Broncos vs. Ravens Point Spread: NFL Week 9 Odds, Prediction

Nik Kowalski | Updated Oct 31, 2024

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The 5-3 Denver Broncos get a prime chance to put the NFL world on notice when they visit the 5-3 Baltimore Ravens on Sunday afternoon.

Denver
8-5
AT
November 03, 2024, 1:00 PM ET
M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore
8-5
Pointspread +9 -110
Moneyline +350
Over / Under o +40.5
Matchup Odds
Pointspread -9 -110
Moneyline -450
Over / Under u +40.5
Matchup Odds

The fact these teams have identical records after two months is hard to believe, mostly because Baltimore’s viewed as one of the NFL’s top teams. All five of Denver’s wins this season have come in the last six weeks but none have come against a team with a winning record. That makes this weekend a massive test for Denver. 

The side of the ball this game will likely be determined on is Baltimore’s offence vs. Denver’s offence, which is strength on strength. Baltimore’s one of two teams averaging over 30 points a game this season while Denver’s third in the NFL with 15 points allowed per outing.

Kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium goes at 1 p.m. EST, and the Ravens are coming into Sunday as nearly double-digit favourites on the point spread and -450 on the moneyline. The over-under is at 46.5 on the NFL odds board.

NFL Point Spread and Betting Analysis

Bookmakers haven’t been giving the Broncos enough respect, something a 6-2 record ATS this season at least indicates. Denver is a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road this season too, and given they’re nearly double-digit underdogs here… it’s tough to go against the streaky pick. 

Then again, perhaps the most slam-dunk streak of them all is the Ravens to the over. Baltimore is 7-1 to the over this season as again they rank second in the NFL with 30.3 points per contest. Four of the last five Broncos–Ravens contests have gone under the total, so maybe Denver is the defensive unit that’ll be able to slow Lamar Jackson’s offence down. Head-to-head, Denver is both 5-10 outright and ATS in their last 15 meetings with Baltimore.

Denver Broncos

Bo Nix is continuing to elevate his game in his rookie season, and apparently takes National Tights End day very seriously. Two of Nix’s three TD passes in last weekends’ 28-14 win went to tight ends, one to Adam Trautman and one to Nate Adkins. Twelve different Broncos caught passes from Nix last weekend and I dare you to go look at the twelve names and see how many you recognize — you’ll realize the committee Denver’s working, and winning with.

Defensively, Denver’s playing to their expected standard. That’s a unit ranking third in points allowed per game with 15, fourth with 176.3 passing yards allowed per game, and eighth with 1.5 takeaways per game. Pat Surtain II plays a large factor into all three categories, as he also notched his 10th career interception last weekend.

Baltimore Ravens

Another bizarre Ravens defeat has arrived. Last week’s 29-24 defeat at Cleveland seemingly came out nowhere, and also appeared for a second to be a sure-fire Ravens win when Kyle Hamilton dropped an easy game-sealing interception. It felt a lot like Baltimore’s loss to Las Vegas in Week 2, and when you factor in how close the Ravens were in their Week 1 loss at Kansas City… this Ravens team could easily be 8-0. Instead they’re 5-3 with some questions.

First off, reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson missed Wednesday’s practice to rest back and knee injuries. But Baltimore remaining a nine-point favourite tells you all you need to know about Jackson’s status come gameday, plus head coach John Harbaugh essentially called it load management. Cornerbacks Marlon Humphrey (knee) and Nate Wiggins (shoulder/illness) were both limited at Wednesday’s practice. Without both last week, the Ravens allowed 334 passing yards but also 370 the week prior when both played. Those numbers clearly have to drop.

NFL Prediction: Who Will Win Broncos vs. Ravens?

NFL Predictions
SportsInteraction
  • DEN
  • +9 -9
  • BAL
Matchup NFL Odds