NFL Odds & Predictions: Who Starts at QB for Patriots in Week 1?

Frank Doyle | Updated Mar 20, 2020

bill belichick 2020

Who do the New England Patriots turn to now that Tom Brady has packed his bags for Tampa Bay? Take a look and place your bets now.

Tom Brady has left the New England Patriots for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. So who might be taking the snaps under center for the Pats in Week 1 in the 2020 NFL season?

New England Patriots Search for Tom Brady’s Replacement

By far the biggest news in a crazy week of NFL free agency has been that Tom Brady decided to leave the only professional team he had known, the New England Patriots, for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Who would have guessed that even six weeks ago?

Brady led the Patriots to nine Super Bowl appearances and six titles. The Bucs have made just one Super Bowl appearance in their history and haven’t even been to the playoffs since 2007. Sports Interaction has a prop on which team wins the most games this season with New England at -151 and Tampa Bay +110. No, the Patriots and Bucs don’t play this year, but Tampa Bay is scheduled to visit New England in 2021. Think that will be a tough ticket if Brady is still playing?

It’s tough to bet on any Patriots win total until they decide on their next starting quarterback. Brady has been the guy since early in the 2001 season. He suffered a season-ending injury in Week 1 of the 2008 season and Matt Cassel took over. When Brady was suspended the first four games of 2016, Jimmy Garoppolo got the call. Jimmy G was once considered the long-term successor to Brady but was traded in 2017 to San Francisco.

Sports Interaction has several betting options to start Week 1 for the Patriots. Here’s a look at the favorites.

New England Patriots

Starting Quarterback Week 1
  • Jarrett Stidham +200
  • Any Other Quarterback +251
  • Cam Newton +301
  • Jameis Winston +501
  • Andy Dalton +599
  • Jacoby Brissett +2000
  • Derek Carr +2000
  • Jimmy Garoppolo +2000
  • Cody Kessler +3300
  • Matthew Stafford +3300
  • Joe Flacco +5000
  • Jake Fromm +5000
  • Justin Herbert +5000
  • Jordan Love +5000
  • Tua Tagovailoa +5000
  • Jalen Hurts +6600
  • Jacob Eason +10000
Show More Odds

NFL Free Agency Odds

Jarrett Stidham (+200): It’s tough to find excellent starting quarterbacks outside of the first round of the NFL Draft, but it happens. Brady was a sixth-round pick. Joe Montana a third rounder. Stidham was a 2019 fourth-round pick out of Auburn. He looked very good in the 2019 preseason in getting most of the snaps but only attempted four regular-season passes. Reportedly, Bill Belichick is high on the 23-year-old. There’s also a school of thought that Belichick might not mind somewhat tanking this season with Stidham for a chance to select Trevor Lawrence at the top of the 2021 draft. “Tanking for Trevor” will be a popular phrase this season.

Cam Newton (+300): Not too often a former NFL MVP is on the market like Brady was, but Newton also won an MVP, coming in the 2015 season when he led Carolina to its best regular season in franchise history (15-1) and to Super Bowl 50, although the Panthers were upset by Denver in Peyton Manning’s final NFL game. Newton largely hasn’t been the same guy since, and he has really gone downhill since about the 2018 midseason due to injuries – somehow, Carolina has lost his past eight starts. Newton played just the first two games of last year due to a major foot issue. The Panthers signed Teddy Bridgewater so Newton is a goner either via trade or release.

Jameis Winston (+501): Like Newton, Winston is a former Heisman Trophy winner who went No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft. Unlike Newton, Winston is healthy but the former Florida State star is an absolute turnover machine. He led the NFL with 30 interceptions last year in becoming the first player in league history to have a 30-touchdown/30-INT campaign. Winston also led the league with a career-high 5,109 yards passing. Super-talented guy but makes poor decisions as he’s first in the league in turnovers by a wide margin since entering the NFL in 2015. Winston is a free agent with Brady now in Tampa.

Andy Dalton (+600): Dalton is still with the Bengals as of this writing, but he’s either going to be traded or released because Cincinnati will take LSU quarterback Joe Burrow – look for draft betting stories soon at Sports Interaction – at No. 1 overall in April’s NFL Draft. The 32-year-old Dalton is a very solid quarterback who led the Bengals to the playoffs five times, albeit losing every game. Dalton probably would be the safest choice of this group and if the Patriots still think they have a Super Bowl roster is capable of at least getting the team to the postseason.

Prediction: Dalton is easily the best value. Bringing him in wouldn’t threaten Stidham as Dalton was a good soldier when he was benched for a while last year. If the Patriots struggle early under Dalton, they can turn things over to Stidham.