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 43-30-3-6 )
0   -   3
 Metropolitan
04/11/26
Washington Capitals WAS ( 43-30-3-6 )
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT ( 41-25-6-10 )
6   -   3
 Metropolitan
04/08/26
Washington Capitals WAS ( 43-30-3-6 )
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR ( 32-36-10-4 )
4   -   0
 Metropolitan
04/05/26
Washington Capitals WAS ( 43-30-3-6 )
NY Rangers Rangers NYR ( 34-39-8-1 )
1   -   8
 Metropolitan
04/04/26
Buffalo Sabres BUF ( 50-23-8-1 )
Washington Capitals WAS ( 43-30-3-6 )
2   -   6
 Atlantic

Matchup Odds

Team Puckline Moneyline Over / Under
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
+1.5 0 0 U+60
Washington Capitals WAS
-1.5 0 0 O+60

Line History

time fav line total
Opening 21 Nov 8:11pm TB O +5.5 -125
Closing 23 Nov 2:41am TB O +8.5 -350

Line History

Team Leaders

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Washington Capitals WAS
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Washington
130 Points 64
Alex Ovechkin
Left Wing Tampa Bay
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Washington
43 + / - 20
Jakob Chychrun
Defense Tampa Bay
Alex Ovechkin
Left Wing Tampa Bay
244 Shots 231
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Washington
Tom Wilson
Right Wing Tampa Bay
117 Penalty Mins 112
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Defense Washington
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Washington
39 Wins 31
Logan Thompson
Goaltender Tampa Bay
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Washington
2.3 GAA 2
Clay Stevenson
Goaltender Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Washington Capitals WAS
Jake Guentzel
Left Wing Washington
8 Points
Anthony Cirelli
Center Washington
6 + / -
Nikita Kucherov
Right Wing Washington
22 Shots Did not qualify
Brandon Hagel
Left Wing Washington
13 Penalty Mins
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Washington
2 Wins
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Goaltender Washington
2.7 GAA

Matchup Details

team win loss last 10 w/l streak ats money home away total
Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
11 7 5-5-0 1L 7-13 -550 6-5-0 5-2-2 7-10-3
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
11 8 8-2-0 4W 12-9 450 6-4-0-1 5-4-0-1 9-10-2

Recent Meetings

date home-away ats o/u WAS:Shots WAS:Goals WAS:Assists TB:Shots TB:Goals TB:Assists
11/22/2025 WAS 3 - TB 5 TB Over 6 32 3 4 16 5 10
11/08/2025 TB 3 - WAS 2 TB Under 5.5 30 2 2 20 3 6
10/14/2025 WAS 3 - TB 2 WAS Under 6 28 3 6 19 2 4
03/01/2025 WAS 1 - TB 3 TB Under 6 19 3 3 21 1 1
11/27/2024 TB 4 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6 32 5 7 28 4 4
10/26/2024 TB 3 - WAS 0 TB Under 6.5 32 0 0 21 3 5
04/13/2024 WAS 4 - TB 2 WAS Under 6 34 2 4 34 4 6
02/22/2024 TB 3 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6.5 24 5 9 32 3 5
12/23/2023 WAS 1 - TB 1 TB Under 6.5 20 1 1 34 1 2
03/30/2023 TB 5 - WAS 1 TB Under 6.5 31 1 2 34 5 6
11/13/2022 TB 6 - WAS 3 TB Over 5.5 22 3 4 35 6 11
11/11/2022 WAS 5 - TB 1 WAS Under 6 29 1 2 24 5 8
04/06/2022 WAS 4 - TB 3 WAS Over 6 28 3 5 28 4 8
11/01/2021 TB 3 - WAS 2 TB Under 6 33 2 3 26 3 4
10/16/2021 WAS 1 - TB 2 (OT) TB Under 6 24 2 3 33 1 2
08/03/2020 TB 2 - WAS 2 WAS Under 6 33 2 4 28 2 3
12/21/2019 WAS 3 - TB 1 WAS Under 6.5 27 1 2 35 3 6
12/14/2019 TB 2 - WAS 5 WAS Over 6.5 34 5 8 28 2 4
11/29/2019 WAS 4 - TB 3 WAS Over 6.5 30 3 6 35 4 7
03/30/2019 TB 3 - WAS 6 WAS Over 7 35 6 12 28 3 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/29/2026 TB 2 - MON 3 L Under 5.5 24 3 5
04/26/2026 MON 2 - TB 3 W Under 6 20 3 6
04/24/2026 MON 3 - TB 2 L Under 6 17 2 2
04/21/2026 TB 3 - MON 2 W Under 6 27 2 4
04/19/2026 TB 3 - MON 4 (OT) L Over 6 19 4 8
04/15/2026 TB 2 - NYR 4 L Under 6.5 21 4 8
04/13/2026 TB 4 - DET 3 W Over 6.5 30 3 5
04/11/2026 BOS 1 - TB 2 W Under 6 24 2 4
04/09/2026 MON 2 - TB 1 L Under 6.5 18 1 2
04/07/2026 OTT 6 - TB 2 L Over 6.5 30 2 4
date score ats o/u Shots Goals Assists
04/14/2026 CLB 1 - WAS 2 W Under 6.5 28 1 2
04/12/2026 WAS 3 - PIT 0 W Under 7 27 3 6
04/11/2026 PIT 3 - WAS 6 W Over 6.5 11 3 5
04/08/2026 TOR 0 - WAS 4 W Under 6.5 21 0 0
04/05/2026 NYR 8 - WAS 1 L Over 6 33 8 14
04/04/2026 WAS 6 - BUF 2 W Over 6.5 28 6 9
04/02/2026 NJ 7 - WAS 3 L Over 6.5 30 7 14
03/31/2026 WAS 6 - PHI 4 W Over 5.5 18 6 12
03/28/2026 VEG 4 - WAS 4 W Over 6 29 4 4
03/26/2026 UTAH 4 - WAS 7 W Over 6 40 4 8

Matchup Edge - Scoring Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Washington Capitals WAS
avg rank edge in rank avg
2.6 10 Goals Per Game 1
2.8 7 Goals Against Per Game 1
26.8 11 Shots Per Game 1
23.4 1 Shots Against Per Game 1
9.7 10 Shooting % 1
12.0 12 Opponent Shooting % 1
3.4 5 Shot Differential Per Game 1
9.7 10 Scoring Efficiency Ratio 1
.880 7 Save % 1
.900 4 Opponent Save % 1
15.4 6 Penalty Minutes Per Game 1
0.8 4 Power Play Goals Per Game 1
1 10 Power Play Goals Against Per Game 1
17.4 6 Power Play % 1
76.2 13 Penalty Kill % 1
1.65 12 Blocks To Shots On Goal Ratio 1

Odds Analysis

Team Rankings

offence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1
Washington Capitals WAS
Season stats rank
Goals 3.18 15
Shots 28.05 16
Power Play (%) 18 25
Faceoff (%) 49 20
Penalty Mins 771 11
defence
Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Season stats rank
Goals 3.49 4
Shots 28.11 14
Power Play (%) 21 15
Faceoff (%) 47 29
Penalty Mins 1207 1
Washington Capitals WAS
Season stats rank
Goals 3.18 15
Shots 28.05 16
Power Play (%) 18 25
Faceoff (%) 49 20
Penalty Mins 771 11

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning TB
Washington Capitals WAS

Tampa Bay vs. Washington Betting News

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

No posts found.
Washington Capitals WAS

No posts found.

Tampa Bay Vs Washington Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning TB

Over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 Saturday games.

Lightning are 49-15 in their last 64 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200.

Lightning are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 7-3-2 in Lightning last 12 games as a favorite.

Washington Capitals WAS

Capitals are 13-39 in their last 52 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Under is 4-0 in Capitals last 4 games as a home underdog.

Under is 6-1 in Capitals last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Under is 7-3-1 in Capitals last 11 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.

Capitals are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Line Up - Last Game

Tampa Bay Lightning
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
Washington Capitals
Pitchers
POS Player
Hitters
POS Player
  • TB
  • WAS
NHL Odds