It’s becoming more and more apparent, that any team that visits Lambeau Field is going to have a hard time stopping Aaron Rodgers, but that’s exactly what the Kansas City Chiefs need to do this Monday. The Packers, on the other hand, will be tasked with stopping another dynamic running back in Jamaal Charles. The point spread is currently favoring the Packers at -6.5.
Monday Night Football: Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Point Spread: Packers -6.5 Over/Under: 49 Date: Monday, September 28, 7:30pm ET Location:Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs let one get away from them last week against Denver and will look to rebound against a Green Bay team that will be fired up after defeating the Seahawks on national television. The key for Kansas City in this one will come down the defensive line’s ability to get to Rodgers. If the Chiefs can get consistent pressure rushing just four, it will give the secondary the ability to use more defensive backs in coverage.
Against Green Bay’s defense, Kansas City will need to ride Jamaal Charles and hope he’s able to find some holes for big gains. This could depend on whether or not the Packers move Clay Matthews to the inside, which has been very effective against good runners. Green Bay doesn’t get much of a push up front, meaning Alex Smith could also find some time to hit his receivers down field.
Green Bay Packers
Predicting a Packer win almost always comes down to the play of Rodgers. An off game from him means the whole team struggles. With Eddie Lacy’s status questionable after suffering a sprained ankle last week, he’ll need to be on top of his game to be able to put points on the board. Missing Bryan Bulaga on the offensive line last week, Rodgers was on the move quite a bit and may need the same escapability against a very talented Chiefs defensive line.
The biggest factor on defense will be stopping the run. Charles is a shifty, downhill runner that gets to the hole fast and can blow past the linebackers. Expect Matthews to line up on the inside often to plug up the middle. Green Bay will also need to find a way to contain the edges, which was a problem against Russell Wilson last week. They could see Charles running quite a few stretch plays if they don’t see Matthews lined up on the outside.
Sunday Night Prediction
Kansas City is capable of keeping this game close based on how well Seattle was able to pressure Rodgers consistently. A weakened offensive line might be their hope of keeping the Packers out of the end zone and the Chiefs offense on the field. Then again, they could still do all of these things and still end up getting torched by Rodgers, who is arguably the most accurate passer while on the move. The Packers simply have too much fire power on offense to be stymied by the Chiefs.