Buccaneers vs. Jaguars Point Spread: NFL Predictions, Week 13 Odds

Jeremy Perry | Updated Nov 26, 2019

nick foles and gardner minshew, raptors, 2019

Could a QB controversy could be brewing in Jacksonville? Nick Foles has failed to provide the same spark that rookie Gardner Minshew III provided earlier in the season.

Tampa Bay
7-9
AT
December 01, 2019, 1:00 PM ET
TIAA Bank Field
Pointspread -3 -110
Moneyline -166
Over / Under o +46.5

69%

Betting Action

31%

Pointspread +3 -110
Moneyline +138
Over / Under u +46.5

69%

Betting Action

31%

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have shown flashes of their immense potential throughout this season. The problem is that they haven’t managed to put it all together on a consistent basis. One week after taking down the Atlanta Falcons 35-22 in their own building, the Buccaneers head back to Florida for an in-state rivalry game with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tampa Bay has never won a game inside TIAA Bank Field as they are 0-3 straight up in Jacksonville. Can Tampa Bay end that slide and figure out a way to win back-to-back games for the first time this season?

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

In addition to their struggles in Jacksonville in particular, the Buccaneers are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games following a straight up win. Tampa Bay is also 1-6 ATS in its last seven games overall as last Sunday was their first cover in a while. However, it is worth noting that the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight December games dating back the last two seasons.

The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS versus teams with a losing record this season. Jacksonville is also 16-4-1 ATS in its last 21 games played in Week 13 specifically, which is interesting in combination with what we know about this specific matchup. However, the Jaguars are 3-15 both straight up and ATS in their last 18 games versus NFC teams.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The biggest issue for Tampa Bay has been its level of consistency from one game to the next. The Buccaneers turned the ball over again in last week’s win over Atlanta with Jameis Winston throwing two interceptions. However, Winston also threw for 313 yards and three touchdowns. Winston now has 20 interceptions, which is as many as many as Patrick Mahomes (2), Aaron Rodgers (2), Kirk Cousins (3), Russell Wilson (3), Drew Brees (4) and Carson Wentz (6) combined.

If the Buccaneers can ever figure out a way to move the football at a high level without the turnovers that have plagued them, they could be on their way towards becoming a playoff-caliber team. Bruce Arians has done his best with the tools at his disposal.

The good news for the Bucs is the Jags have essentially gone into a shell. They’ve now lost three in a row and have been blown out each time, getting outscored 101-36 in the process. The Jags are just pulse-less and they look like they’re playing for their head coach to be fired. The Bucs are still building and fighting for Arians, which could be a huge difference in this game.

Jacksonville Jaguars

While the Buccaneers seem committed to Winston at least for the time being, a quarterback controversy could be brewing in Jacksonville. Nick Foles has failed to provide the same spark that rookie Gardner Minshew III provided earlier in the season. The Jaguars have some intriguing weapons but their offense has averaged just 16.5 points per game over their last two contests with Foles under center.

A defense that had done a pretty good job of keeping opponents in check for most of the season has really come apart in back-to-back losses. The Jaguars gave up 33 points in a loss to Indianapolis before conceding 42 against Tennessee. After struggling in their last two games, it’s hard to count on Jacksonville as a favorite in this one.

Who Will Win Buccaneers vs. Jaguars?

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