2023 NFL Week 16 Power Rankings
Last season’s Super Bowl teams, Kansas City and Philadelphia, have continued to slide as losses pile up while the rejuvenated Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals make significant gains.
Here are the NFL Betting Power Rankings for Week 16.
1. San Francisco 49ers
SU: 11-3
ATS: 8-6
Super Bowl Odds: +225
Last week’s ranking: 1
The 49ers faced little resistance while rolling to a 45-29 win in Arizona last weekend to extend their current SU win streak to six games. The class of the NFC this season, the greatest challenge facing sports bettors backing the Niners is their ability to meet high expectations after covering just once in their past three as double-digit chalk.
2. Baltimore Ravens
SU: 113
ATS: 9-5
Super Bowl Odds: +550
Last week’s ranking: 2
With last weekend’s 23-7 win in Jacksonville, the Ravens improved to 8-1 SU in their past nine, cementing their grasp on the AFC top seed. Baltimore has produced uneven results at the sportsbook, covering in just four of their past seven, and are just 2-5 ATS in their past seven when favoured by more than four points.
3. Miami Dolphins
SU: 10-4
ATS: 9-5
Super Bowl Odds: +800
Last week’s ranking: 4
The Dolphins maintained control of their destiny with last weekend’s 30-0 rout of the Jets, but their lack of success this season against topflight opponents is cause for concern as they enter a stretch run that features dates with Dallas, Baltimore, and Buffalo.
4. Indianapolis Colts
SU: 8-6
ATS: 9-5
Super Bowl Odds: +8000
Last week’s ranking: 5
The Colts got back into the win column with last weekend’s 30-13 thumping of the Steelers. Indy has now won and covered in five of six outings, and have enjoyed the benefit of being underestimated at the sportsbook, where they have yet to be favoured by more than 2.5 points this season, and recorded three outright wins as underdogs.
5. Cleveland Browns
SU: 9-5
ATS: 8-5-1
Super Bowl Odds: +5000
Last week’s ranking: 7
With Joe Flacco settling in as starting quarterback, and the defence steadily returning to health, the Browns have quickly emerged as an intriguing dark horse in the AFC. Cleveland has now won and covered in two straight and five of seven.
6. Dallas Cowboys
SU: 10-4
ATS: 9-5
Super Bowl Odds: +1000
Last week’s ranking: 3
The Cowboys saw their road woes extended with last week’s crushing 31-10 loss in Buffalo that put the brakes on a dominating 5-0 SU run. Dallas remains the second-highest scoring team in the NFL after scoring over 40 points per game during their recent surge, but have consistently given up big point totals while going 2-4 SU over their past six road dates.
7. Cincinnati Bengals
SU: 8-6
ATS: 6-6-2
Super Bowl Odds: +10000
Last week’s ranking: 12
Jake Browning has demonstrated his ability to compete as an NFL starting quarterback while leading the Bengals on a season-saving three-game win streak, but find themselves in a must-win situation ahead of this weekend’s visit to Pittsburgh, to whom they have lost two of three.
8. Detroit Lions
SU: 10-4
ATS: 9-5
Super Bowl Odds: +1800
Last week’s ranking: 8
The Lions remain one win shy of clinching the NFC North crown after going 2-2 SU and ATS in their past four while surrendering at least 28 points three times. Detroit’s two recent defeats, both as betting chalk, came against NFC north rivals, which bodes poorly ahead of two upcoming dates with Minnesota.
9. Buffalo Bills
SU: 8-6
ATS: 6-8
Super Bowl Odds: +1200
Last week’s ranking: 18
The Bills signaled to the rest of the league that they are back with last weekend’s 31-10 rout of the Cowboys. Now enjoying a two-game SU and ATS win streak, the Bills have found a higher gear after enduring a 3-5 SU, 1-7 ATS run, during which their five outright losses came by an average margin of just four points.
10. Philadelphia Eagles
SU: 10-4
ATS: 7-5-2
Super Bowl Odds: +800
Last week’s ranking: 6
Losers in three straight while getting outscored by a wide 95-49 over all margin, the Eagles have ample opportunity to right the ship while closing out the season with two games against the Giants and one against Arizona. But after failing to win by more than a single score over their past seven games, the Eagles come with risk as big chalk.
11. Los Angeles Rams
SU: 7-7
ATS: 8-5-1
Super Bowl Odds: +8000
Last week’s ranking: 11
The Rams have beaten the teams they were expected to beat while going 4-1 SU and ATS in their past five games to move into the NFC wild card picture. But can they extend that trend with their season on the line over the next two weeks?
12. Denver Broncos
SU: 7-7
ATS: 5-8-1
Super Bowl Odds: +15000
Last week’s ranking: 9
The Broncos’ scoring woes have returned during 1-2 SU and ATS run in which they have averaged fewer than 20 points per game. Still just one game out of the AFC wild card hunt, the Broncos are well positioned to rebound during a stretch run that features three dates with playoff also-rans.
13. Kansas City Chiefs
SU: 9-5
ATS: 7-6-1
Super Bowl Odds: +650
Last week’s ranking: 10
The Chiefs halted a two-game slide with last weekend’s 27-17 win in New England. However, the shine has come off the defending Super Bowl champions at the sportsbook, where they have tallied ATS wins in just two of seven outings while scoring just 18.7 points per game.
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
SU: 7-7
ATS: 9-5
Super Bowl Odds: +12500
Last week’s ranking: 17
The Buccaneers have vaulted to the top of the NFC South while winning three straight including outright victories as road underdogs in each of their past two outings. Now riding a 6-2 ATS run overall, the Bucs have paid out as underdogs on seven of 10 occasions.
15. Houston Texans
SU: 8-6
ATS: 7-7
Super Bowl Odds: +6600
Last week’s ranking: 19
The Texans have backed in to a three-way for top spot in the SAFC South despite scoring just 17 points per game while going 2-2 SU over their past four. Houston has also failed to live up to heightened expectations at the sportsbook during this season’s renaissance, going just 3-5 ATS in their past eight including a 1-4 ATS mark as betting chalk.
16. Chicago Bears
SU: 5-9
ATS: 6-7-1
Super Bowl Odds: +125000
Last week’s ranking: 16
The Bears suffered a heartbreaking 20-17 loss in Cleveland last weekend to fall to 3-3 SU in their past six. But with those defeats coming by an average margin of just five points, the Bears currently enjoy a 4-2 ATS run heading into three-game stretch against non-playoff opponents.
17. Seattle Seahawks
SU: 7-7
ATS: 8-5-1
Super Bowl Odds: +6000
Last week’s ranking: 22
The Seahawks salvaged their playoff hopes with Monday night’s stunning 20-17 comeback win over Philadelphia that also snapped a four-game losing streak. However, the Seahawks have remained a solid bet during their second-half swoon, going 4-1 ATS and enjoy three upcoming dates against non-playoff opponents.
18. New Orleans Saints
SU: 7-7
ATS: 4-9-1
Super Bowl Odds: +10000
Last week’s ranking: 25
The worst bet in the NFL through the first 13 weeks of the season, the Saints have turned things around during a 2-0 SU surge during which they have allowed no TDs and just 12 total points.
19. Green Bay Packers
SU: 6-8
ATS: 7-7
Super Bowl Odds: +20000
Last week’s ranking: 13
The Packers have fallen out of contention during a 0-2 SU and ATS run, and are just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road as they get set to play their next two contests away from Lambeau Field.
20. Jacksonville Jaguars
SU: 8-6
ATS: 8-6
Super Bowl Odds: +2800
Last week’s ranking: 14
Poised to run away with the AFC South entering December, the Jags have lost three straight SU and ATS, all to AFC North opponents, and are now mired in a four-game slide against opponents currently in the playoff picture.
21. Las Vegas Raiders
SU: 6-8
ATS: 7-6-1
Super Bowl Odds: +100000
Last week’s ranking: 21
After tallying just 30 total points during a preceding three-game slide, the Raiders scored at will in last weekend’s 63-21 demolition of the Chargers. That was a nice feel-good moment, but expect reality to set in as they get set to hit the road for two games on a five-game losing streak away from Sin City in which they have scored just 13.2 points per game.
22. New York Giants
SU: 5-9
ATS: 5-8-1
Super Bowl Odds: +150000
Last week’s ranking: 15
The Giants saw a hopeful 3-0 SU and ATS run snapped by last weekend’s 24-6 loss in New Orleans. Things get even tougher for the Giants down the stretch, and any remaining success they enjoy will likely be due to strong defensive performances.
23. Tennessee Titans
SU: 5-9
ATS: 6-8
Super Bowl Odds: OTB
Last week’s ranking: 23
The Titans snatched defeat from the jaws of victory in last weekend’s 19-16 loss to Houston, and have now failed to cover in consecutive games this season. However, they have kept things close with their two most recent losses coming by a combined margin of just six points.
24. Arizona Cardinals
SU: 3-11
ATS: 7-7
Super Bowl Odds: OTB
Last week’s ranking: 24
It’s all about next season for the Cardinals, who remained in the hunt for last place overall with last weekend’s crushing 45-29 loss to San Francisco. However, the Cards have produced results at the sportsbook, going 4-3 ATS in their past seven overall, and ride a two-game ATS away win streak into their upcoming two-game road trip.
25. Minnesota Vikings
SU: 7-7
ATS: 7-4-3
Super Bowl Odds: +15000
Last week’s ranking: 26
The Vikings looked to be on the rebound last weekend after scoring just 11 points per game in their previous three outings, but could not protect a 14-point lead on their way to a 27-24 overtime loss to Cincinnati last weekend. Minnesota is now winless ATS in three straight, and must face divisional opponents in each of their final three outings including two dates with first-place Detroit.
26. Atlanta Falcons
SU: 6-8
ATS: 4-10
Super Bowl Odds: +25000
Last week’s ranking: 20
It would be easy to point to the weather as a factor in last weekend’s 9-7 loss in Carolina. However, the Falcons offence has proven to be unreliable while generating just 15 points per game over their past three outings. And when they do score, they tend to also surrender big point totals, fueling a dismal 1-5 ATS record at home.
27. Carolina Panthers
SU: 2-12
ATS: 4-9-1
Super Bowl Odds: OTB
Last week’s ranking: 31
The Panthers emerged as walk-off winners in sloppy conditions in last week’s 9-7 victory over Atlanta. In addition to snapping a six-game SU slide, the victory lifted the Panthers to 4-4 ATS in their past eight despite averaging just 10.5 points per game.
28. New England Patriots
SU: 3-11
ATS: 3-10-1
Super Bowl Odds: OTB
Last week’s ranking: 30
The Patriots were simply unable to keep pace in last weekend’s 27-17 loss to Kansas City. Overall, this team has won and covered just twice in eight games. However, they saw their previous five games get settled by an average margin of just 3.8 points.
29. New York Jets
SU: 5-9
ATS: 5-8-1
Super Bowl Odds: OTB
Last week’s ranking: 28
The Jets turned in an historically bad performance in last weekend’s 30-0 loss in Miami. The Jets have now averaged just seven points per game over their losses during the team’s current 1-6 SU and ATS slide. While a date with defensively challenged Commanders offer an opportunity to right the ship, the loss of Zach Wilson to injury last weekend should keep expectations tempered.
30. Pittsburgh Steelers
SU: 7-7
ATS: 7-7
Super Bowl Odds: +35000
Last week’s ranking: 29
Already struggling to score with Kenny Pickett under center, things have gone from bad to worse for the Steelers offense since their starting pivot was sidelined by injury. The Steelers have fallen to defeat by an average margin of 11 points during a 0-3 SU and ATS run, and and have scored just 13.4 points per game over their pas five outings.
31. Los Angeles Chargers
SU: 5-9
ATS: 5-9
Super Bowl Odds: +150000
Last week’s ranking: 27
The Chargers hit rock bottom with last weekend’s embarrassing 63-21 loss to Las Vegas. SU and ATS losers in five of their past six, and missing injured quarterback Justin Herbert, the Chargers have failed to score a TD outside garbage time while averaging 11.3 points per game over their past three outings.
32. Washington Commanders
SU: 4-10
ATS: 5-8-1
Super Bowl Odds: OTB
Last week’s ranking: 32
The Commanders defense has been sliced and diced by opposing pivots during a 0-5 SU run in which they have allowed 35.6 points per game. However, they have one more chance to get back into the win column in this weekend’s date with the Jets before closing out the campaign with clashes against the powerhouse Niners and Cowboys.
