Jets vs. Dolphins Point Spread: NFL Week 14 Odds, Prediction
The Jets snatched defeat from the jaws of victory on their way to a 26-21 loss to the visiting Seattle Seahawks last weekend and have now fallen to defeat in eight of their past nine contests. The Dolphins saw their playoff hopes deflated with their 30-17 loss in Green Bay on Thanksgiving Day but have won two straight at home while outscoring opponents by a massive 68-34 combined margin.
The Dolphins are big betting chalk for the third time in as many home dates, favoured by 6.0 points on the NFL Week 14 odds. The Jets trail as +225 underdogs on the NFL moneyline and the total is listed at 45.
NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis
The Dolphins look to extend their recent dominance over the Jets in the first of two dates between these AFC East rivals over the final five weeks of the NFL regular season. Miami has taken three straight from the Jets and earned the win in 13 of 16 head-to-head clashes since 2015, including eight straight victories in South Florida.
The Dolphins have played stout defence during their current 3-0 run, limiting the Jets to just 6.3 points per game overall and to just six total points in their past two tilts at Hard Rock Stadium. Overall, four of the Dolphins’ past seven wins over the Jets have come by double-digit margins. That has contributed to Miami’s impressive 10-2 head-to-head run against the spread.
The Dolphins have also steadily produced on the NFL odds in recent weeks, covering in four of their past five games and their recent big wins at home have halted an 0-5 ATS when favoured at home by six or more points.
Conversely, it has been a devastating campaign for the Jets, who have covered just once during their 1-8 slide despite seeing six of those defeats come by a single score.
New York Jets
Things went from bad to worse last weekend, as the Jets squandered a 14-point first-half lead on their way to a 26-21 loss to Seattle. That extends a trend that has seen New York fail to score a touchdown after halftime five times during their current slide and have been shutout in the second half twice in three games.
While quarterback Aaron Rodgers has connected on nine total touchdown passes over the past five games, he has also struggled to find his targets. Rodgers completed just 53.9 per cent of pass attempts last weekend and has now connected on fewer than 60 per cent of attempts three times this season. Rodgers has also seen just six of his 19 TD passes come on the road this season.
Injuries are not helping matters. Rusher Breece Hall has been absent from practice nursing a knee injury and the offensive line has been banged up, with Morgan Moses, Alijah Vera-Tucker, Olumuyiwa Fashanu, Wes Schweitzer, and John Simpson all joining Hall and cornerback Sauce Gardner in the clinic.
Miami Dolphins
Currently trailing Denver by 2.5 games in the race for the No. 7 seed in the AFC, the Dolphins are desperate for a win to maintain any hope of returning to the postseason but with a somewhat favourable schedule down the homestretch, the team should have plenty of motivation on Sunday.
In fact, the Dolphins have seen all five of their wins to date come against opponents who do not currently sport winning records. While this team put up little resistance in last week’s loss to Green Bay on the Frozen Tundra at Lambeau field, they have averaged 31.3 points per game over their past three games, with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa tossing for eight scored over that stretch.
However, with injuries mounting, maintaining that momentum will be tough. No fewer than 13 players have been limited or absent from practice this week including receiver Tyreek Hill and rusher Raheem Mostert, who are nursing wrist and hip injuries, respectively.
NYJ
MIA