2019 Super Bowl 53 Odds – Current Betting Lines for Every NFL Team

Super Bowl Odds – Process of Elimination

Sometimes when handicapping the NFL before a season begins and projecting a Super Bowl champion, it’s easier to eliminate those teams who aren’t going to win it for whatever reason.

On the one hand, eliminating any potential champions can be tricky in the NFL because it is a league of parity. The NFL expanded its playoffs to a 12-team field in 1990, and since then there have been at least four new teams every year to make the playoffs that didn’t the previous season. That’s amazing. Last year, a stunning eight did so who missed in 2016 – including the Philadelphia Eagles, who upset the New England Patriots to win the first Super Bowl in franchise history. Philadelphia was a last-place team in 2016.

The Eagles won the title behind backup quarterback Nick Foles, who was the Super Bowl MVP. If we look at Super Bowl winners this century, they have been quarterbacked largely by future Hall of Famers: Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, maybe Eli Manning (borderline Hall of Famer) and Russell Wilson (on a HOF track but still fairly young). Then again, we’ve had Super Bowls won by Foles and Joe Flacco and Brad Johnson and Trent Dilfer (Hall of Lame).

So, where does all this leave us?

Pats, Packers Odds Favourites As Usual

The Patriots and Packers are currently Sports Interaction co-favourites at +700 to win the Super Bowl, and that’s usually the case every pre-season because they have two all-time great quarterbacks in Brady and Rodgers. One major historical trend is working against New England, however. No Super Bowl loser has even returned to the big game the next season since those Buffalo Bills teams lost four straight Super Bowls in the early 1990s. Only two SB losers ever have then won it the next year: the 1971 Dallas Cowboys and the 1972 Miami Dolphins. Let’s eliminate the Patriots.

Green Bay? Hasn’t been back to the Super Bowl since winning XLV. Nah.

It’s incredibly hard to repeat in the NFL as no team has since the 2004 Patriots. The Eagles (+800) also enter the season with star quarterback Carson Wentz coming off a major knee injury – he’s the guy who got Philly into position for home-field advantage in the NFC before going down and Foles turning himself into a legend. Let’s eliminate Philly.

The teams who “win” the off-season tend to flop amid sky-high expectations. That club would be the Los Angeles Rams, who are +800. They do have a magnificent offence and added a ton of big-name talent, but … let’s eliminate the Rams.

We can eliminate the Cleveland Browns (+10000), who are coming off a 0-16 season, Detroit Lions (+4500), Houston Texans (+2500) and Jacksonville Jaguars (+1600) even though the Texans could be sneaky good and the Jaguars reached last year’s AFC title game. Why those four? The only clubs to never reach a Super Bowl.

Skip the Atlanta Falcons (+2000) as no team has ever played a Super Bowl in its home stadium.

Super Bowl 53 Odds

Super Bowl 53 Winner Prediction

Our pick: The New Orleans Saints (+1600) beating the Pittsburgh Steelers (+1000) on Feb. 3, 2019, in Atlanta. The Saints have the requisite Hall of Fame QB in Brees and they finally added a defence and running game last season. They suffered the most improbable post-season loss in NFL history in the Divisional Round at Minnesota or might have represented the NFC vs. New England.

Check out our deep dive into this year’s NFL Player Props right here!