Don’t look now, but the New York Jets are on the verge of moving above the .500 mark for the season as they take on the winless Browns in Cleveland. The Jets followed up consecutive road losses with back-to-back home triumphs over Miami and Jacksonville, holding the Dolphins and Jaguars to a combined 26 points in the process. The Browns are going through yet another rebuilding season and are coming off a humbling 31-7 home loss to Cincinnati last week.
New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns
Point spread: Pick ‘Em Date: Sunday, October 8, 1 p.m. ET Location: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio
Point Spread and Betting Analysis
Oddsmakers are calling this one a toss-up, with both teams coming in with projected point totals of 19.5 on Sports Interaction. The Jets appear to be the safer bet to cash in the -118 odds on the over, averaging right around that total for the season while taking on a Browns team that has surrendered an average of nearly 27 points through its first four contests. Cleveland has allowed at least 21 points in every game it has played this season.
The overwhelming majority of Sports Interaction bettors favor the Jets in this one – 83 percent, to be precise – while nearly three-quarters are taking the over-39 play. But bettors beware: The Browns have played seven consecutive unders at FirstEnergy Stadium, while the Jets have gone under in nine of their previous 13 road games. If you believe those trends will continue, you’ll get +150 for 3-4 total touchdowns in the game, and +340 for fewer than three TDs.
With just two covers in their last 11 home games, there isn’t much reason to put your faith in the Browns this weekend. Cleveland averages a paltry 3.6 YPC and starting quarterback DeShone Kizer has already thrown a league-high eight interceptions. But with this one expected to be a tightly-contested affair, you might consider a +300 bet on Cleveland prevailing by between 1-5 points; of their previous seven wins dating back to 2014, four have come by that margin.
New York Jets
The Jets have covered in each of the last four meetings between the teams, and are in good position to extend that streak thanks to a robust running game averaging 4.9 yards per carry. Bilal Powell and Elijah McGuire have combined for 391 rushing yards and three touchdowns on just 72 carries, but could have their work cut out for them against a Cleveland defense holding opponents to a 3.0 YPC.
Jets vs. Browns Prediction
Jets 20, Browns 17