NFL Divisional Betting Preview: Hot bets and moving odds

Frank Doyle | Updated Oct 04, 2017

Cam Newton

All odds current as of 11 a.m. ET, Jan. 9.

Saturday, Jan. 11.

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (-8, 47)

Even after the Saints earned a big road win at Philadelphia last week, they aren’t getting much love against the Seahawks. Drew Brees struggled to get much going against Philadelphia’s pass defence and finished with 250 passing yards to go along with one touchdown and two interceptions. Now the Saints face a Seahawks club that is 7-1 at home and owns the top total defence, scoring defence and passing defence in the NFL. So, it’s no surprise that the total has dropped from 48.5 at the open to 47 now.

Inside the book: The Saints are seeing 64 percent of Sports Interaction’s bets as 8-point road underdogs.

Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots (-7, 52.5)

It may not be pretty, but the Indianapolis Colts continue to find ways to win. Last week it was Andrew Luck’s fumble recovery that pushed them past the Kansas City Chiefs. This week they may need some more luck against the Pats. Although the Colts have proven they can keep pace on the scoreboard, last week’s defensive performance against the Chiefs is a big concern. The Colts allowed Alex Smith to throw for almost 400 yards with four touchdowns with star running back Jamaal Charles on the sideline. You have to think Bill Belichick and Tom Brady are licking their chops.

Inside the book: The Pats opened as 7.5-point favorites but that line has dropped to -7 with solid support for the Colts coming in. About 70 percent of our bets are currently backing Indy at +7.

Sunday, Jan. 12

San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers (+1, 42)

Now we’ll get to see what the Panthers are made of. They come into this game as the hottest team in the league with just one loss on their record after starting the season 1-3. They also dropped the 49ers 10-9 in San Francisco back in Week 10, sacking quarterback Colin Kaepernick six times in the process.  Still, the 49ers are coming on strong as well and earned a lot of toughness points last week by beating the Packers in frigid Lambeau Field. With a couple of big-play quarterbacks squaring off, this one might come down to who breaks the biggest play when his team needs it most.

Inside the book: This line is bouncing around all over the place. The Panthers opened as 2-point home dogs but the game then moved to a pick ‘em. Now Carolina sits as a 1-point underdog and the total has dropped from 43 at the open to 42. About 61 percent of Sports Interaction bettors are siding with San Francisco.

San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos (-9.5, 54)

A lot of bettors made a pile of money this year betting the Broncos and the over, but now that we’re in the playoffs, betting habits have changed. San Diego has already beaten Denver once this season and has won five straight, covering the number in four of those contests. That alone seems to be enough to sway a good portion of our betting public, even with Peyton Manning on the other side. The Broncos remain +237 Super Bowl favorites.

Inside the book: This number opened at Denver -10 and then dipped to -9.5 not long after. The total has dropped from 55 to 54. As of noon Thursday, 65 percent of our bets are coming in on the underdog Chargers at +9.5.