Saints vs. Giants Point Spread: NFL Week 4 Odds, Prediction

Payton Matthews | Updated Sep 24, 2018

brees manning

Only nine active quarterbacks in the NFL have won a Super Bowl as a starter, and two of them face off Sunday as the New Orleans Saints visit the New York Giants.

AT
September 30, 2018, 4:25 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
Pointspread -3.5 +100
Moneyline -190
Over / Under o +52.5

77%

Betting Action

23%

Pointspread +3.5 -120
Moneyline +160
Over / Under u +52.5

77%

Betting Action

23%

It’s not too often that we see two quarterbacks in the NFC face off who have both won a Super Bowl as a starter – that’s because the AFC’s Tom Brady, Peyton Manning (retired) and Ben Roethlisberger have combined for nine championships this century. Two will do so on Sunday, however, as Drew Brees and the Saints visit Eli Manning and the Giants.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

The Saints are Manning’s hometown team as that family is legendary in the Big Easy because Eli and Peyton’s father, Archie Manning, was the Saints’ first big star. Eli and Peyton then became high school stars at Isidore Newman School in the city. Eli has two Super Bowl rings, while Brees won the Saints’ only title in the 2009 season. Brees might be the only guy more popular in New Orleans than the Mannings.

The Saints and Giants last meet in 2016 in New Jersey, a 16-13 New York victory on a Josh Brown field goal as time expired. Eli threw for 368 yards but no touchdowns. Brees had 263 and a score. New York has won five of its past six at home vs. New Orleans.

New Orleans Saints

This will be the last game of Saints running back Mark Ingram’s four-game suspension. The team hasn’t been great running the ball without him in averaging 3.9 yards per carry. However, fellow tailback Alvin Kamara – the 2017 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year — might already be the best receiving back in the league as he has 30 catches for 289 yards and a touchdown. The Saints are very lucky to be 2-1 and not 0-3. They absolutely should have lost Week 2 at home to Cleveland, but the Browns’ kicker single-handedly blew that one. They easily could have lost this past Sunday but won a very entertaining 43-37 overtime shootout in Atlanta. Brees snuck in from 1-yard out for the win. He also scored on a 7-yard run with 1:15 left in regulation to tie.

Brees is 39 but playing at an MVP level in throwing for 1,078 yards, eight TDs and no picks while completing a ridiculous 80.6 per cent of his passes. He became the NFL’s all-time completions leader vs. Atlanta and in a few games will take over the yardage lead too. The Saints can score with anyone. Their problem is on defence.

New York Giants

The Giants are not a good offensive team, topping 15 points just once so far – in Sunday’s 27-22 upset win in Houston. It was the Giants’ first September victory in more than two years. Eli had easily his best game of the year in completing 25 of 29 for 297 yards and two scores, but his best days are long behind him. It doesn’t help that he has a terrible offensive line “protecting” him. Eli was sacked four more times vs.  Houston.

Saquon Barkley continued to make a case for this year’s top offensive rookie honours by rushing for 82 yards and a touchdown. Odell Beckham Jr. had his second 100-yard receiving game of the early going but is yet to find the end zone. The Giants have a very good young tight end in Evan Engram, but he suffered a sprained MCL vs. Houston and is week-to-week.

Saints vs. Giants Prediction

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